3,537 karma · joined February 9, 2016
[^1] Though, to be honest, x86 has great automatic SIMD tools so I never had to try too hard.
I'm a professional cynic and I spread the idea of "population decline to solve our resource problems" every time I have a chance; I even write dystopic science fiction with this theme. I do it not because I think it's the solution (yours is), but to jolt people in a reaction like yours. Let's build a bright future; just in our solar system there's easily enough matter and space for a trillion humans, each enjoying many acres of forest[^1].
[^2]: https://claude.ai/share/bbab0507-109d-4b4b-b5bb-2a44afad901a
One fourth in joke, three fourths seriously, I say that Google should have built their datacenter underground in this case. First, trees will appreciate if they can warm their roots during winter with data center heat. Second, Finland has a border with Russia, so it just makes sense to put vital infrastructure underground. Third, when people start revolting against AI (and something tells me the Finnish are going to the on the vanguard), it's just better (for the shareholders) to force the rioters to dig through many meters of rooted dirt than to have to fill the building with weaponized androids and then have to pay Boston Dynamics a wad of money for them and also feel nervous for what will happen if the rioters cut the power.
With that said, a silver lining of AI learning to imitate mainstream producers is that the (big players of the) music industry may finally lose their grip on people's musical taste. Maybe people will start searching for alternative styles, and going to their (minor artists with a unique voice) performances in person.
Republican or German butterflies (as in "butterfly effect") should not be blamed when they start a big scale avalanche on loose snow.
It's a world that has nothing to do with this one. Of course deceiving ourselves with plastic straws is easier.
What happened to religion? Last I checked it was doing well.
> We typically confuse why something claims it exists, ie to glorify God, vs the forces that actually perpetuate it, which are subtler, we’d prefer not spoken aloud, and more prosaic, ie endowments, prestige, and needing someone to watch one’s kids.
We typically confuse that that particular confusion is the thing. God is the model's weights running on the distributed computer that we form collectively with our brains and whose running realization we call "society." The Christians (which are superb at sleazing their way around the irrefutable lack of supernatural divinity) call it "concursus dei". Considering that in some parts of the world people consistently elect whoever looks more like a radical God-GPU-node, I would say this particular one among our "dī" is still firmly at the helm.
> What would such a world look like?
Major religions, minor religions, cults will have a field day. Or more like a field century or a millennium or twenty, who knows.
Up to a few years ago, I would see or read some science fiction that was medieval times with spaceships (ala Dune) and I would roll my eyes and think “ffs, can’t people move on and invent something more original?”. Now I seriously believe that’s one of the most benign futures waiting for our species[^1]. Not that there aren’t lots of lights in this tunnel, it’s just that its shadows are very black.
In terms of working democracy and social governance, we can kill a big flock of birds with a single shot if the public can understand cryptography. Think about it: we live in an age where everything is digital and has a microprocessor inside. Even money is digital. But the "public" can't parse simple logical statements, and they vote for the funniest clown in the race (for a definition of funny). The best this schism can possibly end is if we vote in a Luddite Empire that squashes technology. All other scenarios are far scarier.
Yes, I fear we will stop being the top of the food chain[^2]. But by god weren't we getting bored? Maybe getting off our high horses and going into the weeds won't be such a bad thing.
[^1] And even today, if you go to parties and keep bouncing into people that have no trouble picking up intellectually stimulating topics, you are in a lucky minority.
[^2]: More about my fears, which are unhealthy and you don't have to read but I feel compelled to include citations: https://w.ouzu.im/aweb/unhinged
What's next? Maybe in a little bit we will discover that we H. Sapiens suffer from severe polysemanticity in our wetware because our individual neurons are messy and massive like an ENIAC while the corvids in the park have neat and efficient little brains that don't need unfolding ?... How's the pope (may God stop afflicting him with cancer or may Man make him live forever) going to explain that?
That's one of those things that causes me depression and anxiety: in many places cancer is actually above heart disease. From my vantage, that's a bad thing because people that die from sudden heart disease or from the sudden disintegration of their brains as the bullet from their gun travels through it get a better deal than those who die from cancer.
Suicide is sometimes a good solution to a problem (cancer) with no other solution. Make no mistake, I think that people should live forever even if we have to boil the oceans to get there; yes, I'm that kind of monster. But I'm not the kind that says that people should die in horrible agony just because of the stigma that doing otherwise imply.
Agree with everything else you said.
With that out of the way, I'll say that for as long as suicide mortality is well below cancer mortality, society doesn't really have a suicide problem.
One thing I noticed is that the oncologists managed my brother far more than they actually worked on his case; oncologists are often overworked and, by necessity, desensitized. They are aware of new treatments because the pharma industry takes good care of that, but they are way less willing to read scientific literature relevant to a specific type of “rare cancer” present in a “single patient”, and they actually need the two things to be effective.
I feel for you and for your family; may the stars align for you and you get to be out of your crucible with the least amount of suffering.
There could, however, be some promising signs down the road, like more capable in-silico methods, which will make it possible to bypass some/more of the brick and mortar labs. Another sign to watch for are orders of magnitude more companies and cartels of individuals doing advanced bioengineering outside of USA.
I also think that will be the case. However, not all the jobs are worth being automated. Say, if you are a modern-day horse-riding instructor, I very much doubt the robots will come knocking the door to take your job. Not because they can't, but because the headache is not economically worth it.
I read this as "anybody can prompt, few can understand". And "we need more who can understand". If we had more mathematicians (than we have today) all of them piloting advanced models, the pie would grow. The problem is that AI capabilities drain (by disincentivizing) the education pipeline that would get us those mathematicians, and if recent rumbles about what AI is doing to education are to be believed, it does so many years before students even get to grad school.
IMHO, it is not that bad. Not having any human who understands linear algebra after the Butlerian Jihad is a win :-) .
AI is doing very little to improve the human condition; all it seems to be good at is optimizing productivity and generating profits somewhere maybe. That is not an AI-generated problem; using profits as an all-things compass is a disease we have been cooking for ourselves for a long time. But I'm sort of hoping AI will make the problem so bad that we will be forced to fix it, or perish.