785 karma · joined January 26, 2025
https://humanparadox.org
Would be a fun experiment.
Excited to roll out LFM 3 to replace it, looks like a big step up. Right now LFM 2.6 gets trustworthy annotations on just over 40% of data points. Just waiting for these to get into LocalAI.
>I do think there is a real but moderate Jevons effect here: because inference is so cheap now, I’m much more likely to implement marginal automations than I would have been before. But it isn’t unbounded. In practice, it’s maybe 2x or 3x as much code as I would have wanted at the old price, because I still have to specify what to build, review the output, and maintain it. When the price per task drops 20x, and my usage only goes up 2x to 3x, total dollar revenue into the ecosystem (and net GPU demand per user) still collapses by 70% to 85%.
I don't think this checks out. Jevon's paradox doesn't say when electricity becomes 20x cheaper, someone already using electricity will use 20x more on the same thing they already do, or even 20x more at all. It means a combination of more people and more enterprises will use it, and use more of it.
Concretely - at Claude API prices I'm not going to have AI run a bunch of things that I can do without it. But at DeepSeek API prices, I might.
Fundamentally, I think that we aren't even imagining a number of the use cases for AI, in large part because they don't exist yet. But I do think they will eventually exist in the next 20+ years. Right now we are strapping AI to everything, not reimagining life with coherent artificial intelligence. Similarly I couldn't have predicted something like Walmart+ or Amazon Prime back in 1995.
It also has 196B ngram params that sit on disk. So it's really pretty comparable to GLM 5.3 in size.
https://github.com/MiaAI-Lab/GLM-5.3-Flash-EXL3-2x-DGX-Spark...
I also had to downclock my Sparks (Asus) slightly, to 2000 Mhz. Otherwise they'd overheat and crash.
I would counter with this: If it is technically impossible to tell the difference between AI generated images, and real ones, how could anyone ever be prosecuted for having presumptive real ones in their possession ever again? Everyone tried would simply say "AI" and that'd be that, unless there was a victim to testify, or it was a case on generation of it etc.
So AI images of this nature do have victims, just slightly less directly.
Another adjacent question: How would you feel if it was an AI generated image of a specific child. What is the precise threshold of victimhood that is necessary?
When I was studying spindle shaped viruses by electron microscopy we'd get beautiful fiber diffraction patterns in the fourier transform of the micrographs. I always wanted to try and solve the helical parameters but never got around to it.
I don't disagree with the title. This spring folks were saying "I use Qwen 3.6 27B (or 35 A3B) as a daily driver". They either had low standards or were lying. The models were good enough technically, they capable enough, that you could see the potential, but the coherence was really not great compared to frontier. They'd lose track of what they were doing, mix things up, etc. Technical ability definitely arrived before coherence.
Then DeepSeek 4 Flash came out and suddenly it was like... Ok. You can run a local model that keeps coherence, and is decent technically. Then we got a rash of models that are both good technically and coherent: DS4 Flash 0731, Qwen 3.8 Flash Next, Qwen 3.8 27B, GLM 5.3 Flash, Hy4, MiMo 2.6 Flash... It just has no stopped. We have definitely crossed the threshold from interesting to very usable.
I like the solar bit. Not sure why the author is using a 4 model setup. My tests with Qwen 3.8 have convinced me it's completely fine general purpose, and dedicated small/vision/etc are useless. I can get 110 TPS single stream on 2x Sparks, with 5M total context, concurrent I think some folks are hitting 200-250 TPS. There's no reason to use anything else right now, it's really remarkable. For an Opus 4.6/4.7 quality model.
I am eagerly awaiting the release of Qwen 4 Flash.