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cujo

746 karma · joined July 17, 2008

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cujo··on Publishers Bought Millions of Website Visits They Found Out Were Fraudulent
It does matter though. They don't say they want 10000 clicks in a vacuum. They pay for that many clicks because the math tells them it should be worth $1k in revenue. In reality someone is manipulating the math

They should have been able to dedicate half the money for the same revenue, or the same money for double the rev, in your scenario.

Put another way, the estimate is that they pay out $500 for $2k in revenue, then someone came in and dumped a bunch of bots in the way and ate away half their revenue. It's not like those empty clicks are people who just weren't compelled to buy what they were selling. They are bots intentionally disrupting commerce.

cujo··on College Presidents Making $1M Rise with Tuition and Student Debt
256 players get drafted every year. There are 124 DI football teams with a max of 85 scholarships per year. If every player made it to their senior year, and the draft only took seniors, and every class was the same size, a player would have < 10% chance of getting drafted. That's a lot of "ifs" just make it to the pro level, and that does NOT get you paid!

That says nothing of the odds of actually making a roster in year one, and says even less of sticking around the league long enough for those big paydays to set you up after retirement.

Basically, if you're playing the odds, the expected value of a college football scholarship isn't bolstered much by the professional payday. Nearly all the value is in that college degree (paid for by scholarship). So graduating with a degree that you can turn into a career is the best play BY FAR.

That takes us to graduation rates. These seem to be fudged a bit since, well, it's in the programs' interests to hide poor performance. You can do your own digging. Lots of articles about this, and it's not terribly great. The NCAA has their bookeeping, the football programs have theirs, and most expert agree that neither counts accurately. Best case, graduation rates are in line with general student graduation rates. Worst case, not even close.

cujo··on John Lasseter taking a leave of absence amid reports of inappropriate behavior
> You can respect their achievements while separating the other half

Agree to disagree. If people would tell them to go to hell from the beginning, their achievements would go to someone else and we would all be better for it.

cujo··on Firefox Features Google as Default Search Provider in the U.S.
I'm seeing a checkbox to disable DRM content playing in preferences. I know it's just one item in your list, but at least it's an option.
cujo··on Tufte CSS
I don't find the font style a problem, but the size is so large that I find myself retreating from the screen.
cujo··on Hunting Mushrooms, and What Makes Some Glow in the Dark
Very little map checking. People generally know where public land is, as it is typically some sort of park or rec area.

Otherwise, land is mostly considered private and you stay off unless you have approval of the owner.

cujo··on Sonos: users must accept new privacy policy or devices may “cease to function”
That is the catch.
cujo··on Sonos: users must accept new privacy policy or devices may “cease to function”
> Also, activating Bluetooth is as frictionless as activating WiFi.

Not in my experience. Bluetooth is functional, but it's hard to call it better.

* Connecting 2 people (phones) to one device is hardly supported.

* Those 2 people can't really manage a single playlist without special effort.

* Auto connecting to a bluetooth speaker when I walk in the house doesn't happen. It does with wifi.

* Connecting to the bluetooth speaker typically kicks off any other connection

* The issue of walking too far from the bluetooth speaker with the playing device still exists.

* Ever run the microwave while streaming audio over bluetooth? It doesn't work.

In my experience, bluetooth is better at one thing: streaming whatever audio from whatever app I want.

cujo··on Sonos: users must accept new privacy policy or devices may “cease to function”
That's a fine solution if you have an extra one laying around. But I don't and I'm hesitant to buy a tablet just to drive a speaker.
cujo··on Sonos: users must accept new privacy policy or devices may “cease to function”
* Shared playlist/queue between all users of a household.

* No need to have a second device present to stream music. That is, I can start up music with the controller on my phone, and go to the store, but the music still plays since all the streaming is handled by the sonos speaker.

* No need to pair your phone/computer to the device every time you come home. Just get on the wifi, and you're set.

Those are the big ones for me, and honestly they're huge.

On the flip side, the biggest pain point is that you're beholden to whatever music services they include in their controller, and you have to use their controller to play music. So while they support Apple Music, I can't use the Music app on my phone to play it. I have to drill through the Sonos app and find what I want. It works pretty well, but it's annoying. Also, I can't stream Audible books, or Overcast podcasts since they aren't supported by the Sonos controller.

cujo··on Aging Parents with Lots of Stuff, and Children Who Don’t Want It
We have a garage, but we keep our car in the driveway and I say this as a New Englander. Having to keep the garage clean of the shit that falls off the car after a winter excursion is worse than having to brush the snow off after a storm, in my experience.
cujo··on Aging Parents with Lots of Stuff, and Children Who Don’t Want It
How is it a fantasy? If anything, I find it easier to get around in the winter, living in a city. Less traffic on the roads make cycling more pleasant (yes, I cycle in all levels of snow), and walking through town is peaceful and quiet(er) vs summer excursions.

I should say, I have a car, but we use it for leaving town, not <1 mile trips within it.

cujo··on The Myth of Drug Expiration Dates
I thought it it was illegal to have certain controlled substances past the prescription. So if you were prescribed a month's supply of oxycontin and got pulled over with it on your passenger seat a year later, you were breaking the law.
cujo··on USPS loses millions each year on local delivery of mail from abroad (2014)
Forgive my ignorance, but can't it go the other way also?

A contrived example...

A person has $X that they spend every week at the local town restaurant. They see they can buy a cool new widget from a Chinese vendor (from the article) for $Y. Over the course of the next few weeks, said person spends a little less at the restaurant so as to save up $Y, ultimately purchasing the widget once enough money is saved.

In this example the person is contributing less to the local economy.

cujo··on Verizon closes $4.5B acquisition of Yahoo, Marissa Mayer resigns
As for MS, Ballmer laid that foundation. Nadella is capitalizing, but MS is mostly capitalizing on it's position and not so much offering a ground breaking direction.
cujo··on Show HN: StockNerd – A community for index fund investors
Numbers. It's all about how you feel about that risk of crashing vs the potential payout.

Say I'm squirreling away $5k a year for a new car in 4 years. Every year I put in another $5k, so by the end, I've put in $25k.

If I put that in a typical savings account, I earn 0.1% and come out $50 ahead. Effectively 0, or losing value once you throw in inflation.

Go with stocks, at a 5% return, I end up with over $27k, and at 8% I have over $29k. It's also true that I could lose value, and that's the gamble.

So it's a matter of your comfort level, obviously, and if you can't afford to lose the money, don't invest. But in many many cases, the reward outweighs the risk.

I view it that I'm much, much more likely to get a return > 0.1% than experience a loss over 5 years, and I'm willing to accept the risk.

cujo··on Maru OS – A complete desktop experience on a smartphone
I always thought this was going to be the direction of the original iPod. Any day now...
cujo··on US teen died after drinking caffeine too quickly, coroner says
He had 3 caffeinated drinks. Obviously, he had a heart condition, but I'd guess this isn't the first time he'd had that much caffeine in his body. Kid just got dealt a shit hand.
cujo··on Guaranteed Minimum What?
> 99% of movies today are crap, so there's not much to talk about

So it's true now, then.

> If you've lost sight of the value of basic human interaction with anyone not baked into your caste, I pity you, even if you are in the majority.

This seems a bit extreme. I assume you don't use ATMs, auto-bill pay, or automatic check deposit then either? Because you clearly value human interaction at all possible avenues?

Perhaps people's "need" for interaction as they go about their day is somewhere in the middle.

cujo··on Ford tops the list of automated driving leaders in new study
Are you sure? From where I sit, it looks like Tesla is just offering a traditional car with a different set of organs. They don't seem to show any signs of doing anything different than ford on the sales/direction angle.
cujo··on New York Has a Great Subway, If You’re Not in a Wheelchair
I don't think I buy this as a viable alternative. The first problem that pops into my head is transportation for disabled people who are visiting the city or that commute in for whatever reason. Providing them access to the disabled-taxi-program is problematic.
cujo··on Start with universal basic income and a 15-hour work week
I get the feeling that 15 hours is a ballpark number and there are certain occupations that do require more time "in the seat" to make good progress. It's probably also true that if you're putting in only ~15 hours of productivity, you're probably going to dedicate some extra time to learning new things, advancing skills, etc.

My experience tells me that, as a developer, an awful lot of what I do could definitely fit in that 15 hour window if there are 2 other people also doing "my" job. Splitting up my week's tasks with the 3 of us putting in 45 hours would result in much more productivity, in my opinion.

I'd then have much more time to do things I wanted to do, and experiment with new tech for shits and giggles. That often gets pushed back in favor of other life experiences these days.

cujo··on White House Bars NYT, CNN, and Politico from Briefing
So you think this briefing was just a "special edition" or something?
cujo··on Trump Is Right: Silicon Valley Using H-1B Visas to Pay Low Wages to Immigrants
>If a gun manufacturer should be held liable for the results of people misusing a gun

They aren't.

cujo··on Windows 10 0day exploit goes wild, and so do Microsoft marketers
Gifting exploiters a 0day before the KNOWN patch release date, is causing problems.
cujo··on Windows 10 0day exploit goes wild, and so do Microsoft marketers
The researcher sounds really petty. They're patching it, but not on this person's schedule so he's causing microsoft and USERS problems they didn't have before.

If they weren't patching, I'd understand, but this isn't the right way to get attention in my book.

cujo··on Amazon Plans First Air Cargo Hub
People don't complain about USPS because they suck at delivering to my "island" home in the middle of a swamp. They complain about USPS because somehow they seem to get a lot of employees who just don't try.

In my experience, Fedex and UPS deliver when they say they will. USPS "attempts" deliver all the time only for the package to fail to arrive. I live in the urban part of a small city/big town. There is essentially never a reason a package can't be delivered.

My latest gripe concerns the USPS person that delivers my daily mail. She loves to catch me outside and let me know that she doesn't "legally" have to deliver my mail if there is snow on my steps. I live in New England. Everyone has fucking snow on their steps.

cujo··on The strange effects of thinking healthy food is costlier
And people with celiac are benefiting enormously by the generic diet trend of eating low gluten/gluten free by the masses who have nothing wrong with them.

A quick google search shows 86% of people who are think they're gluten sensitive, aren't. That's nearly 90% of the stuff in the "gluten free" section of your grocery that's being bought by people who are just wrong.

So for 9/10 people buying gluten free food thinking it's healthier, there is no evidence. lintiness is speaking to that.

cujo··on My Favorite Books of 2016
Haven't been through the whole catalog, but #3 and #4 were very good.

"Lots of things in the world seem ordinary. But when you dig deeper, it turns out, they’re fascinating. Surprisingly Awesome tells those stories."

https://gimletmedia.com/show/surprisingly-awesome

cujo··on Tell HN: Riseup.net fails to update canary; fingerprints deleted without notice
I believe the reason for "a FOIA" is "FOIA" is being pronounced as a word like "foya" instead of the individual letters "F-O-I-A".
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