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eanzenberg

1,637 karma · joined March 22, 2014

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eanzenberg··on Let employees sell their equity
Thats different than being an uber early employee and knowing your private equity is worth a ton. I also wouldn’t exercise random startup shares unless they were real cheap and I wanted to roll the dice. The uber example is clearer. I’d always rather be a paper millionaire than not a millionaire at all. At least you have the choice to exercise some if you leave, or all if you can afford the loans. Also uber is a bad example since people DID sell their private shares as there was enough of a marketplace for it.
eanzenberg··on Wildlife in ‘catastrophic decline’ due to human destruction, scientists warn
>> the western parts of the country is literally on fire.

Currently under investigation as arson.

eanzenberg··on Let employees sell their equity
Right, but why exercise the option without next selling it? If you’re quitting, that’s a risk. And AMT is applied on the gains. So your strike is $1, valuation currently at $100 and you pay tax on the $99 gain. Unless it’s Theranos that valuation wont go back to $1, so yes, you’re privileged.
eanzenberg··on Let employees sell their equity
Diversity dilutes your return as it regresses to the mean
eanzenberg··on Let employees sell their equity
Absolutely agree. It’s a numbers game but the first 9 may not hit but the 10th makes you wealthy. So if you’re on your 6th then you will feel the equity value is worth $0
eanzenberg··on Let employees sell their equity
If you’re hitting ATM you’re doing extremely well for yourself and are privileged.
eanzenberg··on Let employees sell their equity
Investors have the same lockup period post-IPO as do employees and founders.
eanzenberg··on Nikola: How to Parlay an Ocean of Lies into a Partnership with GM
That’s a fairly high bar. Musk’s vision is a 100 year vision, I don’t think anyone expects transhumanism in 2021.
eanzenberg··on Cameras on San Diego streetlights turned off until ordinance in place
Good experiment to see if this causes crime to increase.
eanzenberg··on The Long-Term Stock Exchange Opens for Business
Snake oil is snake oil.
eanzenberg··on Journalists perceive stories published in local news outlets to be less worthy
These days I’d much more trust police reports or press reports than a narrative driven national outlet.
eanzenberg··on Tech firms face growing resentment of parent employees during Covid-19
Who do you suppose pays for it then? At that level public schools shouldn’t exist as private do a better job by all metrics.
eanzenberg··on Tech firms face growing resentment of parent employees during Covid-19
First, $500/month for each child in France is not that cheap or great, especially as you’re sacrificing earning potential.

Second, we have anecdotal data and you suggest we revamp a trillion dollar industry and incentive structure? Seems like we’re doing ok here, considering more people want to come in from France than emigrate there.

eanzenberg··on Tech firms face growing resentment of parent employees during Covid-19
This outlook is widely in-the-coastal-city-bubble.
eanzenberg··on Tech firms face growing resentment of parent employees during Covid-19
How do social services help? The article is about parents with jobs adjusting or continuing to adjust to working from home with kids there. Social services as you listed are primarily for people who aren’t working.
eanzenberg··on Covid vaccine makers commit to not seek approval until complete Phase III trials
I can definitely envision fascist-lite elected officials using lockdowns in the future willy nilly, because the people precisely have gone along with it.
eanzenberg··on Covid vaccine makers commit to not seek approval until complete Phase III trials
Not sure how this is an ‘only’ Trump thing. Republicans believe D-politics will delay the vaccine so it doesn’t come out before Nov 3rd, and Democrats believe R-politics will prematurely release a vaccine before Nov 3rd.

This country has become so politically cancerous that I wonder if a WW2 style event were to happen (as if Covid isn’t one already) if the country could unite around it, today.

And before you question the thesis, I’ve had the pleasure of listening to a few doctors lament the possibility of having life-saving therapies or vaccines if it helped Trump get re-elected.

eanzenberg··on 'Wild West' mentality lingers in modern populations of US mountain regions
That’s the one constant with population growth. The remote parts of the world won’t be so remote as time goes on.

On your point about space travel, it doesn’t even have to be that far. The moon or mars aren’t that terribly far on conventional rockets. If we could terraform mars for our arrival, though, that would be cool. Maybe this unlocks another explosion of population growth, similar to the industrial revolution and improvements in medicine?

eanzenberg··on We want to live in a world free of chemical weapons
What societies today have workers own the means of production, or where private property is abolished? N Korea? Venezuela? Cuba? Seems pretty strawman
eanzenberg··on We want to live in a world free of chemical weapons
On the other hand, Kenosha riots fizzled when the national guard came in.
eanzenberg··on We want to live in a world free of chemical weapons
What’s the best way to stop them from starting? What de-escalation methods are proven to work? Surely these would be in use already in far-left strongholds like Portland and Seattle.
eanzenberg··on FBI examined Google records to see if anyone had knowledge of Guccifer persona
Its been 1.5 decades since the patriot act of the same rehashed tropes and fear mongering. Most citizens accept the high level surveillance for high level hackers and criminals. The fear of ‘they’re going to track Joe Schmoe to a strip club and ruin his family life’ hasn’t come close to materializing. Call us when it does. Until then, the dialog between elite tech bubbles like hn or slashdot of 15 years ago and the rest of the country won’t be productive.
eanzenberg··on The Decadent Society: How We Became the Victims of Our Own Success
Wasn’t 80’s pop music disco?
eanzenberg··on The Decadent Society: How We Became the Victims of Our Own Success
Conversely, the rise of entitlement, decrease of attention span and work ethic, and the explosion of dependence on the state successfully enshrined by liberal elites has led to perceived stagnation and continued social frustration between the classes.
eanzenberg··on TSA tries out another biometric system
Flying used to be a great way to escape a crime that was just committed. By knowing the name and id of every traveler, we can stop criminals from fleeing their crime scenes.
eanzenberg··on Why has college gotten so expensive in the last 30 years? A blank check in 1993
A big reason college costs have increased is due to students who pay in full are subsidizing students who cannot, or get a completely free ride.
eanzenberg··on 2020's Existentialist Turn
Not sure if they’re correlated though by timing? Authoritarianism has been increasing before Covid.
eanzenberg··on I just lost 1,400 BTC
I looked it up. 6% of Americans don’t have a bank account. Doesn’t say whether they could go ahead and get one, or they choose not to.

Sizable?

eanzenberg··on I just lost 1,400 BTC
Sizable, like 2%?
eanzenberg··on Deep learning job postings have collapsed in the past six months
Also his analysis is shoddy. He shows an absolute decrease in DL job postings since covid hit, and claims that DL is in decline irrespective if other fields like SWE are also in a similar decline. Utterly surprised by the analysis given the data.
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