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ethbro

13,805 karma · joined February 5, 2014

Working on enterprise automation, one company at a time

Email username.co at gmail

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ethbro··on CEO of Uber: Gig Workers Deserve Better
We just went through 4 years of the nu80s again. Which puts us on track for nu90s.

As far as I can remember, "This is capitalism, baby!" didn't play quite so well with the latter crowd.

Then again, free trade and outsourcing did. So maybe Uber's new plan is to complain about the cost of US workers and hire remote drivers in lower CoL nations?

ethbro··on Bill Gates calls Microsoft’s TikTok deal a poisoned chalice
I'd hazard to say most people outside of tech (in free speech countries) don't care about encryption as a key feature.
ethbro··on Bill Gates calls Microsoft’s TikTok deal a poisoned chalice
I haven't seen much difference between the two, if I understand what you're differentiating, as the type of executive that tends to project hop doesn't generally care about the underlying project, past its ability to further their own aims.

So whether it's an external acquisition or internal project is somewhat immaterial.

ethbro··on Interview with Bill Gates on Covid, social media
I see it as a tail wagging the dog scenario.

Government concerned about shortages + wasted N95 masks by untrained public -> recommendation against the public wearing masks -> additional evidence for airborne & asymptomatic transmission / opportunity to ramp mask production -> "I heard we recommended against the public wearing masks, so I guess we don't need to do that"

To be fair, there are tons of valid reasons not to allocate scarce masks to the general public (economic panic, inability to properly fit test, inability to properly wear, no decon procedures or facilities, likelihood of proximity to Covid-positive patient). But unfortunately, it seems like the actual rationale (and suggestions it would have for subsequent action) got lost in the simplification, even on the government itself.

ethbro··on Interview with Bill Gates on Covid, social media
What would the result have been if, in late February, the US government had said "Everyone should use a mask"?
ethbro··on Bill Gates calls Microsoft’s TikTok deal a poisoned chalice
Thanks for the thoughtful treatment. It's absolutely a can of worms, with no obvious best answers.

The distinction (whether intended in Gates' source or of my own mind) I find interesting is between veracity and velocity.

Like you, I have enormous problems with deploying censorship to completely obliterate any type of thought from readable form. I see it as society's job to target the demand (the reader's desires and education), not the supply (the writer). If people want to start believing crackpots in large numbers, well, maybe society needs to look to its basic education systems...

That said, velocity is somewhat of a trickier matter.

As a thought exercise, what would the net effect be if Facebook implemented systems that resulted in misinformation being slowed? I.e. I share {link}, it takes x1.5 base time to propagate to my friends' feeds.

The information would still be available, and shared, but the viral velocity would also be reduced.

(Note: Of the available options, delay-only seems far preferable than anything else that could lead to a de facto shadowban)

ethbro··on Bill Gates calls Microsoft’s TikTok deal a poisoned chalice
Or that they clarified his point with him, post-interview, after typing up and reading the transcript.
ethbro··on Bill Gates calls Microsoft’s TikTok deal a poisoned chalice
If you take the text at face value, he's making a pretty modest proposal:

(1) The current velocity of disinformation is high -> (2) this leads to socially harmful outcomes -> (3) providing P2P encryption in turnkey form via social network apps isn't a good idea.

I don't see the suggestions of panopticon you do. I see someone saying 'Most people on social media platforms aren't responsible, thoughtful enough media consumers to earn a right to encryption.'

Personally? I think it's a perspective worth considering. {Low-effort P2P encryption + low-effort forwarding} is a fundamentally different social value proposition than {Medium-effort P2P encryption + medium-effort forwarding}.

ethbro··on Bill Gates calls Microsoft’s TikTok deal a poisoned chalice
Boiled down to: nobody ever gets a promotion for maintaining the success of something that's already successful.

Which is a shame, but the corporate game theory optimality of leapfrogging between hot projects has held true at essentially every company I've ever worked for.

ethbro··on Bill Gates calls Microsoft’s TikTok deal a poisoned chalice
His point is more nuanced than that, and oversimplified complex ideas virally spreading through social media is part of what he talks about.

"Q: As someone who has built your life on science and logic, I’m curious what you think when you see so many people signing onto this anti-science view of the world.

A: Well, strangely, I’m involved in almost everything that anti-science is fighting. I’m involved with climate change, GMOs, and vaccines. The irony is that it’s digital social media that allows this kind of titillating, oversimplistic explanation of, “OK, there’s just an evil person, and that explains all of this.” And when you have [posts] encrypted, there is no way to know what it is. I personally believe government should not allow those types of lies or fraud or child pornography [to be hidden with encryption like WhatsApp or Facebook Messenger].

Q: Well, you’re friends with Mark Zuckerberg. Have you talked to him about this?

After I said this publicly, he sent me mail. I like Mark, I think he’s got very good values, but he and I do disagree on the trade-offs involved there. The lies are so titillating you have to be able to see them and at least slow them down. Like that video where, what do they call her, the sperm woman? That got over 10 million views! [Note: It was more than 20 million.] Well how good are these guys at blocking things, where once something got the 10 million views and everybody was talking about it, they didn’t delete the link or the searchability? So it was meaningless. They claim, “Oh, now we don’t have it.” What effect did that have? Anybody can go watch that thing! So I am a little bit at odds with the way that these conspiracy theories spread, many of which are anti-vaccine things. We give literally tens of billions for vaccines to save lives, then people turn around saying, “No, we’re trying to make money and we’re trying to end lives.” That’s kind of a wild inversion of what our values are and what our track record is."

ethbro··on IAM is hard – Thoughts on $80M fine from the Capital One Breach
I feel like this is the real base problem here.

There's an incredibly broad set of permissions (at the cloud or OS level). Any app / tool may be written to use any subset of those. And what it uses is rarely documented (because developers don't see IAM security as a primary feature, outside of apps intended for use in regulated environments).

Without automation, this thus requires continual reverse engineering, which is never a healthy, sane long-term solution.

This should be fixed on the product / app side, where folks are much better placed to dump "I need this, and only this" in machine-readable form.

ethbro··on Florida Current is weaker now than at any point in the past century
My takeaway from a one year oceanography course is that ocean currents have more in common with biology than computing: they're complex, can change as the result of propagation of relatively small changes, and are inconceivable in scale.
ethbro··on Why is this idiot running my engineering org?
It's definitely a continuum depending on industry.

In more monopolistic areas (insurance, banking), my experience has been closer to government. In more cutthroat areas (tech, retail), it's been on the other end of spectrum.

ethbro··on Silicon Valley’s Vast Data Collection Should Worry You More Than TikTok
> What use is oversight when the agency can destroy all the evidence?

What use is {x} when someone can {attempt to avoid x}?

Because we live in the real world, and no authority is omniscient and absolute.

ethbro··on Apple says game streaming services violate App Store policies
> there are times where I think they are asking to be regulated

Never ascribe to malice, that which can be explained by corporate incompetence.

ethbro··on US to ban transactions with ByteDance and WeChat in 45 days
Catalogue of Prohibited Foreign Investment Industries

X. Art, Sports and Entertainment Industries

1. News agencies 2. Business of publishing, producing, master issuing, and importing of books, newspaper and periodical 3. Business of publishing, producing, master issuing and importing of audio and visual products and electronic publications 4. Radio stations, TV stations, radio and TV transmission networks at various levels (transmission stations, relaying stations, radio and TV satellites, satellite up-linking stations, satellite receiving stations, microwave stations, monitoring stations, cable broadcasting and TV transmission networks) 5. Companies of publishing and playing of broadcast and TV programs 6. Companies of films making, issuing, business 7. News website, network audiovisual service, on line service location, internet art management 8. Construction and management of golf course 9. Gambling industry (including gambling turf) 10. Eroticism

Nice to know the Chinese Communist Golf Course lobby is alive and effective though! :)

ethbro··on US to ban transactions with ByteDance and WeChat in 45 days
Nobody in the US has an appetite for forcing TikTok into a 49% joint venture and mandating key escrow.
ethbro··on US to ban transactions with ByteDance and WeChat in 45 days
> The Chinese government sets their (extremely authoritarian) rules on censorship for companies to legally operate in China but the rules apply to everyone equally.

Censorship requirements are the least restrictive Chinese law.

Look at industries where foreign companies are outright restricted (must form non controlling joint venture with local partner) or prohibited from operating in: http://english.mofcom.gov.cn/article/policyrelease/aaa/20120...

See: "Catalogue of Restricted Foreign Investment Industries" and "Catalogue of Prohibited Foreign Investment Industries"

ethbro··on Moved a server from one building to another with zero downtime
You laugh, but that's exactly how jarring it was.

It sticks in my memory because I remember being somewhat annoyed at the writing level hitherto, reading through that sentence, realizing what I'd just read a few sentences later, going back to double-check, then chucking the book.

And don't get me wrong, I've got space for some crappy writing in my sci-fi (looking at you, Foundation).

ethbro··on Twilight of the Imperial Chef
It isn't journalism: it's opinion.

It's in the Food section [0], and tagged with "Critic's Notebook" anywhere the article is linked. That apparently being one of their blog / opinion lines for food.

It doesn't seem fair to look at modern news conglomerates (which typically combine news and opinion) and complain that the non-news content bismirches the journalism.

That content typically funds the journalism, and is the only reason the latter still exists.

A fair shot would be saying "I do not feel like this article is appropriately declared as opinion." Which, maybe. But I think that's debatable, and the NYT certainly differentiates a helluva lot better than Fox News and MSNBC.

[0] https://www.nytimes.com/section/food

ethbro··on Moved a server from one building to another with zero downtime
I stand by my decision. The world is a better place.
ethbro··on Moved a server from one building to another with zero downtime
I read the first 100 pages of the first book and then literally threw it into a fire.

I believe the "Nope" sentence was something akin to "{character} thought that {thing} because {thing}."

Jesus Christ. Would it kill you a little to show instead of tell?

(And lest people believe I'm not a fan of some good * opera, I'm not ashamed to admit I've read my fair share of BattleTech, Barsoom, and even Lost Fleet, among less highbrow works)

ethbro··on Facebook launches its TikTok rival, Instagram Reels
A more cogent comparison would include total available markets at the time.

75m MAU in 2008 is very different than 2.6b in 2020.

ethbro··on Facebook launches its TikTok rival, Instagram Reels
We used to call "super apps" portals. Mistaken valuations of their stickiness generally led to the first cratering of internet company values.
ethbro··on Facebook launches its TikTok rival, Instagram Reels
> If Microsoft acquires TikTok how would they go about vetting all of the code to remove any malicious components?

Rename it "Skype for Teens". Make no changes to the codebase.

ethbro··on Ask HN: Do you have a daily cash stream?
I hear car washes are a good option. If I understand what we're really talking about here...
ethbro··on The rise, fall, and rise of the status pineapple
Apparently in the US there are about: 7M fly fishers [1], 9M skiers + snowboarders [2], about 3.2M SCUBA divers [3], 14M "active camping households" (3 or more times in a year) [4], and 48M hikers [5]. To pull a few outdoor activities, because I was curious.

Fly fishing feels more like bird-watching to me though: in that it's relatively easy and cheap to do, but not a thing you would ever do accidentally.

[1] https://outdoorindustry.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/2018-... [2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/376710/active-skiers-and... [3] https://www.dema.org/store/download.aspx?id=7811B097-8882-47... [4] https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170315005391/en/Cam... [5] https://www.statista.com/statistics/191240/participants-in-h...

ethbro··on Autodesk criticised by architects
I've worked at both kinds of shops. I'd never work at somewhere that follows the above strictly again.

It's been my experience that you get crappy software, produced with great effort and much gnashing of teeth, if your developers don't know your users.

ethbro··on The rise, fall, and rise of the status pineapple
It's a weird sport from a human perspective.

You get folks who just do it as a hobby (because it's not that expensive), die hard folks who live it (but aren't that wealthy), plus ultra-wealthy folks (who are generally jealous of the former!). I think it's the peace and tranquillity that attracts.

Add to that, that at least in the US, Trout Unlimited is without a doubt the most politically-connected pure sportsperson lobbying organization.

ethbro··on Autodesk criticised by architects
In my experience (~10 years of doing this sort of work) software engineers typically understand how their users use the software in the abstract, but not in the actual experience.

E.g. It is well understood that users rely on a hotkey "a lot." It is not understood that users are so familiar with a hotkey that, if you relocated it on the keyboard, productivity would decrease 40% for 3 months.

That distinction is fairly important when trying to decide whether {new feature X} is actually worth disrupting {old feature Y}.

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