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convexly

151 karma · joined March 25, 2026

www.convexly.app
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We scored 10k Polymarket wallets. Calibration barely predicts profit

convexly.app·4 pts·convexly·
0

We tested the insider trading claim on Polymarket with Taleb-proof methods

convexly.app·6 pts·convexly·
1

Show HN: I built a 2-min quiz that shows you how bad you are at estimating

convexly.app·20 pts·convexly·
66

Ask HN: Are Brier scores useful for personal decision making?

1 pts·convexly·
0