5,089 karma · joined November 29, 2013
I think we're already seeing it. People don't understand that an LLM is just a text generator and add value to what the LLM says. See the article below for such an example.
https://www.vice.com/en/article/pkadgm/man-dies-by-suicide-a...
And a society that burdens people with debt causing them to work every waking moment while avoiding costly things like health care, because they might miss a day of work or become even more indebted through the cost of said health care. People just pick up opioids so they can handle the pain and keep working two jobs.
I know hardly anyone in my country that works more than 40 hours a week. In fact, most people I know work 36 or 32. Two jobs is pretty much unheard of over here. I hear plenty of stories in the US though, about teachers working a second job somewhere else.
Below is pretty much how I did it:
Step 1:
Buy an Ender 3. It's cheap and there are tons of upgrades out there. Start printing stuff from Printables/Thingiverse in order to understand how slicing and printing works. Learn the jargon by researching issues you run into (don't just ask on forums, search for yourself).
Step 2:
Find some upgrades for the printer through Youtube, Reddit and the likes. Buy (or print) them and upgrade your printer. Run into issues, fix them and start understanding how the entire thing works.
Step 3:
Print this [0] model and watch this [1] video on how it was designed. It shows really well what constraints you're working with when designing for 3D printing and how to work around them. Then, start designing your own prints in whatever CAD software you want to learn. I started with Fusion 360, but anything is fine, probably.
In my niche(s), I still see new Youtubers pop up all the time that gain large followings and turn Youtube into a full-time job. Sure, they don't all become rich, but many have started earning enough to drive Teslas, so it's definitely not pennies.
I think I disagree. If software then becomes 10x cheaper, a lot of use cases that used to be too expensive to build now becomes affordable. At my own job, I think we could easily do 10x the business, because our customers need tons of tooling (for example for energy transition) but we don't have the people (among other problems).
So... Those people fill in jobs in businesses/countries where there's a shortage, causing a shortage somewhere else?
> political soundbite
Is exactly what you are doing. If there's no shortage in (skilled) labor, why is unemployment at the lowest rate in decades in much of the western world? Why are there not enough builders in much of the EU, while countries like Romania are suffering shortage due to skilled workers moving to EU countries to earn more? Why can't I find enough devs to do even half the work we could be doing? Why are so many companies looking at automation to solve the lack of labor?
This has been happening since the inception of school. Calculators made math easier. Sparknotes made book reports easier. Wikipedia made essays easier.
> leading to a further drop in levels
Did levels drop because stuff got easier? Were there other causes over the past years, like dopamine dependency form infinitely scrolling algorithmic attention grabbing apps, among others? Maybe from schools becoming political battle grounds? Or from education spending being gutted leading to lower quality? Was it lack of decent education due to Covid?
Also, is there an actual drop in levels? I can't seem to find a source that has decent data on this. And the only stuff I can find says 'IQ' has been rising over time. So please share it with me.
Lastly, I'm personally not convinced any of this will lead to a net negative per se. It'll change the required knowledge and increase the over all capabilities of people. The calculator caused people to stop learning mental arithmetic and start learning more complicated math and how to use a calculator for it. Google caused people to memorize less and become adept at finding information through Google. Welding robots caused less people to learn how to weld and more how to program welding robots.
In the end it gives people the ability to do less of a simple thing and more of a complicated thing. Writing marketing e-mails and multiple titles for A/B testing isn't a skill, it's a trick and so is writing SEO stuff. Not having to do that opens up time to think about product-market fit, marketing strategies, improving advertising return on investment measurements. Which might be more valuable and interesting than writing emails.
I'm going to guess there's a very specific target market for this, 'lazy' people with a lot of money who don't really do a lot of research before they buy stuff. They are aware of climate change and the need to reduce emissions and have heard of heat pumps as a solution. They've already installed solar panels through a similar service that made the process seamless. They don't want to spend hours calling contractors, getting estimates and selecting someone who is trustworthy. They've bought the same brand car from the same dealership for the last 40 years or so because it's familiar and has worked every time.
There's a massive group of people in the 50-70 age range who are like this. But there are also plenty young people who are like this. Heck, I almost paid quite a lot more for my bathroom than necessary, because of the convenience of the store also installing the bathroom. This meant no need to find a decent contractor (there are many awful ones over here).
> they can just break when plugged into a laptop that takes a dive
So can the laptop at a conference. Or anything else really. I just remove my Yubikey after use and carry it in my wallet when not in use. Sure, I can lose my wallet, but I have multiple back-up options for the Yubikey, I mostly use it for convenience.
He gets to be in the public eye and news all the time. Gets to be defended by fanboys while making fun of disabled people and laughing at design people who work with Figma. He gets to delist anyone he dislikes. This role gives him power and attention on a global scale.
Seems like a great investment of $80B if that floats his boat, which it seems to.
Seeing it written out like that really makes me understand why (unaware) hypocrisy annoys me so much.
> and those useless HR departments staffed by those who can't do real work
As written by a guy who is:
> author, reporter, editor, blogger and columnist
So he just writes about stuff others are doing. Would that be real work then?
There seems to be an incredible arrogance in the tech community (and especially among devs) that only devs are real tech workers. That all these other roles like HR, legal, marketing, recruitment and management are just fluff and everything would be better and more efficient without them. This stuff is short sighted and wrong.
As a developer, do you want to write employment contracts? Do you want to think of benefits packages? Do you want to make sure the WiFi network is functioning correctly? You you want to change the ink cartridges on the printers? You you want to write down list of keywords for ad campaigns? Do you want to sit through sessions with investors who want to know everything about a product they hardly understand?
No, you don't and all these people exist because you don't have to all that stuff. They exist because they're good at handling those things while a dev is good at writing code. Are they annoying sometimes? Sure. Are there some people in those roles who don't add much value? Probably, but I've seen plenty of devs who didn't add much value.
Why do discussions in dev communities keep discounting all the layoff because "it's probably just recruitment"? These are still people who lost their jobs and need to find other jobs and their lives aren't worth less because the don't push code.
My gusss is: If they take a cut in crypto and that crypto increases in value, that increase wouldn't be turnover but it would be profit?
It's not just that. It's also because hackathons often favor the flashy over the feasible.
The one time I joined a hackathon, we came up with a solution that was low tech, cheap and easy to implement and added an analysis of the potential cost benefits. The winners said 'add a GPS beacon to everything and track it that way'. Which wasn't at all feasible, but it did sound cool and their demo looked cool.
I'm not surprised we didn't win, but the fact we lost from a flashy demo that would never be implemented was disappointing. Especially because it was an explicit requirement to be feasible.
I feel like too many outlets are glossing over this question and are reporting it as fact that he wrote it. I haven't found a single confirmation that he actually did so if anyone has one I'd love to see it.
Sometimes. Other times it's a great way to point out that hypocrisy by pointing out you all have the same information, yet you come to different conclusions/opinions.
Sometimes it's a conscious decision to have all the facts and ignore them. It's not hypocritical in that case.
It can be, but sometimes it isn't. Those are the cases I was talking about where agreeing to disagree can be a good outcome.
People who think digital cameras do anything close to what modern phones do don't have a clue. They're the opposite of 'Phones can do anything a DSLR can' people and they are just as wrong.
I have a feeling that a lot of people think this. Coming to an 'agree to disagree' is really had for some people. Sometimes there's no other option though, because both people seem to know the same facts, they just have differing opinions on how to deal with those facts.
> take note of how much of the time you spend formulating a response
I've been paying attention to this for years now after hearing or reading something similar. I haven't been able to change this, but sometimes it's helped me move back to listening and not missing important details because of it.
In stead, at a national level, a transition can be started and budget can be created to support the states that will be negatively affected. The way that budget is handled locally will then depend on local politicians who can be voted on and need to show that they're actually doing the right thing locally.
Right now, national level politicians can get reelected locally because they're just obstructionists that want nothing to ever change. They'll never actually have to do anything except fund raise and pretend to care about their constituents by blocking anything those constituents don't like. It's a great way for a couple of people to make lots of money while killing the country.