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darkwizard42

1,978 karma · joined January 25, 2018

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darkwizard42··on OpenAI annualised revenues $20B less than previously signalled
Sure, and you do show that (and most companies who use annualized revenue are growing so fast their monthly chart looks like a hockey stick). Annualized revenue is a revenue number that serves as the minimum you expect to do if you are truly fast growing.
darkwizard42··on Study: Claude, ChatGPT Offer Different Shopping Prices Based on Wealth
What would stop Bill Gates from spending $150K+ on just growing his own bananas and then selling them for a market clearing price at modest profit and therefore putting your banana pricing scheme out of business?

This is a wholly unrealistic way to do business lol.

darkwizard42··on OpenAI annualised revenues $20B less than previously signalled
Honest question, everyone really hates annualized revenue, but how else do you measure the revenue for a company that is (presumably) growing so much month over month? You can't just state revenue projections because they are growing too fast for them to ever make much sense.

Obviously for fast-growing companies, they always want to overstate their success to get that next bit of funding (or in OAI, Anthropic's case justify their existing valuation), so what metric should they share to investors?

darkwizard42··on Study: Claude, ChatGPT Offer Different Shopping Prices Based on Wealth
That is the point, the market will find the equilibrium, which is selling bananas at a market clearing price ($0.50) and make a modest profit on each banana. You can charge $150,000 per banana, but Bill Gates can just go to a different banana stand OR just not buy a banana and now you make nothing.
darkwizard42··on Study: Claude, ChatGPT Offer Different Shopping Prices Based on Wealth
"It only makes sense that the wealth created that way is also able to be drained that way" is a HUGE statement that is highly unsupported by your argument.

We pay a price for a banana because of the intrinsic value of the banana AND the price the market will bear for a banana. Bill Gates will never pay $150,000 for a banana because a banana is not worth that much. You can try to charge him for that and instead you will just not sell him any bananas. The capitalist here loses because they want to make money and would sell a banana at a market clearing rate.

darkwizard42··on How Delhi cut electricity loss from 50 to 5 percent
Would argue it is even coming to Tier 3 cities (personal experience from Rourkela, Odisha where I feel like rooftop solar has exploded in the last 5 years)
darkwizard42··on AI needs $6T in annual revenue to justify data centre boom
For what its worth, https://www.weaverobotics.com/ is one of those VC-funded robot-to-fold-your-laundry companies! I think physical world implications are coming!
darkwizard42··on Anthropic tells investors it will be profitable for second straight quarter
Seeing a lot of tricks similar to how ridesharing companies tried to be "profitable" before going to IPO. Caveat: Thing have materially improved but really Uber is carried by its insane Ads margins

The idea of removing model training from your costs is a little wild tbh.

The profitability of being able to serve a query wasn't really under question (nor is the margin expected to be anything less than 80%+) I think.

darkwizard42··on Cognition launches new SWE-2 model, Rivaling Fable 5.1 and GPT-Astra
I think the evolution of the harness and ability to preserve loop context outside the context window has made running these kinds of agentic experiences easier.

sorry so many buzzwords to say, the capabilities to do this kind of work are more accessible and easier to manage, so now it works!

Good to see, and agree they were severely overhyping their product back then.

darkwizard42··on Muse – Meta’s personal AI agent
The average person is not serving on a board and is definitely not volunteering.

Sports communications at most travel/rec leagues is via group chat / Whatsapp / FB group.

darkwizard42··on Muse – Meta’s personal AI agent
The average kid in an average suburban public school is not getting this amount of digital communication. If they are, they still aren't using a Google Calendar and are managing the complexity in much simpler ways (paper calendars)
darkwizard42··on Muse – Meta’s personal AI agent
The average person is not using a calendar and is not getting more than 1 relevant personal email per week.

Most people use their personal email extremely sparingly and it is inundated with promotional / account-related materials which are already handled rather deftly by most mainstream email providers

darkwizard42··on Fastpotify
I don't see you publishing something which further reduces the memory footprint?

Given the project is open source, have at it! See if you can help improve it instead of complaining. This is a significant improvement and a cool project!

darkwizard42··on Nvidia Starts Pac as AI Chip Maker Builds DC Influence Force
The problem is that it requires vast sums of money to influence politics.

That is the antithesis of how politics should function (people are the interest, not moneyed companies)

darkwizard42··on Meta reaches $17B settlement over social media harms to children
Some payment is withheld unless competitors (Youtube, TikTok) take specific actions as well.
darkwizard42··on Meta reaches $17B settlement over social media harms to children
Well, they are being asked to make changes as well, which presumably prevents the damage.

It can be argued the changes don't go far enough so maybe "pay fine, reduce harm, but harm still permitted..."

darkwizard42··on Meta reaches $17B settlement over social media harms to children
The prosecutors representing the justice departments of states of California, Colorado, Kentucky, and New Jersey
darkwizard42··on Meta reaches $17B settlement over social media harms to children
For what its worth, if you believe Meta's product does do this damage, the other products which do similar things should also abide by it.

It helps simultaneously "level the playing field" but also protects consumers.

If the courts stated ruling is hinged on consumer protection then this seems fair. Any competitor which doesn't follow suit is likely opening themselves up to a similar lawsuit which would cost a similar order of magnitude of damages (so it is in the interest of the competitors to do take these actions)

darkwizard42··on Waymo in Dallas
The US is unique in its "cable" and telecom approach (maybe shared with some other Western countries).

In most APAC and African countries cell plans are extremely competitive and data is SUPER cheap. Same with streaming services.

darkwizard42··on Waymo in Dallas
I think Uber is openly stressful, but is not transparently low paying or dangerous and that is why people are working it. On face value, it seems easy to earn with your existing vehicle, but most drivers dramatically overestimate earnings after depreciation, fuel, maintenance on their vehicle. Additionally, Uber puts the driver in the most dangerous situations (pickups and drops on active roadways) which aren't apparent to the driver. Driving for 6 hours a day will eventually wear on you.

So, yes, I think drivers severely underestimate the risks and rewards and that is why another job is likely better (which is loosely defined here)

darkwizard42··on Mark Zuckerberg attacks 'closed' AI rivals as Meta returns to open models
It doesn't seem like it is confirmed it was on 16 [1]. The Coast Guard said the ship was not in immediate danger. Does that change your opinion?

[1]https://alaskabeacon.com/briefs/cruise-ship-helps-stranded-s...

darkwizard42··on Waymo in Dallas
The Uber driver likely gets a different job, probably something a little less stressful and low paying (and frankly dangerous) than Uber.
darkwizard42··on Delivery workers made $104M more in tips after NYC began enforcing new law
Because I make significantly more than the guaranteed rate of the delivery driver.

I didn't claim being a delivery driver was so lucrative that I wanted to do it. I just pointed out that they are now being paid a guaranteed wage (which is fairer than "working" for an hour with no predictability on what you will make).

darkwizard42··on Delivery workers made $104M more in tips after NYC began enforcing new law
Why is tip before the order the norm? That is the question.

Why would you tip before the service is provided if the tip is meant to be for good service? If the tip is no longer a bonus for good service, then what is it for?

This is the confusing part of the entire experience.

darkwizard42··on Citadel Buys Situational Awareness's Stock Portfolio After Big Losses in AI
If you are a supergiant like Citadel you can simply acquire positions which are so large they are the equivalent of someone's portfolio (or put another way, Citadel sees a huge block of equities packaged up, looking to move and bids on it).

It would be like if you needed to acquire 100M shares of Apple -- usually a broker will fill that large of an order from several sources OR if some fund has the full liquidity, it can be filled from that single position (and thus acquiring the fund's portfolio position). Now repeat this for their ENTIRE portfolio.

darkwizard42··on Delivery workers made $104M more in tips after NYC began enforcing new law
What is the evidence that tipped workers are universally underpaid? Compared to who and against what benchmark? In the law passed by the city, the drivers are now very well compensated -- and guaranteed that compensation (something I believe is important).
darkwizard42··on Citadel Buys Situational Awareness's Stock Portfolio After Big Losses in AI
I think this is probably true. Allowed for Citadel and others to create a ton of pressure on SA's highly leveraged positions.

Always a bigger whale out there with the ability to exert pressure...

darkwizard42··on Delivery workers made $104M more in tips after NYC began enforcing new law
I think this just further confuses end users and is another reason we should get rid of tipping culture.

Tips are currently serving several purposes in users' minds:

1. earned for great service

2. to make up for lower base pay (tipped min wage is lower in many US states)

3. to help employees who they feel aren't making enough

Now reasons #2 and #3 are no longer true because driers are now fairly (IMHO) compensated through the guaranteed wage. How many users actually know about this?

Sure more money is flowing into the drivers' pockets, but doesn't this just continue to muddle the usage of tips and ultimately cost the consumer more?

darkwizard42··on Government orders GitHub to remove Bluetooth-based chat app Bitchat: Jack Dorsey
Yeah, I don't think the terrorism in India is from lack of being heard.

It is generally extremist arms interested in destabilizing India to strengthen other regional powers (usually Pakistan).

The goal of much of these terrorist attacks simply end with ... no India, not "we demand change to policies in a reasonable way"

darkwizard42··on Profiling the "Abundance" housing bottleneck with real data
Is this similar to Singapore where much of the housing stock is government housing?
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