3,391 karma · joined October 4, 2015
Edit: In 1941, so it's been a while
Hopefully not, but evolution is a powerful beast.
Renewables are the cheapest to add by far, so should be the majority of new generation capacity.
It isn't particularly fast though, and the simplicity quickly becomes an obstacle when solving a real problem.
It would also be nice to have some indicator (at the top) that all tasks for the day have been completed.
An operator in Australia has seen massive success and profits over the past few years using batteries to out-compete other grid stabilization. IIRC, they have already made enough to pay off the upfront costs. Even better, Australian government was super against the change, but now most places are positive on them because of the obvious success.
OpenPilot works well in limited scenarios, but even the founder George Hotz openly admits Tesla is significantly ahead and has the right approach.
FSDS (Full Self Driving, Supervised [for now]) can handle the vast majority of driving scenarios, from A -> B. I currently intervene once per 10 drives, usually due to a routing issue (never safety critical). It is rapidly improving, and will drop the human requirement once it surpasses most drivers.
Even the best teachers won't be engaging to some of their students.
The tools to investigate this will get cheaper and easier, driving more people into the field hoping for the next big win, a big payout, or just to make an impact.
Anyone can make a small circuit design have have a fab print it for you. The same could happen here, all you need to do is provide the sequence
Now we have the 2nd!
Long term value, employee satisfaction, and customer satisfaction are all intertwined. New management is more likely than not to harm at least one of those 3 .
Communication and agreement are what add cost and misdirection to development. When a tiny set of people with one clear goal pull the strings, it is much more efficient to reach the north star product.
Falcon 9 funded Starship. Now there is little funding for a competitor, ignoring the fact that Starship will sink that even closer to 0 with such low launch costs.
Old NASA could do 5-10x as much, with the same amount of inflation-adjusted money and people. The motivation was to fail+learn and achieve a shared goal. SpaceX is the closest analog today, with a long term mission and the drive to make it happen.
We accept all of these and yet a beautiful, slow rotating turbine in some farmer's remote land or the middle of the ocean is unacceptable...
Turbine blades are mostly fiberglass, which is about as neutral of a material as you can get. They are buried in a landfill (worstcase) after producing tremendous amounts of energy. New designs are lasting longer and being made recyclable, since so many people have this sticking point (even though no fuel oil is recyclable)
We should switch, even if we don't convert to renewables. (Which we absolutely should)
For anyone complaining about offshore wind (which is way the hell off in the distance) it may be worth considering that the alternative is those houses and beaches on the shore cease to exist in the future if we don't build the turbines.