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falsestprophet

3,289 karma · joined February 24, 2007

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falsestprophet··on Who’s to Blame for Mass Incarceration?
So are the people who have been convicted of violent, property or public order crimes unjustly imprisoned? Should they be released?
falsestprophet··on Who’s to Blame for Mass Incarceration?
"Who’s to Blame for Mass Incarceration?" is a review of the book Black Silent Majority: The Rockefeller Drug Laws and the Politics of Punishment about New York state drug laws and their impact on the black community.

Are drugs laws the cause of "mass incarceration" of blacks in the United States?

The review article does not offer any statistics. Here are some from the US Bureau of Justice Statistics (a federal agency belonging to the DOJ) about state prisoners with sentences over one year (state sentences of less than a year are general served in county jails).

Only 4% of black state prisoners are sentenced for cases where the most serious offense is drug possession.

Only a further 11.9% of black state prisoners are sentenced for cases where the most serious offense is other drug crimes including trafficking.

58.3% of black state prisoners are sentenced for cases where the most serious offense is violent crime (including 12% for murder)... 16% for property crimes... 9.5% for public order crimes.

States account for over 92% of prisoners. Though over 50% of federal prisoners are sentence for cases where the most serious offense is drug crimes.

If no one was sentenced for cases where drugs crimes were the most serious offense, then 85% of black state prisoners would still be imprisoned. So, that wouldn't solve the problem of black "mass incarceration" in US state prisons.

Source: Bureau of Justice Statics http://imgur.com/sE1D137 http://felonvoting.procon.org/sourcefiles/USBJS%20-Prisoners...

falsestprophet··on On Tinder, Off Sex
This essay is about one person's experience not finding sex partners perceived to be suitable.

My point was't that the author is attractive or unattractive (that I agree would be out of line either way), but that the author has a corporeal manifestation that is relevant to the narrative.

The linked photo is from the author's professional bio, which is freely presented to the public and associated with the author's public writing (like this essay).

falsestprophet··on The TV antenna is making a comeback
PDX is the airport code for the Portland airport just in case you don't keep up with the airport code for the 19th largest US metro area.
falsestprophet··on MH17 Report
Three other commercial aircraft were flying in the area at the time MH17 was shot down. Presumably, any one of they could have been downed rather than MH17.

  EVA Air Flight 88 (Paris to Taipei)
  Singapore Airlines Flight 351 (Copenhagen to Singapore)
  Air India Flight 113 (New Delhi to Birmingham)
falsestprophet··on Global eradication of wild poliovirus type 2 declared
"The US that put up fake vaccination centers in the pursuit of an already-minimized threat?"

In fairness, they gave out actual vaccines not fake vaccines so it wasn't a "fake vaccination program." I was a real vaccination program that also did a bit of assassination of international terrorists on the side.

So, on balance it was a very positive program for the community.

falsestprophet··on Global eradication of wild poliovirus type 2 declared
Is the US really at fault here, rather than the radical Islamist lunatics running these areas?
falsestprophet··on Temporary Visas, Meant to Import Talent, Help Ship Jobs Abroad
We actually have this visa and employers don't want to have anything to do with it.

EB2 visas for permanent residence are currently available [1] for employees with Ph.D., master's degree, or at least five years of progressive post-baccalaureate experience.

[1] Excluding people born in India, Mainland China, Mexico and the Philippines because applicants from those countries have exceeded the per country maximum

falsestprophet··on Temporary Visas, Meant to Import Talent, Help Ship Jobs Abroad
"When Congress designed temporary work visa programs, the idea was to bring in foreigners with specialized, hard-to-find skills who would help American companies grow, creating jobs to expand the economy."

This is a common misconception. The H1B visa laws are generally used to hire very low wage workers. (I doubt the authors of the legislation are surprised by this result.)

Companies are required to pay a prevailing wage, but this wage can be one of four levels. And of course most H1B applications are for the lowest levels.

Here are levels for software developers in Chicago [1]:

  Software Developers, Applications
  Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL Metropolitan Division

  Level 1 Wage:$24.45 hour - $50,856 year
  Level 2 Wage:$33.14 hour - $68,931 year
  Level 3 Wage:$41.84 hour - $87,027 year
  Level 4 Wage:$50.53 hour - $105,102 year
For context the 25th percentile wage in Chicago is $68,670 and average is $88,630.

Of course, more ambitious companies may file applications under job titles with even lower wage levels like "system analysts".

You should also know that if a H1B worker is fired, he and his family are out of status that day and must leave the country unless a visitor visa is granted (which is not guaranteed).

How would you like working here if you could be fired and your whole family could be sent packing at will?

If you were an employer, do you think you could you hack this system to your advantage? I'm pretty sure I could.

[1] http://www.flcdatacenter.com/

falsestprophet··on The Case of Richard Glossip
Richard Glossip did make this choice. He could have pled guilty and have received a sentence of life imprisonment.

In our current system innocent people accused of capital crimes are often faced with the choice of pleading guilty or going to trial and facing the death penalty.

This isn't a highly just arrangement.

falsestprophet··on The Case of Richard Glossip
If Richard Glossip wasn't sentenced to death, he would likely have languished in prison as long as he lived. That would also be a horrible injustice.

People see more motivated by orders of magnitude to get death penalty cases right relative to life incarceration cases.

Counterintuitively, justice may be better served by abolishing life imprisonment and mandating the death penalty for cases where periods of imprisonment would exceed 20 years or so.

If the innocence rate for executions is 4%, then surely the innocence rate for long term incarceration must be much higher.

falsestprophet··on Uber shakes up real estate market with massive lease in Oakland
A taxi is a vehicle for hire that you can lawfully hail on the street.
falsestprophet··on Why the US stores 700M barrels of oil underground
"And this is why everyone needs a big slug of dollars in their respective reserves - to buy oil."

This petrodollar conspiracy is baffling.

Countries don't hold dollars solely to buy oil.

The oil and gas industry is only about 4.6% to 6.5% of the global economy.

Countries hold reserve currencies to manage the exchange rate of their currency. Petrodollar conspiracists would be well served by learning about foreign exchange reserves: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign-exchange_reserves

And in any case, only 65% of foreign currency reserves are in the USD.

falsestprophet··on Backblaze B2 Cloud Storage
For context, OVH offers object storage with 3x replication for $.01/GB [1].

[1] https://www.runabove.com/cloud-storage.xml

falsestprophet··on Across the USA by Train for Just $213
Chicago is abbreviated CHI, not CHC

You may have seen CHC in baseball

CHC is the Chicago Cubs

CHW is the Chicago White Sox

CHC is also Christchurch, New Zealand which looks lovely

falsestprophet··on ZenPayroll is now Gusto
"Gusto is all about empowering companies to put people first."

This could mean anything or nothing. But he knew that already

falsestprophet··on YC Open Office Hours for Black and Hispanic Founders
There are 27 million white/European Americans of Hispanic descent in the United States today.

There are over 200 million white people and over 4.5 million Asian people living in Latin America.

Do you mean Latinos of descent other than European and Asian?

falsestprophet··on YC Open Office Hours for Black and Hispanic Founders
How does this program define Hispanic?

Does it include the over 100 million Spanish speakers in the Americas of European descent? What about the 26 million white Americans of Latin American descent?

What about 100 million "Latino" Portuguese speaking Brazilians of other than predominantly European and Asian descent?

French is also a "Latin"/Romance language. Do the predominantly white Québécois count as Latino? What about the Métis, who are both indigenous Americans and speakers of a Romance language.

What about Native Americans who speak English rather than a Romance language? What if the Native Americans learned Spanish in high school?

What about the hundreds of millions of people from China and India and elsewhere in Asia who grew up in materially worse conditions than any ghetto in the United States?

falsestprophet··on Gaps in Alumni Earnings Stand Out in Release of College Data
Easier said than done. For context fewer than 5% of students admitted to MIT scored below the 99th percentile on admissions tests.
falsestprophet··on Circle Medical (YC S15) Brings a Full Service Medical Practice to You
"…the service specializes in things like annual checkups, flu shots, and blood tests… not just time-sensitive urgent care issues."

These tasks are generally left to physician assistants and nurse practitioners who are paid on average about half as much as primary care physicians (about 100k vs 200k).

In many states, they can be found practicing in pharmacies and supermarkets and seem to see around a half dozen patients per hour.

I think it will be tough for mobile medical practitioners to beat price/convenience levels of retail nurse practitioners and physician assistants.

falsestprophet··on Smart Contracts Land on Wall Street
http://t0.com is the subject of the article.

I don't really understand what they are proposing...

"Settlement of securities is a business process whereby securities or interests in securities are delivered, usually against (in simultaneous exchange for) payment of money" [1]

How are the securities being managed here? Is some entity holding them in trust for whatever party controls an entry in the bitcoin ledger? What is the form of that entry?

Are bitcoins being used as the medium for payment?

[1] I copied the description from wikipedia for expediency: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Settlement_(finance)

falsestprophet··on Marine Version of F-35 Deemed 'Combat Ready'
The F-22 Raptor is a specialized air superiority fighter and an overwhelming success at that.

The F-35 is meant to do everything else and can certainly drop bombs on enemies of the United States. What else do you want from it?

Think of the US arsenal from the point of view of opponents. If you were running any other country, would you feel comfortable going to war with the United States? Iran? China? Russia? Israel? France? United Kingdom?

falsestprophet··on Rent-Stabilized Housing Is Disappearing Fast in NYC
We could operate the economy by lottery.
falsestprophet··on As Tech Booms, Workers Turn to Coding for Career Change
Here is some salary data for the two metro areas mentioned in the story for "Software Developers, Applications" from the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported for May 2014 [1].

  Denver-Aurora-Broomfield, CO
  10%ile  25%ile  median  75%ile  90%ile
  64470	  80110	  100140  122350  146930

  New York-White Plains-Wayne, NY-NJ Metropolitan Division
  10%ile  25%ile  median  75%ile  90%ile
  66100   83010	  106710  135600  164390
The woman hired by Galvanize achieved a 25th %ile salary for Denver on her first day. Seems hard to believe that someone with so little training could be more productive than 25% of developers of software applications in Denver.

I think it's at least a little suspicious that the single data point that demonstrates the success of Galvanize is paid directly by Galvanize. How about any other student?

The math guy did an undergraduate degree in mathematics!, so he is hardly a characteristic example of waiters in New York who generally shouldn't expect to achieve a median salary for the industry on their first day.

[1] http://data.bls.gov/oes/search.jsp?data_tool=OES

falsestprophet··on The Last European: Romanian Driver Navigates the Soul of the EU
"Romanians I know...take acid... It's all a matter of perspective."

It's all a matter of selection bias.

falsestprophet··on YC Fellowship
http://fellowship.ycombinator.com/faq/

"Can a single person apply for funding?

Yes, but the odds of being accepted are lower. A startup is too much work for one person."

I'm pretty sure you don't mean it is "too much work" for success to be a possible outcome, but that's what your copy says at the moment.

falsestprophet··on The Unicorn Club 2015: Learning from Billion-Dollar Companies
A unicorn is a billion dollar company. Shall we just call them billion dollar companies then?
falsestprophet··on Smart Bed Startup Luna Joins YC S15, Has Raised $1.3M in Private Funding
I can think of at least one thing some people do in their beds that would be awkward to have recorded for posterity.
falsestprophet··on Energy
The 20th century was the century of carbon-based energy. I am confident the 22nd century is going to be the century of atomic energy (i.e. terrestrial atomic generation and energy from sun’s fusion).

It's silly to describe solar as atomic energy from sun’s fusion as a distinct category from carbon-based energy, because of course carbon-based energy was formed by capturing solar energy from the sun's fusion.

falsestprophet··on Uber CEO Says He’d Buy 500k Self-Driving Cars From Tesla Motors
There is some real news here: Uber (probably) does not believe its autonomous vehicle program will be successful before 2020.
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