elif

I don't think human cognition heuristics are the right tool to describe what's happening.

Like a turbocharger isn't analogous to feeding a horse a certain diet. A turbocharger has to be explained in the terms of its actual context.

I think the indication is that this proprietary and secret machine is extremely capable at reading and writing in weights.

Occams razor would say that it was not only built for this purpose, but possibly multiple generations of good at this.

A year ago LLMs seemed to hit a wall, and then all the sudden they started accelerating as quickly as ever.

No one can legally confirm or deny that it's happening... But it sure feels like it's happening.

Yep. It's skynet

Ya that sounds believable except the product you claim to have doesn't seem to exist

https://yixiangpower.com/collections/us-stock

You'd have to send me the link but you are possibly comparison shopping scams. Are these alibaba or eBay listings maybe?

To have a battery that truly powers a whole house circuit breaker and not just one flakey ambiguous amperage draw rating collection of power strips you're looking at significantly more. And it's not just for cloudy days. You'd have to size your array for the winter solstice to not be constantly running a deficit out of summer.

Please correct me where I'm wrong with your actual lived experience, but ive yet to encounter much of that, mostly just "I googled this thing and found something claiming to be a thing I think might work"

Humans and their need for gold star stickers

In the developed world you need lots of expensive batteries and a massive array to make that work. Unless you are like going without heating and cooling, you are looking at mid five figures to six figures in equipment alone.

You also need to meet NEC for all the wiring and if you put any on your roof, it will have to be approved by the building inspector.

Lastly, for firefighter safety you also need to have functioning and clearly accessible and labeled emergency shutoff inspected and approved.

To be honest upgrading the meter and applying for net metering was maybe 5% of the red tape hassle for my install.

Only possible if you are fine missing an arbitrary 1/3 of live sports events.

Seconding this without straying too far from the topic.

My entire life I have been underweight and also ridiculously hooked on caffeine. At work I would easily go through 5-8 cups of coffee in a day.

I quit caffeine to become a parent a few years ago and suddenly I am able to put on fat and muscle so much easier.

I think the fact that 95% of our society consumes one of the best weight loss drugs (caffeine) anyway really skews a substantial portion of the data.

Addiction is a disease, not a "choice"

And "not ready to quit it at the moment" is such a wildly inappropriate dichotomy I really wonder what experience you have which informs your decision to discuss this topic.

"those germans just didn't have time"

That is a succinct explanation of the decoupling of human capacity for cognitive load with the expansion of global cognitive capacity made possible by AI agents.

Just as the creation of bulldozers decoupled the capacity for human labor from the global capacity for digging.

That is like crediting a fan posting on Twitter "he should run it in for a touchdown instead of taking 3 points" instead of the coach who decided and implemented a play which actually won the football game.

i suppose the correct retort would be to advise you to get your head out of it.

to certain people, it's all one-in-the-same. the real motivations behind this are a kind of existential human narcissism, a kind of denial-based coping mechanism grounded in a world-view that this industrial-revolution-scale change on society is somehow a passing phase.

I would say, because not everyone cares as deeply as you do.

If it's readable and aesthetic, it is perfectly serviceable for the purpose of reading a post.

Consider that you probably didn't have such an intense response to WIX templates or substack articles, so most of what's going on is actually your feelings about AI taking primacy.

if you can't answer the questions i'm asking there's probably a reason for it.

And i'm not the reason.

Do you also question why photographers list which lens they used to take a photo?

Look I get it, half of us actively hate anything produced by AI. Just like half of photographers hated anything taken by digital cameras

But there is a limited time window before the "I hate this" voice becomes a pedantic minority one. If the rate of AI progress doesn't show you a clear picture of what's coming, maybe it's time to reflect on that.

Easy. The turn of the screw by Henry James. Literally anyone who absolutely loves James primarily appreciates his descriptive form.

Another author that comes to mind is Zizek. His books could easily be reduced to a boring 2 page essay, but instead they are taken on a wild ride through cultural and theory and philosophical history and virtually encoded in philosophy jargon in order to absolutely reek of intellectualism. I'm 0% ashamed to admit openly that keeping up with him as I read makes me proud of my brain and attention capacity way more than I actually agree with his specific political philosophy in a work.

Funny how this advice is totally innocuous and accepted universally, but the idea that LLMs are trained on the exact same material causes half of us to scream about art theft and plagiarism and a legal right to royalties.

Now I'm curious how a 5th grade LLM would perform as a day trader

Think of it as an individual and instead of social property real property. If a person is stealing retail goods every day, no one asks "what should he do?" what he "should do" is face consequences until he is not a person who steals every day.

Just because the social property giant corporations steal is somewhat abstract doesn't change any of the fundamentals of right and wrong. I'm so tired of this ultra-capitalist "right to be massive" assumption which places the value of unhinged monopolistic growth over maintaining social commons. What these companies "should do" is face penalties until they can safely manage their scale, or scope their scale to a level they can maintain safely.

Remember when we thought the Turing test would be some mind blowing pinnacle of computer science? I do because I was in college in the early 2000's.

We flew right by that and now we are pretending it was no big deal. There is a lot to learn about psychological coping mechanisms deployed by humans desperate to maintain the illusion of absolute control

Maybe it's incoherent commands, or maybe it's guessing at what kind of names for commands the admins would use for custom scripts that they wrote, which could themselves bypass security layers or be exploited in order to?

It's hard to say for certain what's a waste of time for a machine that can operate virtually outside of time.

How do you hide the fact that they are honeypots from a super intelligence?

I'm so bored with the "are machines conscious" debate. The only thing it has proven is how desperately humans will continue to move the goalposts to the point of ontological collapse in order to preserve their internal sense of primacy.

You don't want to call machines conscious? Fine. Call it quasiconscious, semiconscious, technoconscious, whatever makes you feel alpha human, and move on to our current reality where we confront the existence of thinking machines rather than footnote it into obscurity.

The US government is the one who routinely spends trillions with no plans to recover money.

And SpaceX has become their favorite place to put money over the last 5 years.

$8.7B in losses over the last 5 quarters sounds bad, but that is also with $20.4B capital expenditure in the period and double digit percent increases per quarter in user metrics.

By traditional business metrics it looks toxic but compared to a typical tech unicorn it's not really outstanding.

Considering it's a tech unicorn with strategic and financial leverage like no other (their own global Internet infrastructure, access to arbitrary billions in capital, ability to build the biggest chip fab in the world), it's certainly fair to call it a gamble, but to call it failing is a stretch imo.

I'm gonna choose to believe they all involved AI in the design process and AI has a cheeky fetish for humiliating humans.

The decline you're talking about is roughly 168 to 145, or about 2.2% per year over 5 years.

That's hardly a death sentence. More likely just the gradual adoption of higher level frameworks and languages with less ugly parts.

Maybe I'm optimistic or not typical but in my experience people submit random PR to open source projects because they really want the project to do xyz for their own project/reasons, and the project doesn't do xyz.

And the PR is considered "spam" because the maintainer doesn't see xyz as part of his needs or his vision for the project.