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fatdog

273 karma · joined June 12, 2016

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fatdog··on A very valuable vulnerability
volatility arbitrage exists in pretty much every currency, so this isn't a vulnerability, it's a FX trade.
fatdog··on Show HN: Anonymous messaging with a 1km radius
I regret to say I might have some bad news for you.

However, not everyone is ambitious and competitive, but not everyone uses social media. They do seek a sense of approval (or attention), even if it is defracted via a pseudonym. Most social studies are irreproducible bunk anyway.

Our 'real' identities are but a hash away, where you give me a place to contact you and tell you the contents of this sha1 sum: b967696ff8376ccd0feb6170b469e23588d702bd . If you wanted to get fancy, we could start by agreeing on a modulus and a base....

fatdog··on Show HN: Anonymous messaging with a 1km radius
read reports of rate of user growth slowing down, teenagers switching to other platforms, and my own view that it is a millennial demographic phenomenon, like a pop genre.

They can make more money, but imho it will be through value added services on their graph and service diversification, not on user growth against todays advertising model.

fatdog··on Show HN: Anonymous messaging with a 1km radius
Authorities of all sorts love the bully narrative because it legitimizes their demands for compliance. Social media is undermining to them because people don't want to be supervised.

The real reason social media sites die without moderation is not because it alienates people who take bullying, it is that when there is no way to become a moderator, people seek status and power elsewhere. Reddit survives because it is a status pyramid scheme. HN survives because of similar aspiration to be seen as that smart person in front of a VC audience, a kind of Enders Game fantasy.

Facebook and Twitter are waning not because of trolls, but because they have signaled a nannying supervisory role that reduces overall user optionality, and takes away the thing that drew people in in the first place: Hope.

fatdog··on Ask HN: Is it better to be good at many things or great at one thing?
When you truly master something, the understanding of mastery is a surprisingly portable skill.

It can make you seem like a generalist, when in fact you are just a transcendent specialist.

fatdog··on Cognitive bias cheat sheet
Want a poster of this in every meeting room, maybe sans brain picture in favor of Rodin's Thinker sculpture.
fatdog··on Sex, honour, shame and blackmail in an online world
Terrible stories, but they cross into agitprop outrage porn.
fatdog··on Ask HN: What is your favorite internet rabbit hole?
Kolmolgorov complexity, conditional entropy, beach holiday write off.
fatdog··on Show HN: A Simple Highway Simulator
Love how sitting in the passing lane at a speed %10 lower than target causes cascading collisions.

If driving causes cancer, at least the people who drive in the passing lane (the left one) deserve it.

fatdog··on 3 Rules for Rulers
It's actually very widely accepted, and his methods are used in the intelligence community for political forecasting.

It threatens a lot of conventional beliefs, but they are conventional mainly because, as shown, people are sheep.

This is probably the most dangerous video ever produced.

fatdog··on What I Learned About Julian Assange While Working Alongside Him
More of the same political tactics. Feel dirty having read buzzfeed.

There should be an Onion article titled, "Challenger to status quo is racist, anti-Semitic, transphobic, misogynist, possibly gay, rapist, pedophile, terrorist, bogeyman."

Yawn.

Writers like that are why people are backing the republican nominee.

fatdog··on Battery technology may emerge as a trillion-dollar threat to credit markets
Battery technology is a lot like bitcoin and gold in that once it is manufactured, users are not dependent upon a state controlled centralized network for it. It's revolutionary, and will probably be heavily regulated given the amount of independence it will provide people.

The big secret in a lot of countries where energy and communications are state monopolies or semi-private corporations is that they are LOADED with debt that the govt used as a private slush fund.

If you are looking for "off balance sheet" liabilities in a government, look at its utilities that are exempt from public records laws. This is where a lot of the bodies are buried.

If people start dropping off the grid, states will just convert the power bill to a straight up tax bill, but without the pretense of a service attached to it. There are already precedents for charging electric vehicle taxes to make up for the shortfall in fuel taxes they create. Govts say, "well, if they are using the roads, they should pay for them." except gas taxes go into the slop bucket of general revenue, and the roads have been paid for through other taxes. The largest state expense is employee salaries, yet all road maintenance is done by contractors, so the "roads" thing doesn't really wash.

When Greece was trying to sort out its default, it outsourced tax collection to its utility companies as part of the bailout.

Efficient power storage will be a game changer, like a redrawing of international boundaries game changer.

fatdog··on Peter Thiel, YC, and hard decisions
The fool's reproach, it is a kingly title. I like how YC let her feel like it was her decision. Well played.
fatdog··on Google's “Director of Engineering” Hiring Test
I think this is a very equitable process. If a medium-functioning retarded person wouldn't hire you, that's saved the company like $100 of time to ascertain your qualifications. This is much better than using biased metrics like problem solving sessions or personal assessments of character from people who will be working with them.
fatdog··on Wealthy San Francisco tech investors bankroll bid to ban homeless camps
Begs the question of, homes where. Public housing, hotel rooms, condominiums, remote cabins, camps, shelters, the devil is in those details.

"Homeless" is a euphemism, more of a metonym for a cluster of issues that form an identifiable other. It's a general problem of how should a society deal with extreme exceptional minorities. From a majority rule perspective, there are probably still more homeless people than millionaires (let alone billionaires) in the bay area, so maybe they will organize and win the right to camp anywhere.

Rich people need permits, licenses, planning permission, and community consent to build homes. Tent dwellers, not so much. In fact, if the resolution doesn't pass to prevent people from camping in the street, what's to stop anyone from setting up pre-fab luxury sidewalk camps like those at burning man.

fatdog··on Wealthy San Francisco tech investors bankroll bid to ban homeless camps
Why do homeless people camp on sidewalks? Because it works. The question becomes, "works for what?" The proposition appears to mean to make camping "not work," by imposing risk and cost on campers. It's responding to a symptom, but it's like treating cancer with crutches.

What does the street provide an alley or park doesn't? I've said before, the perceived security from non-underclass people walking by. Police protect non-underclass people from violence, and the homeless get this additional benefit by extension by being nearby. In shelters and tent cities, you are more likely to be targeted for crime.

Sure people without addresses have a right to safety and security of person like everyone else, but their behavior (often due to mental illness or drug use or factors outside of their direct control) makes it extra difficult/costly to provide it.

Other people pay a lot of money in tax to the state to reduce their daily exposure to violence, regardless of the factors that might contribute to it. Tent cities are a source of risk, and they are provocative symbols of the limits of the ability of the local government to operate credibly. Governments, mainly for their own sake, must remove tent cities when they pop up, arguably because that's what they were originally chartered to do.

Some may say that the homeless are "just trying to live," but it could be said they are hovering around public services without any sense of responsibility to the local society that provides them.

They are human beings, but ones who take advantage of the lack of a continuous tribal identity in cities, where they can live with people believing they are someone else's problem. People who don't learn to get along get run out of small towns (or worse). Add a drug addiction to severe mental illness, and you basically get a municipal zombie problem.

To me, homelessness is only a complicated problem from the perspective of an ideology that cannot tolerate examples of the limits to its power. Everyone else has solutions, just not ones that reinforce the narcissism of maternalistic policymakers.

fatdog··on Ask HN: Back-end team does not document their APIs. How do I convince them?
There is a cultural problem in some orgs where some (even sr.) devs think not documenting things creates job security, but it really just creates bottlenecks that suffocate the organization. Few things signal a corporate death spiral like the phrase, "useless documentation." This means that nobody is going to read it, because nobody cares, and nobody cares because it's probably crap. GIGO. A product of shitty thinking.

The only real value of any software is that it does what someone says it does, and if nobody says it does anything, then I would argue it is not creating value for anyone. It is showing up to work and consuming resources, but it's not moving the company anywhere.

Growth in a company means building things that are the foundation for something else, and those foundations are based on the assurances of people with credible word. Documentation creates a basis for that credibility. A lack of credibility means a lack of ability to deliver value.

If your backend devs won't document their APIs as a matter of backward principle, your company is probably in a death spiral, fire them or eject.

fatdog··on Women rise through the ranks of IT more rapidly than men
One explanation would be that women could be said to have a better instinct for power, and they recognize quickly that as a corporate survival strategy, power over people is more rewarding and sustainable than power over things. Feminism isn't about women becoming IT guys, it's about becoming bosses.

Sort of breaks with the victim narrative, but provides a more plausible story.

fatdog··on Grand jury subpoena for Signal user data
It might be worth considering why authorities think banning or regulating encryption is tractable.

- 100+ years of business telecommunications without significant strong encryption. - Robust wiretapping and law enforcement access laws and practices that mean there is NO place or piece of information within US sovereign territory that is inaccessible to an authorized agent of the state. - they have the expectation of total control. Hell, beat cops can shoot you over minor "comply or die" orders. - Crypto isn't about your email or even evidence in a particular case, it is about the completeness and totality of their authority. - States around the world routinely decimate their populations in civil wars and massacres to ensure the same people remain in power. From the LE perspective, anyone who threatens the sovereignty of the state is a terrist they would complete for the opportunity to shoot.

Hackers don't get it. If the crypto debate ever gets real, you cannot imagine how real it will get.

fatdog··on The most coveted cigars will never be smoked
I don't know anyone in tech who appreciates cigars. It doesn't go with things like rock climbing, kayaking, snowboarding, ultramarathoning, CrossFit, or redditing that our fields are known for. I love them, but what's the HN connection?
fatdog··on Ask HN: What are the must-read books about economics/finance?
Mark Joshi's "The Concepts and Practice of Mathematical Finance" came recommended to me by some people in the field as a foundation. I found it quite readable.
fatdog··on How to Adapt to Prison
More corporate batman than bateman, but in effect, yes.
fatdog··on How to Adapt to Prison
I clicked on this article because it is how to get along in groups of men.

While prison likely has a high concentration of pathological personalities, the more serious the company you are in, the more it will have collected people who are attracted by power and prestige - the more probable case that you will be dealing with psychopaths.

The ones I've met aren't actually that smart (handwavy estimate is they seem to top out around IQ120), and usually only have one or two blunt but heavy social tools that make them high functioning manipulators. They are enabled by overly trusting, high IQ but socially unsophisticated engineers who are easily bullied.

With violence largely a non-factor in a psycho's toolkit in the startup world (vs. prison), you can learn to anticipate and manage them.

While it can be fun to have the scariest dog in the park, who's just a sweetie to you at home (because all they understand is power), it raises the question of responsibility. You know it's going to do harm, it's just a matter of time, and the question for a real leader is, at what point do you recognize it for what it is and put it down?

If you have ever been to boarding school, summer camp, or worked in a large institution, the difference to prison seems largely symbolic. Different people and rules, yet still, people and rules.

fatdog··on Old Geek Jobs: fighting against ageism in the industry
Can someone state honestly and pseudonymously why they don't hire oldz?

Speculating I would say:

- chose younger hire because cheaper and can be moulded into company specific role. - younger candidate more easily managed by less experienced (cheaper) manager. - wants to keep culture "pure," and needs kids to drink kool-aid. - values power and control over less experienced technically acceptable candidates. - get extra effort and all nighters out of people who think they need "experience." - want to leverage kids love of novelty to react and respond to developments that seem like minor details to people with experience. - younger people have less sensitivity to change. - early stage companies want to reduce exposure to risk from having to re-negotiate once key developer has them by balls.

If you are old, present as harmless. The more hippy dippy and spergy you come off as, the less threatening you will be, the more you will disarm clients/employers.

fatdog··on A Soviet scientist created tame foxes
Seems he took idea of "survivorship bias" a bit literally.
fatdog··on Neglected Food Bubbles: The Espresso Coffee Foam
Hipster coffee and Italian coffee are very different. The former is characterized by "fruit" flavors, which a lot of people taste as just acidic, where Italian coffees are more base and tannic, owing (I think) to higher levels of the cheaper arabica bean in their blends.

As someone whose drink is a "ristretto" (which is mostly the crema) the espresso in a given little italy vs. something served by someone under the age of 50 is very different. The closest thing I could find to a standard Italian coffee in SF was at Mara's Italian Pastries in north beach.

Could a hipster do it? Sure. Would I ever line up or wait for their explanation to find out? No.

fatdog··on Introducing “Ask a Female Engineer”
Two questions:

1. In the same job (say, sr. developer) with equivalent qualifications, what differences in approach, behavior, and performance can one attribute to someone being a man or a woman?

2. How would you recommend responding to a peer, a subordinate, or a superior who behaves in a way that reinforces negative stereotypes about their identity?

fatdog··on Approaching fairness in machine learning
What is fairness but political accountability?

There is an old joke about how people use statistics like a drunk uses a lamp post: for support and not for illumination. Given this, we can expect people to use AI like everything else in statistics, to support the agenda of whoever is operating it while defraying negative personal accountability for the results, because artificial intelligence. It's just an obfuscated and sophisticated version of, "Computer says no."

The alternative is the near future headline, "AI confirms racists, sexists, on to something."

fatdog··on FBI Announces Post-Election Attack on Encryption
Any bets that the FBI has traded some discretion on the Clinton email scandal now for total support on surveillance and crypto when she gets in? Even if they haven't, if Clinton does get it they have a huge lever to hold over her if she is elected, and will likely become the FBI President. The republican nominee doesn't seem like much a civil liberties guy either.

The big winner of the U.S. presidential election will be police.

fatdog··on Ask HN: Where do you go for civil discussion on the Internet?
A slack channel linked to the community of edge.org would be pretty good.
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