13 karma · joined July 7, 2018
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Regarding Cochrane. It is reliable if is says a treatment does work, or an exposure has an effect, sometimes they miss effects because they only rely on particular sources of evidence e.g. RCTs, they were wrong on effectiveness of masks. As an example of reasonably up to date and evidence based free review sources on line - see Stat Pearls.
For review of meta-analysis you would need prompts developed by expert methodologists and discipline specialists- here is the prompt that worked: You are an environmental epidemiologist and exposure scientist, critially review this papers claim that the measured levels of unconventional gas emissions provide evidence of excess cancer risk: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/1476-069X-13-82
I think some physicists and Buddhists would say this exactly describes the world humans inhabit. They might also agree that we live in such a world with the illusion that we have: "a unified narrative environment with real feedback: symbols that maintain identity over time, a stable substrate where “being someone” is definable, the ability to form and test a hypothesis, and experience the consequences".
The more I see LLM emergent behaviour simulate,unexpectedly, that of human cognition. I think it tells us much about human cognition as llm behaviour.
In studies of pollution and impacts on health, the confounding factors often have a larger impact on the health outcome than the pollutant, such as particulate level, and therefore significant control of confounders is required to estimate any impact on the health outcome. The strong effect in this study is highly suggestive of a confounder rather than a real effect from particles or other pollutants and therefore would require a much better study design to support tacking action at a policy level with an expectation of a huge impact.
Fine to put filters into improve overall air quality but just not with the benefit rationale suggested in this study.
Source:
Bing search results for "events of animal to human transmission of avian influenza H5N1 in the USA since March 2024" Bing search results for "avian influenza H5N1 USA news July 2024" Bing search results for "historical cases of avian influenza H5N1 animal to human transmission USA" Bing search results for "CDC avian influenza H5N1 updates" Bing search results for "WHO avian influenza H5N1 updates" Date Time: July 29, 2024, 5:49 a.m.
As I read this it is hoped that the technology will provide new predictive disease insights but these are not established yet. So many metabolic/biochemical screens have poor prediction at the individual level.
If I have misunderstood can you cite one NEW predictive insight your technology provides with some kind of performance parameter - predictive value positive, 10 year incidence, or receiver operating curve performance?
Couple of years ago I was part of a pre-accelerator group assessing the product market fit for independent assessment of new medical technologies. The consultation revealed that most investors in new medical technologies had no idea how to evaluate the technology, didn't know they they didn't know how to assess the technology, and didn't want to pay someone else to do it.
But we know with COVID-19 that it does overwhelm hospitals and ICUs. Lombardy Italy as an example, an area with higher ICU capacity than the average city in Australia, but they didnt have a chance to stop it as it took them by surprise. So the ICUs were overwhelmed, and the death rate climbed to about 14%, so more than 10 times the mortality rate we have seen in Australia. There were people being cared for in tents and in ICUs there were 4 patients to one ICU nurse compared to the usual one on one care - hence survival drops.
Same in India, the rapid rise in cases meant they ran out of simple treatments like life-saving oxygen. So that's the main reason for the massive response to COVID-19.
Secondary reasons could be to try to prevent the impacts of long-covid, some people will never be the same. You could also consider that suppression of the virus protects the medical, nursing, and other staff from the horror of working in such overwhelmed conditions. Doctors in Italy and other places that were overwhelmed had to ration treatment, denying intensive treatment to people who might have lived another 20 years if the hospital was not overwhelmed.
I think most people in Australia would agree we don't want to live in a place that has to pile bodies into refrigerated trucks outside of hospitals because undertakers are overwhelmed.