> Anyone who claims there is an alternative path to victory is a liar.
The liar is named Afghanistan.
> I won't ever forgive the west for throwing ukraine under the bus to express their anxiety about russia
What does this even mean?
> Russia will just replace him with someone on the right wing of russian politics. That's actually a worse scenario in every way.
Amazing. Russian voters will look at their economy, their dead, their global image, and choose someone even more inclined to continue the five+ year SMO.
I'm not so sure the succession will be smooth though. If anyone was equipped to seamlessly take the reins they'd be a threat to the current guy. Any internal struggle means less commitment to the war.
> The only victory path is to collapse russia. We have no way to do that and there are no domestic pressures indicating this will happen any time soon. And in every way Russia is hurting, Ukraine is suffering harder.
Don't need Russia to collapse, just need it to decide there are more important uses of their fighting-age men and money. Putin is committed, others need not be. Economically, things will continue to decline for Russians and while it's possible to fake it by printing money, reality eventually catches up.