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chadash

6,863 karma · joined August 22, 2017

https://www.dtnewman.com/contact_me.html
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chadash··on A targeted crackdown on “junk fees” makes a lot of sense
I called up comcast/xfinity to get internet service. They asked me if I'd like to add on basic cable for $10/month. I don't watch much TV, but I figured for $10/month I'd be willing to do it for the occasional live event. So I agreed to it on top of the $40/month internet. I figured I'll be paying $55ish/month when you factor the taxes I'll be paying to Uncle Sam. After 20 minutes on the phone, we get to the final payment authorization. "Do you authorize me to charge your credit card $68/month?" I asked why so much higher than the $40 + $10 amount?

Apparently, there was an $11 "content delivery fee" for the TV. As if buying the cable channels and having them "delivered" to my home are different freaking things. As if you can buy the rights to watch cable at the comcast store, but if you want it at home, you gotta pay an extra $11.

These companies are going to whine and scream about these changes, but they really brought this on themselves.

chadash··on GitHub to lay off 10% and close all offices
What is needed is something like WeWork for large office gatherings. Something between a WeWork and a hotel conference center. The former is not really made for big meetings. The latter is either very expensive, too large or too small. You need a space for 10-200 people to meet and collaborate... not a conference center.
chadash··on Ask HN: HN for Finance?
I believe that this is quite untrue. Finance is full of clever innovations that are mostly meant to make money for their creators. Because the monetary rewards are so high, it attracts some very talented people.

As just one example, you can securitize the revenues from golf courses. You can say, hey, i own six courses bringing in an average of $100m a year. I'm gonna take that $600m cash flow and sell it in an asset-backed security in order to raise money to finance the acquisition of more golf courses. Then I'm gonna tranche up those securities, because I found that I'll make more money selling 50% super safe and 50% risky than selling it as 100% middle-of-the-road risky. This example isn't really a hack anymore... it's almost the norm. But someone had to have the initial insight and then figure out if this was legal.

chadash··on Astonishingly strong US jobs report sends stocks wavering
> So, are you assuming/applying everyone more or less has the same contribution or do you want everyone to be paid the same irrespective?

The parent said, "more equal", not equal. There is a big difference between saying that everyone should have the same exact wage versus we should narrow the gap between the highest and the lowest paid people.

And there are plenty of examples of people with massive contributions to society who didn't get paid very well. Van Gogh lived in poverty. Albert Einstein was certainly not poor, but I'd have a hard time believing that his "contribution to society" is less than 1/10000th that of Jeff Bezos. For that matter, my elementary school teachers contributed a lot to society. So do many others. I don't believe that the parent comment is arguing that teachers should make as much as CEOs, they are just saying that the gap shouldn't be so ludicrously large.

chadash··on Ask HN: Recruiters have stopped contacting me? What could have happened?
I don't think it's 1 or 2 at all. I know that you probably don't want to hear this right now, but there's just not nearly as many companies looking for candidates right now as compared to a year ago. There are many companies who are actively laying people off right now. Public companies are doing it, whether they need to or not. Even more so, startups and any other yet-to-be-profitable companies are not sure when they will be able to raise capital again, so they are tightening their belts to survive as long as possible. If the market doesn't change, some will die.

Meanwhile, there's many companies in a second boat. Companies that are doing fine but are worried about choppy waters ahead. Perhaps they are hiring for key roles or to fill spots of people who leave. But on the whole, they want to protect what they have and don't see this as the time to push for major growth.

The good news is that there is definitely a third boat. Companies that are raising money because they have an outstanding product or idea. Companies that raised large amounts of money before things started going sour. And of course, profitable companies with sound businesses that see opportunities to grow further. It seems to me like there are still a significant number of companies in this third boat, so I wouldn't be too worried yet. That said, if you are swimming around in the ocean right now, the water is definitely getting cold. I'm not saying to get on any boat that comes around, but you probably don't want to wait around for a 100ft yacht.

chadash··on Contracts you should never sign
> non-competes are fine if they are narrowly focused, fair, and your compensation is sufficient to make it worth the restrictions

Yes! This is a particularly true for most software engineers. I have a friend who is a doctor whose contract says that if quits, he can't practice medicine within a 30-mile radius for 12 months. His only option would be to move to a different area, take a job with a horrible commute for a year or to wait it out. On the other hand, as a software engineer, I've never been in a situation where my thought is to move to a direct competitor. My skillset is broadly applicable to many industries, and it wouldn't be strange to do one gig for Home Depot, the next one at Google, followed by a role at Tesla.

chadash··on Contracts you should never sign
There's this HN obsession with negotiating on non-competes. Here's the problem. Say that I work for Acme Corp that makes Fancy Widgets for Bridgettes with 11 Digits and I'm hiring a software engineer. We put out the offer and give them time to respond. They come back saying they would like the offer to be $10k higher. No problem... As the hiring manager, I might already know that we have $10k leeway, or at the most, I'll have to go ask someone a level or two above me.

Another candidate gets an offer and sees the non-compete clause (which is the same across all of Acme Corp's 10k employees) and asks for that to be removed. As the hiring manager, what do I do? My boss leads a division but doesn't have authority to change boilerplate contracts. Neither does her boss. So we need to go to Legal. But who do I reach out to there? The company's general counsel doesn't have time to deal with this. So I guess I start emailing around? Who do I go to who actually has the authority to change this? It becomes too much of a hassle and I turn candidate #2 away. Oh, and by the way, had candidate #2 signed the contract, they would have been banned from working for any other company whose business is primarily selling Fancy Widgets to people named Bridgette who have 11 fingers. It probably wouldn't have been an issue anyway.

My point is that people sometimes overthink this. Yes, non-competes are bad. I'd argue that they are immoral and certainly bad policy. But not every non-compete is created equally and sometimes maybe you'd be better off negotiating for other things that might be easier to negotiate on and would be more useful anyway. If you are a software engineer, it's often unlikely that you'd find yourself working for a direct competitor anyway.

chadash··on Tell HN: Confluent laying off 8% of staff
> almost every company could handle this by simply not rehiring after attrition

The problem is that there's a selection bias for attrition. It's possible that your worst employees are the ones who stick around the longest.

chadash··on Tell HN: Confluent laying off 8% of staff
I disagree that CEOs aren't thinking for themselves. In many cases, they are thinking perfectly rationally. Companies don't live in a vacuum. If everyone else is raising salaries, it's to attract and retail talent. If you don't do the same, you will lose current employees and not attract new ones. If everyone else is doing layoffs, then it's a good time to do layoffs that perhaps you were considering anyway.

Say you've been wanting to close down an unproductive division and let go of low-performing employees in other divisions for a few years now. You sure as hell weren't going to do that in early 2022, when you'd risk a lot of other employees jumping ship at the first signs of cracks in the house. But in 2023, you can do layoffs and get away with it.

chadash··on The Sweet Spot for Buying Used Cars
I assume that the author meant "you will use it until it breaks beyond the point at which it is worth fixing"
chadash··on The Sweet Spot for Buying Used Cars
> How many of these will be in decent condition after 14 years of use?

With cars, more expensive doesn't necessarily mean that it will last longer. In fact, the opposite is often true. I would be willing to bet that a typical Corolla is capable of getting more miles than a $100k Mercedes.

chadash··on The Sweet Spot for Buying Used Cars
A base Toyota Corolla goes for $21,500. No, it's not a flashy car, but it is well built, relatively easy to repair and should last a while.

Yes, the average car is far more expensive, but if you are looking to optimize for cost and just need something to get from A to B (which is what the article seems to assume), then a Corolla is a perfectly good vehicle.

chadash··on The Unexpected Heaviosity of Ferris Bueller’s Day Off (2006)
It touches on this:

> Which is precisely the point: Ferris has staged this adolescent fantasy of omnipotence expressly for his best friend.

> Ferris himself is, for the most part, a fabulous cartoon—half James Bond, half Holden Caulfield. But he understands the very real crisis Cameron is facing and takes it as his role to push his friend into emotional danger.

chadash··on Be where your business is
This doesn’t even strike me as a good example. In management consulting, flying out to a customer site from Monday to Thursday is the norm. I’ve heard plenty of criticism about McKinsey. I’ve never heard anyone say they don’t work hard.

In fact, that way of life might mean you work more hours if anything. If you live in Miami and work four days a week in NYC, you are likely working very long days. You are not near your friends or family or your chores… that could be four days devoted exclusively to work, say 12-14 hours a day, followed by a Friday working remotely. I can see why a salesperson might need to be in person 4 days a week. But I have a hard time imagining that five days is necessary. VP of Sales has plenty of administrative work to do, and many meetings can be over the phone anyway.

To call this employee “half time” is insane.

chadash··on Tax System in the Faroe Islands
i guess that in a very strict sense “no deductions” might mean you can’t deduct business expenses, but I doubt that the tax code ACTUALLY works that way. I think the article is talking about individual, not business deductions.

If you taxed revenues, some businesses would just be impossible to run. I have to imagine that there are grocery stores and pharmacies in the Faroe Islands.

chadash··on U.S. moves to bar noncompete agreements in labor contracts
> the kind we read about in executive emails between Apple and Google and so on

In other words, the kind of person who is actually in a position to negotiate the terms of their contract. What bugs me most about the current situation is the ubiquity of non-competes for low salary employees, who have the least amount of leverage to negotiate contracts. I'm much less concerned about staff engineers at tech companies and portfolio managers at hedge funds, although I'd prefer to see non-competes banned altogether (except perhaps for non-competes for owners selling a company... I think it's fair that if I buy your ice cream shop, we can agree that you can't open one up across the street the next day).

chadash··on U.S. moves to bar noncompete agreements in labor contracts
> Those are protected by NDAs, confidentiality agreements, copyrights, patents, etc.

This gets thrown around HN a lot but I don't think it matches reality. Say I work in machine learning algorithms for show recommendations at Netflix. Amazon hires me to work on their machine learning algorithm recommender on Prime Video. Sure, I might have NDAs to protect what I learned at Netflix, but how does Netflix realistically show whether or not I disseminated that knowledge at Amazon? It's not like they can just ask to see Amazon's code to see if the knowledge has been ported over to there. The only way to really show that I infringed an NDA is for someone to rat me out, which is probably pretty rare. To that end, I understand why companies want non-competes (I'm not saying they should be allowed to have them... I'm just saying that there are reasons that they exist beyond "we don't want employees to leave). In finance, it's very common to get a paid non-compete where you get your full salary for as long as the company wants to enforce the non-compete. Companies aren't paying these high salaries just because "training cost is expensive and it's to limit staff from training at one company and leaving". They are doing it because they actually fear the consequences of the employee's new firm competing with them based on the knowledge that the employee has. For this reason, it's also pretty common for companies in finance to not pay out gardening leave when they aren't worried about the employee's new company directly competing.

chadash··on U.S. moves to bar noncompete agreements in labor contracts
There's a big difference. Paid gardening leave means that the employer actually has skin in the game. I'd bet that 9 times out of 10 they won't actually enforce these non-competes if they actually have to bear some cost (certain industries might be exceptions). The problem with the status quo is that an employer will have the non-compete in play regardless of whether the "competition" would really hurt them.
chadash··on Tell HN: I just received my Equifax breach settlement check
The court awarded attorney fees of 20% of the overall (minimum) award in this case, which came to about $77 million. This is based off a $380.5 million minimum settlement fund (under certain conditions the fund can go up to $100-something million higher).

source: https://www.equifaxbreachsettlement.com/admin/services/conne...

chadash··on Tell HN: I just received my Equifax breach settlement check
On one hand, yes, it's a shame that the victims rarely get anything. On the other hand, anyone is allowed to opt out and sue on their own if they want to. The problem is that very few will because it's not worth your time or money to sue someone for, say, $1000. As someone who wasn't going to take Equifax to court, I prefer an outcome where some lawyer gets rich, I get $5, and Equifax gets a $500 million dollar fine plus a commitment to spend $1 billion on overhauling their security. The alternative was Equifax getting away with a few small-scale lawsuits that would have had total payouts in the low millions.

In a more just world, Equifax would go out of business and the assets would be divided among the affected parties. The fact that that won't happen isn't your buddy's fault. At the end of the day, sure, he gets high fees, but if the lawyers in the equifax case were to distribute their fees to victims, maybe I would have gotten $6 instead of $5? My point is, I'm mad at Equifax a lot more so than your buddy.

chadash··on Shopify tells employees to just say no to meetings
Before you comment about how idiotic this idea is, the end of the article says:

> The company said there will be a “two-week cooling off period” before anyone can reconvene a canceled meeting.

The company isn't saying no recurring meetings. It is saying, "hey, we have too many meetings, let's do a reset and think carefully about which ones we really need... and by the way, it's okay to decline a meeting that you don't think you'll gain value from.

I personally think that an occasional reset to figure out which meetings are actually necessary is a good idea. Also, sometimes there are personal/political reasons for joining meetings that you aren't going to get much out of. Having the top management say "try to cut down on unnecessary meetings" is a good way to give individual employees cover.

chadash··on Worst interview questions for software developers
Maybe I’m 80% sure I’m gonna pass on this candidate because I’m not confident they’ll stick around, but it can still be worth my time to get on a screener call and at least ask. There can be many reasons why someone jumps around frequently and maybe after hearing their story Ill be convinced that it’s a true story and a reasonable situation for them to be moving so much.
chadash··on Worst interview questions for software developers
A short job or two, fine, but at a certain point it’s a pattern that needs a reason. If the reason is “my spouse was in the military and we moved around a lot for that, but we longer do”, that’s fair enough. If the answer is that you weren’t happy enough at your last jobs to stay for more than 12 months, then why should I think you’ll be any different at your next job?
chadash··on Distributor cancelled an order and we need to move 30k bags of coffee [updated]
I’m not totally disagreeing with this advice but it’s just not applicable everywhere. When you are an investment banking analyst coming out of college you don’t have any ability to negotiate salary or pretty much anything.
chadash··on Distributor cancelled an order and we need to move 30k bags of coffee [updated]
> 6k bags a year, their old volume, is only 23 bags per day

They were bigger than this, but still small. They said that 36k bags is about 1.5 years of sales for them, so that's 24k bags/year, or about 65/day (using a 7-day week calculation). 24k bags at $15/bag is $360k/year revenue, which is still quite small, especially if you have employees (and I believe some of these bags were sold through local stores, so that means revenue is less).

chadash··on Distributor cancelled an order and we need to move 30k bags of coffee [updated]
When you sell to a big chain, they don't necessarily put the products in every store. I have a friend in the food business and when he was getting started, the big chains would put his product in a small number of stores to see how they sold before putting in larger orders.
chadash··on Association between influenza vaccination and risk of stroke in Alberta, Canada
> how would you call the upward trend of flu shots given each year then?

I guess I'd say that's significant as well? I don't need to analyze the numbers in much depth to see that there's an upward trend in people getting flu shots over the last few decades...

> Also, what would happen if we would normalize for better treatments, better vaccines available with each passing year? Or that shouldn't be taken into consideration?

Not sure what you are getting at here. Your original comment said "There is absolutely no relationship between the number of flu “vaccines” given and deaths from influenza." By the very sources that you gave, it's pretty clear that there is a significant correlation between the percentage of the population getting flu vaccines vs the rates of influenza mortality. In the time period you describe, the rate (which takes into account populationsize) of influenza deaths went down by almost half.

Now sure, correlation isn't causation, so it's entirely possible that there's some other factor leading to drops in flu deaths. Which is why the CDC has a pretty comprehensive page about how they determine the effectiveness of the flu vaccine [1] where they discuss methodologies, including shortcomings.

[1] https://www.cdc.gov/flu/vaccines-work/vaccineeffect.htm

chadash··on Association between influenza vaccination and risk of stroke in Alberta, Canada
In the second article that you cite, it says "once changes in the size and the age structure of the population are neutralized, a downward trend of influenza mortality appears".

i.e. adjusted for population size, influenza deaths went down significantly between 1959 and 2016.

chadash··on Hard truths I learned when I got laid off from my SWE job
> Honestly, if someone showed up with a gap in their resume and claimed that they were doing start-up, open source, etc. for an interview, I'd dig deep into that hard.

As a counterpoint, I probably wouldn't dig into this too much. But even if I did, would I find it strange that someone got laid off and then used their time to build up a company that didn't work out? Probably not. And if I realized that it was a half-assed effort... so what? Why is that worse than time spent playing video games? Sure, if you told me you were working on building a company and you didn't have any progress, I might feel that you were dishonest. But if you've got at least something to show for it (a basic product, even with zero sales), I think it's fair game.

chadash··on FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried to be released on $250M bail
Something tells me that there isn't anyone in the bail bonds business who can put up $250M (or would be willing to if they did).
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