157 karma · joined August 7, 2014
Prior to this time frame and more so in the last decade, there was a lot of focus on mastery of SW skills and even towards random exploration and learning, and all of that appears to have been lost. I personally felt all this has accelerated with the increase in big tech compensation, and levels.fyi and blind information.
The challenge with a greedy approach is that a career spans over multiple decades, and a lot of careers plateau over local minima and often one may have to down level or restart careers to find their true calling and excellence and the career growth that follows. This is better done at the beginning of the career when risks are lower than at a late career stage.
I feel like the current generation of AI is bringing us close enough to something that works once in a while but requires constant human expertise ~50% of the time. The self-driving industry is in a similar situation of despair where millions have been spent in labelling and training but something fundamental is amiss in the ML models.
And second, your comment that most folks achieve any accuracy is strange. These are not real businesses, they are mostly developers and hobbyists trying to learn. These folks sign up for kaggle and poke a few scripts and view half a class on coursera on ML. They are not real businesses and they have no money. Most of the real businesses are hiring startups or large companies that hire data scientists with domain expertise like in oil, manufacturing etc. (the IBM model). ML as an API is a disaster as a business model.
Also, AutoML is not even close to being better than humans even for a specific problem (across datasets). These click-bait titles don't fly outside of AI conferences.
2) startups are always growing or shrinking. no point putting so much significant capital unless it is an established in for a long haul at a location where talent is surplus.
3) if you indeed have that much capital, you can pretty much dictate what you want and get some tax benefits (amazon, second HQ) or work with a city build a new building suitable for your long-term needs (apple).
4) not much inventory that meets your needs in SF market because the property prices are always going up.
5) the leasing company actually has limited leverage. finding another tenant esp. the size of dropbox is not easy. you can bin pack other tenants but you lose lot of money until all new tenants move in.
The human brain is also very efficient so it also makes a very good use of those neurons, and modern networks aren't. However, a human brain trains over a very very long time and also prunes itself constantly, while such efficiency techniques at scale for very large networks are being explored in deep learning only recently.