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dev_jim

599 karma · joined December 30, 2010

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dev_jim··on Zillow to Acquire Trulia for $3.5B
1) Deals can always fall apart.

2) Shorting isn't free. It will costs money to borrow the stock. You have to borrow it for more than 6 months until the deal closes.

dev_jim··on The Fed suckered IBM into a failing cloud strategy?
Cringely should stick to commenting on tech as opposed to the validity of raising debt to do share buybacks in a low interest rate environment.
dev_jim··on Barclays Not Smart
Sorry, you are mixing and matching concepts from reading too many articles on HFT.

> the dark pool operators make money from the HFT's not in terms of the commission, but in terms of collocating fees,

No. Dark pool don't really charge collocation fees. Barclays LX didn't. Most dark pools are in Weehawken and it's just a simple $500 cross-connect from your existing trading system.

> market data fees

It's a dark pool. There is no market data to charge a fee from.

> , and the right to be one of only a few HFTs allowed in the dark pool via collocating, ie exclusivity.

Not in the case of Barclays LX. They let every HFT in at very low rates which is the entire point of the article.

dev_jim··on Basic Data Structures and Algorithms in the Linux Kernel
I agree. It helped me when I was a bit rusty with data structures and was looking for a new job recently. And if you can try and re-implement the data structures in a different way. For example, the JDK HashMap uses chaining so try and build an open addressing one. Not only does it teach you about data structures themselves but it gets you practicing coding very quickly for these toy coding problems that get thrown at you during interviews.
dev_jim··on Ask HN: Where can I find a software job that helps society?
Get a job in trading and you can change the world.
dev_jim··on TWTR
How does Wall St always seem to end up with the blame on these threads? They priced the Facebook IPO too high and they get the blame, they priced the Twitter IPO too low and they get the blame. The company just went public and raised $2B+ at a higher valuation initial valuation then anyone expected. IPOs are tricky things to get right. Give it a few months for the hype to settle down before you start screaming about "joe public".
dev_jim··on What Long Hours Really Mean
Bonus is part of an overall compensation package. Its not payment for 'overtime'. Its just a different risk/reward calculation then only salary. The key point in all of this is to have a mutual understanding of expectations with your manager.
dev_jim··on What Long Hours Really Mean
> that consistent hard work generally results in rather substantially increased compensation and opportunity in the long term.

I agree. I don't think I'd be in the same place in my career today if I had a "working for free" attitude. Sometimes it was more hours and sometimes it was just a genuine curiosity about taking on challenges that are completely foreign to me.

Getting increases in comp is always a long-term game. There's no road map (i.e., work 2 more hours building this to get that experience which will increase my market value by X) and you'll go down a lot of wrong roads that will add zero to your market value. More importantly it requires delayed gratification. There can be a long delay between the work you put in and the payoff.

dev_jim··on What Long Hours Really Mean
"Working for free" after 40 hours never resonated with me. It comes out of hard fought labor battles, but an assembly line is difficult to relate to when I'm eating free snacks in my comfy Aeron chair and working on things that generally interest me.

I think the biggest issue here is misaligned expectations between boss and worker. Personally, I've always gone into a job understanding what it was going to take to be successful. My comp expectations are adjusted accordingly. In trading bonds, which is nearly a 24 hour market, it does require >8 hours on the trading floor. At the end of the year my boss doesn't really care about my hours as long as our customers are happy and I've produced PnL.

dev_jim··on The Great Career Debate: Google Versus Goldman
> I have a finance background and previously worked for UBS and in retail and wholesale stockbroking. I fully understand the role of, say, market makers in the financial system (ie providing liquidity).

> I hear those same arguments being used for HFT but honestly they don't really stack up (IMHO). <snip> It must be a challenge and I'm sure you can make a lot of money, which is fine, but it doesn't really contribute anything to the financial system.

These two statements stand in direct contrast. If you understand the role of market makers then you should understand that the most popular HFT strategy is to be an electronic market maker. It's about competition for liquidity provision which tightens spreads which reduce the cost of trading for everyone.

> 2. Not allowing investment banks to fail ("too big to fail" like Merrill Lynch). Bailouts of investment banks could reasonably be described as welfare for investment bankers;

This would have caused the collapse of the global economy. Google would have suffered mightily from the following depression. Companies like ML might "deserve" to be punished and that process is now working it's way through the courts, but that bailout cost a lot less than 25% unemployment.

> 3. Allowing banks to take positions as well as operate as market makers. There really should be strict separation here;

By it's very definition, a market maker must take proprietary positions.

> 5. Strict regulation on commodities market to separate speculators from hedgers. Driving up food prices causing untold misery even death should result in criminal liability for the organization and key personnel.

Hyperbole. There's never been any evidence that speculation on commodities is "driving up food prices" let alone causing "misery event death".

dev_jim··on How Big Is The NYC Tech Sector?
Common enough. Skills are so specialized thhough that it doesn't always make sense to switch though. Its a different career track, not a promotion. Top end trader will make more but top end developer will make more then the average trader. You should focus on what you are good at.
dev_jim··on How Big Is The NYC Tech Sector?
The closer to the trade you are the higher bonus is as a percentage of your total comp. I did mention "front office" in my original post.

- Infrastructure is vital to most trades. Bonuses are going to more than 30% if you're on the cutting edge here - prop shops, some technology oriented hedge funds, and some banks.

- If by tools you mean GUIs then no.

- Engineers who write trading algos (or more likely algo components that are used by a trader at a higher level) will have a bonus that is more than 30%.

dev_jim··on How Big Is The NYC Tech Sector?
> For any job that you're likely to get in your 20s, NYC finance jobs pay worse, have far longer hours, and are much more high-pressure.

If you're working in the front office then your pay is going to be a multiple of a startup job. And it's going to be significantly higher then any established company in the area (Amazon, Facebook, Google). A good rule of thumb is your base will be similar what established companies pay and your bonus is all gravy.

Pressure and hours vary by firm. It's hard to generalize.

dev_jim··on Financing Investment In A World Without Maturity Transformation
If it trades on the public U.S. equity markets then there's no special information available to accredited investors.
dev_jim··on David Byrne: If the 1% stifles New York's creative talent, I'm out of here
Those movies were addressing a contemporary phenomenon when inequality took off again after being relatively dormant since the 1920's. A combination of deregulation, a reduction in top tax rate, and demand for all kinds of debt caused an explosion of wealth on Wall Street. Meanwhile the rest of city was still recovering from being bankrupt in the 70s.
dev_jim··on Twitter files S-1 with the SEC
Another lazy post voted to the top on HN that beats the same ole lack of profit drum in a rapidly growing company. Where's the comparison to Apple to really drive home the point?
dev_jim··on BlackBerry to cut 4,500 jobs, predicts 2nd quarter loss of $950M
Jeez man, Breaking Bad was just last week. Show a little originality in your postings.
dev_jim··on List of Wall Street CEOs prosecuted for the financial crisis
There have been prosecutions in the US and UK.
dev_jim··on Twitter Files For IPO
This is awesome. I use Twitter everyday in a way that can't be replicated by any other service out there - there's zero competition. Once they really figure out monetization, as Facebook eventually did, it will be a home run for investors.
dev_jim··on Apple Unveils The iPhone 5S
Urgh. When do we get to the point where I can read HN without a snarky NSA comment being voted to the top?
dev_jim··on If you’re not rich, your bank probably wants you to overdraft
"That's a circular argument"

If it sounds like a circular argument to you then that's because economics involve systems of feedback. It's not as simple as A causes B. A has an effect on B which has effect on A. This isn't a very difficult concept that you needed to waste 4 paragraphs on.

dev_jim··on If you’re not rich, your bank probably wants you to overdraft
Interchange fees would have to be much higher if they were a larger percentage of a credit card company's revenue (as they are for AMEX). This would end up resulting in higher costs for consumers.
dev_jim··on San Francisco Real Estate Exuberance
A $900k home is ~$3,600/month P+I after 20% down. Considering that principal is actually savings and you can deduct X% of the interest, you are looking at a true effective cost at under $2k + real estate taxes and maintenance. The carrying costs are easily doable by a couple in the tech industry, let alone the actual effective monthly costs. What's depressing about that?

It sounds like you're brought up with a more traditional expectation of constitutes a house - 2.3 kids, picket fence, et. all. That's depressing.

dev_jim··on Google Ventures Puts $258M Into Uber, Its Largest Deal Ever
> Uber is 15% cheaper than cabs in the market's their in.

This is just false in NYC. Yellow cabs are 1/3-1/2 the price.

dev_jim··on San Francisco Real Estate Exuberance
When you are ready to have kids then either your finances have probably improved and you can afford that 2BR or you move farther out to cheaper areas of the city / suburbs.

Or be happy with a life without children as a lot of us are.

dev_jim··on San Francisco Real Estate Exuberance
I guess I don't see why options 2 or 3 are that bad, but either way, there isn't going to be a brain drain as long as the job market is good. New York, even at twice the expense (600k 1-BRs, sign me up!) doesn't have a problem with brain drain. Sure people leave every year, but more move in, as the quality of life in the city cannot be matched anywhere else.
dev_jim··on The Story of Japan's 'Lost Decades' was a Hoax
> economic superpower

Not that his point is valid, but he did say economic superpower and the USSR was certainly not.

dev_jim··on The Story of Japan's 'Lost Decades' was a Hoax
I don't see why he keeps trotting out this thesis that just isn't supported by data. Japan's GDP has been stagnant over the past two decades:

https://www.google.com/search?q=japan+GDP

Adjusting for working age population shows a similar trend. And if data doesn't work for you then there's a ton of other signs that the economy is not doing well:

- Interest rates have been stuck against the zero lower bound

- Stock market is 1/4 of what it was at it's peak

- Property values have still not recovered in major cities

- Debt as a percentage of GDP has ballooned to over 200%

Now with that being said - if I had to choose a country to spend two lost decades in, it would be Japan. Local savers have allowed them to issue debt at very low interest rates which has been able to cover shortfalls. And there is signs that Abenomics is taking hold.

dev_jim··on Amazon's profits
"Only if you sold the stock at that price."

Nope, you don't get to redefine a return as only realized gains. This is a very liquid and can be sold at anytime. I can borrow against it in my portfolio to get a mortgage, can use it for margin, etc.

"But at some point, growing profits has to be a concern, too."

Not when the cash can be more smartly reinvested in growth. Facebook is above it's IPO price btw which means growth is in line with a year ago.

"Maybe the best way I can phrase it: Do you want to be Apple or Amazon?"

Apple's growth has completely stalled and they have no clue what to do with $100B+ in cash which is the reason for their massive stock price fall. Amazon knows exactly what to do with their cash and is piling it into growth. This is a far more efficient use of capital for an investor.

And I don't know what it means to "be Apple or Amazon" but I'd rather be an investor in Amazon - and so would most of Wall Street.

dev_jim··on Amazon's profits
"We went through all of this in the Dot Com bubble in the 90s. Most people believed it was OK to invest lots of money in companies without profits"

This is silly. Amazon has real revenue that is growing at a fantastic rate. Pets.com and it's ilk did not.

"when Amazon might finally give a return to its investors."

It has given a return to it's investors. Up 655% in the last 10 years and 17,000% since inception.

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