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discodave

1,580 karma · joined July 11, 2011

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discodave··on Kenya suspends Sam Altman’s eyeball-scanning crypto project
As a thought experiment, could a witness protection program (i.e. an arm of the government) issue a new/fake SSN? Yes.

Could they change your retina? Maybe some surgery exists to do this, but it sounds risky/complicated!

discodave··on First new US nuclear reactor in decades enters commercial operation in Georgia
The US Navy builds many reactors for the price of this power plant.

A Virginia class submarine in 2023 costs $4.3 billion (that's for the whole submarine), it has a 210MW S9G reactor.

The Vogtle Unit 3 was $17 billion over budget, for a $30 billion total budget, for 1,100 MW.

$204MM / MW for the US Navy vs $273MM / MW for Georgia Power et. al.

This project makes nuclear submarines look like a bargain!

Sources:

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virginia-class_submarine

* https://apnews.com/article/georgia-power-co-southern-climate...

discodave··on Ask HN: Could you share your personal blog here?
https://blog.drgriffin.com.au

Of interest to the HN crowd are probably these posts:

- https://blog.drgriffin.com.au/posts/2020-06-21-the-three-fs-...

- https://blog.drgriffin.com.au/posts/2020-07-31-cracking-the-...

- https://blog.drgriffin.com.au/posts/2021-07-12-prioritizing-...

- https://blog.drgriffin.com.au/posts/2020-06-28-servers-in-se...

- https://blog.drgriffin.com.au/posts/2021-01-13-facts-will-no...

discodave··on Cloud seeding catching on amid Rocky Mountain drought
Beijing Olympics was 2008, that's 15 years ago.

https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna23397205

discodave··on Ford CEO: Tesla's Cybertruck Is Only for 'Silicon Valley People'
The other difference between Cybertruck and Ford trucks is that Ford has actually sold trucks to customers.
discodave··on Former US SEC attorney: 'Get out of crypto platforms now'
1. Agree

2. Err, I can't see any big banks or other entities touching COIN, and the CRIMINAL proceedings that it will likely be embroiled in with a 10-ft pole!

3. Maybe BTC will come to 'dominate' the 'crypto' space, but that space will be a smaller and smaller part of the US (and global) economy. Although it never got very big to start with. BTC is used for approximately 0.0% of US transactions right now (rounded to nearest decimal place).

discodave··on Titanic tourist submersible goes missing with search under way
I've heard of bungie jumping, and sky diving businesses, any examples of base jumping businesses (not counting gear makers).
discodave··on Binance sees $2B in outflows as troubles compound
Why not? Gold is both a commodity and a security (think gold ETFs).

This logic seems like wishful thinking that people can't get rekt by both the SEC and CFTC, they can.

discodave··on FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
Probably just a haircut. How much nobody knows yet, but according to the FDIC release, 3 months ago they actually had $209B of assets, so it's not a FTX-like 'oops we accidentally your money' scenario.
discodave··on A Cold War mystery: Why did Jimmy Carter save the space shuttle?
From Wikipedia:

> A NASA history of the Hubble,[24] in discussing the reasons for switching from a 3-meter main mirror to a 2.4-meter (94 in) design, states: "In addition, changing to a 2.4-meter mirror would lessen fabrication costs by using manufacturing technologies developed for military spy satellites".

This, to me, says that KH-11 came first...

discodave··on Netlify acquires Gatsby
Who says they paid a premium? The price isn't mentioned in the press release.
discodave··on Netlify acquires Gatsby
Maybe the way to think about this isn't so much from the perspective of Netflifys leadership, but Gatsby and their founders/investors.

Had Gatsby found a scalable business model?

Maybe this is more of a saving-face/acquihire for Gatsby. Granted, there is potentially some strategic benefit for Netlify, but not enough to justify a large acquisition price (the price is not mentioned in the press-release).

discodave··on ASML Q4 2022 financial results
There was an Odd Lots episode where they went deep on how complicated the ASML supply chain is.

I think it was this one (though there might have been another one): https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/asml-the-obscure-power...

discodave··on Amazon acquires 400 acres near new Intel development in Ohio
To wit: One way you can find Amazon (or other) datacenters on Google maps is to look for the substation next door.
discodave··on Amazon to Lay Off over 17,000 Workers, More Than First Planned
Sounds like Amazon.

Back in the day they managed to avoid 'layoffs' by transferring thousands of people from Fire Phone -> Alexa. They somehow avoided layoffs from shutting down Prime Air (drones, not 767s), even though that had a lot of employees.

They're pretty good at getting people to leave without doing 'layoffs'.

Heck, if you believe that they've always had 5-10% 'unregretted attrition' targets, which I do, and apply it to the whole company, that's 50-100k employees per year!

discodave··on Apple headset leak reveals new details and confirms earlier rumors
For those baulking at the cost:

Various estimates size the corporate travel market at hundreds of billions of dollars per year.

$3000 isn't that expensive compared to a business class plane ticket, and hotel.

Apple has a history of convincing people to pay lots of money for things (the $1000 iPhone wasn't that long ago!)

discodave··on Amazon CEO Andy Jassy says layoffs will continue into next year
One answer would be: Because the 'unregretted attrition' or PIP quota is still a thing!

But also, people voluntarily quitting is even better for Amazon.. no severance.

discodave··on FTX used corporate funds to purchase employee homes, new filing shows
Tether's 'market cap' is like 60 billion or whatever, I think most of that was just created out of thin air, but I think some of it was exchanged for real dollars, like a few percent, maybe a couple of billion dollars. In which case, when the fraud comes crashing down, they will have stolen hundreds of millions, to maybe a couple of billion dollars.

Imagine if somebody stole a piece of art worth hundreds of millions of dollars...

discodave··on FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall
I managed to get this screenshot at least:

https://twitter.com/findgriffin/status/1590822569883873280

discodave··on Is the AWS us-west-2 region experiencing an outage?
Joke answer: Because dumping on AWS is fun!

Serious answer: People will confirm or not in the comments, this post seems pretty reasonable, if a little trigger happy. It could just be a random launch failure.

discodave··on Elon Musk moves ahead with Twitter deal in 13D filing
That is an interesting hypothesis.

But,

a) The banks may well be able to sell these bonds, just with a higher yield. b) Maybe there are some clients out there with lotsa cash (Buffet, Bezos, Gates) who would love to have Elon owe them tens of billions of dollars at 10% yield.

If the whole thing goes tits up, then the bondholders own Twitter, not Elon.

discodave··on Elon Musk moves ahead with Twitter deal in 13D filing
Well, the market cap of Tesla is currently over $700B, so spending 6% of your market cap on marketing isn't that crazy.

But in this case I don't think Musk is playing checkers, when everybody else is playing chess.. I think he was just doin drugs, and tweetin twetes.

discodave··on SQLite: QEMU All over Again?
My thoughts exactly!

Why does it even need to be forked? The whole point of using SQLite as a foundation for distributed, edge, or other stuff is that it's a solid foundation that can be trusted to not change too much.

Why the need to open SQLite to contributions? Build your fancy distributed, or edge database on top of SQLite and you won't need to modify SQLite at all.

discodave··on Amazon built a new unit to fix its engineering culture
Amazon has had an org called 'Builder Tools' or some variation on that for over a decade (maybe much longer?). That team has historically owned the systems for build, deployment, source control etc. AWS also uses the 'builder' terminology a lot in their marketing. E.g. Werner saying 'Now go build!' at the end of his keynotes, and the 'Build On AWS' campaign.
discodave··on Ask HN: Anyone having issues with job applicant fraud?
That still costs you (the employer) money. It's like a DoS attack for your hiring system.

E.g. a nefarious actor could harm a competitor by overwhelming them with fake applicants that it takes time to sift through.

discodave··on Mikhail Gorbachev has died
If you wanna act like a superpower, then you're going to get judged like a superpower.
discodave··on Ex-Twitter exec blows the whistle, alleging reckless cybersecurity policies
Hahahaha...

Wait until you hear about the large cloud provider running RHEL5... (I worked at said provider).

discodave··on Why is Snowflake so expensive
> Every dollar of Snowflake revenue is a dollar of revenue that Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Databricks are fighting for.

This is true, but misses one detail...

Snowflake runs in the cloud so every dollar of Snowflake revenue is roughly $0.40^1 of Amazon/Google/Microsoft revenue anyway.

^1: Snowflakes gross margin is in the range of 50-60% https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/SNOW/snowflake/gro...

discodave··on AWS GuardDuty – the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
Those services are gateway, or requirements for using other services though.

A VPC isn't useful without EC2 instances in it. AWS Organizations allows you to create more accounts, with more instances, databases etc in them!

discodave··on Kubernetes StatefulSets are Broken
Amazon historically has gone after 'low margin' businesses. The cloud, at 25% margins (for AWS) is is 'low margin' compared to traditional software sales.
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