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chadash

6,863 karma · joined August 22, 2017

https://www.dtnewman.com/contact_me.html
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chadash··on Mastercard and visa are the de facto regulators of porn
> I understand that porn payments are a bit more risky but the providers can simply have a policy to deny chargebacks for this category and shift the risk to the customer. Similar to the way returns of sex toys are not accepted for hygiene reasons.

But chargebacks have nothing to do with return policies [1]. In theory, when you issue a chargeback you are basically saying "I didn't authorize this purchase". How do you have a general policy that says "you won't get charged for fraudulent charges, unless those fraudulent charges are porn"?

[1] If I buy a sandwich with my credit card, I can't then return it if I decide I'm not hungry 15 minutes later. But I can dispute the charge (dishonestly) and say that I never bought a sandwich in the first place.

chadash··on 4 in 5 Americans who need insulin have taken on credit card debt to cover cost
I don't believe this is true. I'm merely calling out the lack of detail on methodology of this "study". They are already pretty explicit that this isn't a true random sample, but I'd like more info on how. For all I know, this study was done on CharityRx's own website, which presumably caters to people who are less likely to be able to afford insulin in the first place.

I'm not in any way saying insulin prices aren't an issue, but at the same time, I don't think misleading headlines are helpful either.

chadash··on 4 in 5 Americans who need insulin have taken on credit card debt to cover cost
Sure, but I'm skeptical of all the claims made here given the lack of clarity in the example I point out above. This is not a peer-reviewed study, it's a "survey" performed by a company with very little information given about methods.
chadash··on 4 in 5 Americans who need insulin have taken on credit card debt to cover cost
> 4 In 5 Americans Who Need Insulin Have Taken On Credit Card Debt To Cover The Drug's Cost

This smelled fishy to me so I looked a little further into the numbers. The page linking to the study says that it involved 1,000 insured participants and 1,000 uninsured. So right off the bat, unless exactly 50% of the population is insured/uninsured, you can't really extrapolate exact numbers from this survey, unless they gave you results broken down by insurance status.

According to https://www.cdc.gov/diabetes/data/statistics-report/diagnose..., about 46% of diagnosed diabetes cases are in people >65, meaning covered by medicare. I'd assume that at least a good chunk of people <65 have insurance, meaning this survey is completely unrepresentative from the start.

Don't take any of this to mean that I don't think the price of insulin is too high. It certainly is. But this survey is misleading at best.

chadash··on How to set junior employees up for success in remote
> What you need to solve this is merely competent managers/mentoring culture.

I see this claim thrown around frequently as if finding great managers or building a great management culture is an easy thing to do. A great manager in engineering needs to be good at engineering and good at management. It's hard enough to hire for one or the other, let alone both.

chadash··on LaMDA’s sentience is nonsense
I agree with most of this except for not having a definition of sentience. This is not a new topic and has been dealt with extensively in philosophy. I like a definition mentioned in a famous article Consider the Lobster by David Foster Wallace (a writer not a philosopher per se) where he proposes that a lobster is sentient if it has genuine preferences, as opposed to mere physiological responses. The question isn’t really definition but how to measure it.
chadash··on FDA to order Juul e-cigarettes off U.S. market
Sure, but my point is more that legislation on e-cigarettes and soda is an issue of civil liberty, plain and simple, and legislation on plastics has little to do with them (unless you think that it's your right to pollute the environment). You might not think that it's effective, but it's not a case of the government telling you you can't do something for your own good.
chadash··on FDA to order Juul e-cigarettes off U.S. market
> From talk about regulating the size of big gulps to mandating paper straws to legalization of marijuana and the banning of smoking products, this country is going insane.

Smoking marijuana and big gulps are very different from paper straws. Rules around smoking and soda sizes are the government legislating freedoms. I personally don't mind regulations here, but I agree it's taking away your liberty to some extent. Paper straws are mandated for a completely different reason: because they impose an externality that the user doesn't adequately pay for. Philosophically these bans are for the same reason we don't allow you to leave garbage on a public bench or dump toxic waste in a river. Again, you can debate the merits of single-use plastic legislation, but I wouldn't lump it together with smoking and soda bans at all.

chadash··on Ask HN: What are examples of common beliefs conclusively invalidated by data?
The title of this post says "conclusively invalidated by data" and I'm not sure anything is conclusive when it comes to organic food.

The evidence that the Moderna vaccine lowers the risk of death due to COVID is conclusive in the sense that a controlled, double blind study was performed and we have determined with some degree of certainty (>99.9%) that the vaccine is effective. But it's relatively easy to design an experiment.

How would you even go about designing an experiment for organic food. Giving a vaccine is binary... it was given on two occasions or it wasn't. With organic food, if there are benefits to it, they are most likely over a much longer term. So you'd need to police a participant's eating habits for years or maybe even decades to test your hypothesis. It's not a practical experiment to perform. At best we can say "there's no scientific evidence that organic food is better for you than non-organic", but that's not the same as saying "we have concluded with 99.9% certainty that organic food is no better for you than non-organic food".

Certain things just can't be tested effectively, especially things as complicated as diet. This is why dietary recommendations change so frequently. Still, not everything requires conclusive science. There's never been a controlled experiment showing that parachutes save skydivers' lives. But sometimes common sense trumps the need for scientific inquiry.

EDIT: Please don't read this as anti-science. On the contrary, science is great for answering certain questions, but has limitations for other questions.

chadash··on Patreon cuts deep inside creators’ pockets
If I pay in cash then I’m physically present. Usually I’m at a store with a reputation to uphold and a set return policy that’s reliable. If I’m transacting with an unknown entity (eg craigslist) then I can at least physically inspect the item. Very different than ordering online.
chadash··on We will never have enough software developers (2020)
Knowing how to build a bone saw is a completely different skill set than surgery. Building a hash table is a job for a software engineer even if not every engineer does it frequently. Still my analogy wasn’t great.

Analogies aside, hashmaps (in one implementation or another), arrays, vectors/lists, strings and arguably sets are very very common data structures in most modern languages. I don’t expect someone to be able to build a hashmap from scratch but I do expect an experienced engineer to have some basic idea of the pieces that go into building it as well as it’s properties (not necessarily ordered, O(1)ish sets/gets, collisions, etc). Knowing this kind of thing helps you understand when to use an object in JavaScript vs a map. Or how dictionaries differ between python 2 and 3. If you understand the underlying data structure, then you know what questions to ask.

* in python 2, a dictionary’s keys are not guaranteed to have consistent order. In more recent versions of python 3, they ARE guaranteed to have consistent ordering. This has ramifications for the code you write, and it’s especially confusing if you don’t understand hashmaps because 99% of the time, the order will be maintained in python 2 even though it isn’t guaranteed. But relying on things that are true most of the time is a very bad way to write production code :)

chadash··on We will never have enough software developers (2020)
> why do you care if an applicant understand how a hash map works; and what's particular about a hash map?

Because a hash map is:

1) a pretty basic concept in data structures

2) Variations on hash maps are used all the time in the real world. If you use objects in javascript, dictionaries in python, or maps in C++, then you are using things that essentially implement hash maps.

Point number 1 is like if I went to an orthopedic surgeon and they couldn't tell me what the liver does. You can say "well the liver has nothing to do with my finger that got smashed in a car crash, so what do I care." Or you can say, "that seems like a red flag. Maybe I'd be safer choosing a different doctor."

* Note: I have no idea how often the liver comes up in orthopedic finger surgery and for all I know it's a lot. But I think you get the point.

chadash··on We will never have enough software developers (2020)
I've had the same experience. Everyone wants you to "just look at their resume". Meanwhile, I've interviewed plenty of people with great resumes who can't solve a simple problem like reversing a string [1].

If you can point me to extensive open-source experience on projects that roughly approximate professional coding, then fine, I'd be happy to walk through your code with you instead of doing an algorithmic problem. The issue is that that's a minority of developers... most people don't have the time or desire to do extensive open-source work outside of work hours and I don't blame them for it [2]! But given that resumes are unreliable, I need to test you somehow.

[1] No, I don't ever have to reverse strings at work. But I do have to write efficient code. And if you can't conceptualize how to reverse a string then you probably won't stand a chance at more difficult algorithmic issues I often come across.

[2] I don't recall who it was, but I once heard a very well-regarded chef say that he's tired after work and so he doesn't like to cook much at home. I have zero problem with a developer doing the same with coding! Go home and work on a hobby, spend time with your family, or smoke pot and watch netflix... I care about what you are capable of at work, not what you do with your free time.

chadash··on Tether is starting to depeg from USD again
I have a question on this. If the redemption fee is 0.1%, then that makes a USDT worth $0.999. Why is it assumed that a tether should be worth $1.00 and not $0.999?
chadash··on Stop Interviewing with Leet Code
Hiring based on reputation is the same as hiring based on resume. And it's extremely common in almost any company. Why would it be a legal or HR nightmare?
chadash··on Ask HN: Co-Founder pivoting, what are my options?
But is it typical? Sure, if Bill Gates or Elon Musk founded a company today, they'd hire people to write the code. But for people who haven't made it big, I'd assume that having at least one technical founder is extremely common. Just in the examples you gave, Apple had Steve Wozniack. Sean Rad built the prototype for Tinder at a Hackathon. Seems like Box had a technical cofounder as well based on Wikipedia article.
chadash··on Ask HN: Co-Founder pivoting, what are my options?
> Bosses, visionaries, and founders typically don't write code, they delegate it to people who do.

So would Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page and Sergey Brin not count as bosses, visionaries or founders?

chadash··on Y Combinator for Mittelstands?
How do you plan to do due diligence? With YC, the strategy seems to be to throw a bunch of money at a bunch of early startups and hope one of them has a $1B+ exit. For arguments sake, let's say they are putting down 200 investments knowing 1 or 2 will provide (basically) all their returns. So 99% can fail and they are fine. But if I'm investing in a Mittelstand, I'm not looking for unicorns. It's more like I want 100 out of 200 businesses to return 10x and boom, I've got a great overall return. The problem is that I'd imagine you need a lot more due diligence for this, since you need more consistent (but smaller) winners. I would think it's hard to consistently find great businesses, particularly if you are investing at the 0 revenue stage, which your posts says you want to do.
chadash··on High tuition costs mostly stem from the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1993
I did a semester overseas at a top tier public university in Australia. There were some very notable differences about what is included with university there. Your tuition basically covers the academics, but that is it. No free gym (but the gym was relatively cheap... I guess they provide it at cost or at least don't make much profit). No included meal plan (but again, subsidized). Far fewer student activities. And you know what? The education, which is far and away the most important thing, was just fine... If I were paying Australian tuition prices, the added cost of a gym membership seems like nothing by comparison.

There's a whole lot of bloat in our college experience. I personally loved all the stuff that was included with my tuition. But you know what I don't love? That college is our society's key to upward mobility, but instead it creates crushing debt for many, because it includes lots of unnecessary stuff.

chadash··on Why the government took home prices out of its main inflation index
> $600k in total interest and principle for a $300k sticker-price house over 30 years

These numbers are a bit high, but definitely in the ballpark [1]. BUT, I think that framing it as total interest + principal is also misleading. Let's say you locked in an interest rate of 2.75% in 2020-21. Your total interest payments on a 300k house (with 20% down) would be $112k, so total P&I would be $412k. Someone might look at this simplistically and think, wow, I'm overpaying by 37% if I take out a mortgage. But at a 2.75% rate, anyone who is financially savvy is going to recognize that as a steal. It's almost like free money, because it's being paid off over 30 years. Your $1500 monthly payment might seem like a lot now, but even with relatively low inflation, your payment in years 15-30 are going to seem like a bargain when they come around. But it's hard for many people to think in those terms.

[1] Mortgage rates right now are around 4.75% on a 30 year. Assuming 20% down on a 300k house (60k), you would take out a loan for $240k, and over 30 years you would pay $210k in interest, or a total of 510k in principal + interest. Your monthly P&I would be about $1,530.

chadash··on GoodWill ransomware forces victims to donate to the poor
The malware group is not asking for donations to organizations, but to individuals at the hospital. They are requiring that someone at the infected business records videos of themselves going to a hospital or health clinic, looking for people who seem like they need financial help and offering to help them pay for their medical care.

1) Good luck suing poor individuals to get your money back 2) It's hard to fathom what kind of asshole you'd have to be to walk into an ER, record a video of you offering people money to help pay their hospital bill and then demand that money back off-camera.

chadash··on Tell HN: Job interview canceled due to looming recession
Two more key differences:

- In 2000, people were talking about the future being about outsourcing engineering work to lower cost-of-living countries. To some extent that's happened, but companies also see tech as integral to their survival and have realized that their core engineering teams need to be in the same time-zone. - In 2000, tech was for tech companies. Now, every large bank has a huge technology team. Every company in logistics has a large tech team. Every retailer needs good engineers. In 2000, there were a few niche websites online. Now, a strong online presence is essential even for stores like Home Depot.

There's no question that the market was overheated, but it's too early to call doom here. The NASDAQ is still up about 50% from where it was 3 years ago, before COVID, even after the recent drop. That's a 14% yearly average return... still a crazy amount. At it's peak, it was up over 100% from May 24, 2019... a level that just wasn't sustainable.

chadash··on Logitech MX Mechanical Keyboard
The MX Master 3 mouse is far and away the best mouse I've ever used. It switches easily between computers, feels great, has great functionality and most importantly, doesn't leave my wrist hurting at the end of the day (which I what brought me to try it out in the first place).

Yes, I can look into other options, but this is targeting people like me, who are already in the logitech ecosystem and are happy there. I can try my luck with another brand that I may or may not like more, or I can go with this and hope that it's of similar quality to other devices in the MX sub-brand.

chadash··on Finland’s Green Party endorses nuclear power
I have heard a lot of chatter recently about how nuclear has fallen out of favor among certain circles on the left. Can someone explain what the reasons for that are?
chadash··on The other kind of staff software engineer
Probably because it's ambiguous and opens them up to legal headaches when there's disagreement over how much was made or saved.
chadash··on The other kind of staff software engineer
I don't disagree with the article. Within a tech company, it's obvious why they value engineers. In a "staff" you might also be highly valued or you might not be. As an example, I've recently noticed that home depot has a superb website. Looking at the quality of it, they've obviously put a lot of thought and resources into it. It's something they value. The people working on it might be in the "staff" bucket, but I'd bet the C-Suite is well aware of the impact they are having. On the other hand, I've seen companies where the "staff" engineers are completely disregarded.
chadash··on The other kind of staff software engineer
A great point on how profit margins are not always the best metric! A panhandler has almost no costs, so their profit margins are huge. But it's not a very scalable business :)
chadash··on The other kind of staff software engineer
> As an analogy, consider the lone sysadmin maintaining the lone linux server hosting a multi-billion dollar companies ERP, Billing Software, and website. The company probably cares enough to ensure this person has a backup, and is paid well enough not to leave. If the everything works the company probably doesn't care enough to do a migration to a SaaS provider, replacing this admin is likely very expensive.

Eh, I've seen people like this and maybe they get paid well, but the company also can't afford to promote them or move them around. One person I know was an expert in Fortran and worked at a large Wall Street bank doing processing of very large transactions (systems that process trillions of dollars yearly). Technically, there were "backups" who could do parts of his role, but realistically he was the only person who really understood the whole system. He would threaten to leave every so often and they'd bump his pay to an absurd level that made it hard to leave. But there was also no path the promotion for him and he got bored. At a certain point, he ended up leaving anyway.

chadash··on The other kind of staff software engineer
Related to this article: The owner of a company (non-startup, but growing and profitable) I used to work for gave me great career advice. He said to always focus on things that produce revenue. If you aren't doing things that produce revenue, try to move into those areas if possible.

His view was that revenue can soar 100%, 200%, 1,000%, 10,000% or however high. Cost savings, on the other hand, can only go down to a maximum of 100% (but obviously much lower in practice). So in his mind, a business-wide focus on growing revenue is always better than a focus on cutting costs. If you are in the second boat, it means the company is struggling and maybe it's time to get out.

Obviously, a rational CEO would see $1m cost savings the same as a $1m gain in profits, but CEO's are not rational beings (nor is any human) and understanding that they usually prefer higher revenue to lower costs is fundamental to understanding how they value different parts of the company. It's not fair, it's just truth (at least in many companies).

There's something refreshing about some hedge funds where portfolio managers are rewarded exclusively on their own performance. For example, if the fund loses money, but you continue to bring in great revenue, you can bet that any sane hedge fund will pay you a lot to stay around, regardless of how they are doing overall. Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately), profit in most companies isn't directly attributable in the way it is at hedge funds. But the same truth holds. If you are bringing in good profit, it's hard to get rid of you (or not pay you well) regardless of how the company is doing overall. Try to be in one of those profit centers, if you can.

chadash··on We need a middle class for startups
Yes, but there will always be niches where you can make good money, but not enough for the big fish to be interested. For example, my wife uses some statistical software that is apparently pretty popular in her field, but it's still only used within a niche of academia. You might be able to find a niche that brings you $10M/year in profit which is enough to live a lavish lifestyle, but not enough for VCs to fund you or for Amazon to bother competing with you.
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