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got2surf

754 karma · joined January 27, 2012

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got2surf··on How 'dockless' cycles flooded China and are heading overseas
It sounds like they don't do too much maintenance on the bikes, so that cost is probably fairly low. And I wonder if bikes would need to be rebalanced manually? Presumably with enough bikes in the system, the bikes would be distributed around population centers pretty well.
got2surf··on Golden powers are nearly integers
You're right, he didn't explain why it happens. But like I said, he explained "a couple interesting things", showing readers that these interesting patterns exist. To people outside of mathematics like me, it's cool just that these patterns and phenomena are present, even if we don't grasp the math behind why.

That being said, an easy-to-understand explanation of why it happens (to the extent that is possible), like in some of the other comments, would be super interesting as well.

got2surf··on Golden powers are nearly integers
I don't have any advanced math experience, but this is one of the coolest things I've read in a long time - kudos to the author for explaining a couple interesting things about a complex topic in a simple way.
got2surf··on The thriving black market of John Deere tractor hacking
I think there may be a disconnect between individual "farmers", who are perceived as rugged individualists, and well-connected farm companies with deeper pockets and lobbyists. It seems like John Deere's restrictions are more harmful to small family farms than to large agricultural corporations, right?

Would large farm lobbying groups fight against Deere's practices, when harming small family farms drives business to larger agri-businesses?

got2surf··on 'My life was ruined by a typo'
Anecdotally, I've had bad experiences with T-Mobile (similar issues with customer service reps messing up a plan transfer, and being unable to fix it), but I've found Verizon reps to be more able/willing to fix things.
got2surf··on Kaggle Joins Google Cloud
Exactly - at the end of the day, the majority of Kaggle users are potential Google customers. Majority of them would probably buy Google API access outright (for things like NLP, for example). A minority is probably more interested in building their own AI-based processing pipline using Google Cloud resources.
got2surf··on Kaggle Joins Google Cloud
Kaggle makes it easier to "enter" AI (by reading about competitions, looking at successful approaches, and eventually implementing your own approaches).

You mentioned that Kaggle competitions can be solved "without requiring deep learning". This benefits Google because Google doesn't need a world where every developer is a deep learning expert. Instead, Google needs a world where developers have a little experience with AI, enough that they can look at Kaggle as a friendly, non-intimidating way to get started solving problems with AI. And fundamentally, more people are interested in "solving problems with AI" than "building AI to solve problems from scratch", which will lead to more customers for Google's AI/ML based APIs.

In my limited past experience, I've liked the fact that on Kaggle, I can understand the marginal benefits of different approaches. I can try a naive approach with simple ML techniques, and achieve a score of say ~60. I can see (after the competition is complete) that an optimized version of my same ML solution can score ~70 from some clever tricks. And perhaps I can see that the winning solution added a lot of complexity to achieve a score of ~75.

got2surf··on World’s richest doctor gave away millions, then steered the cash to his company
Definitely possible, but like the parent poster mentioned, unlikely.

Far more people have intentionally built their way to $9B than have intentionally reduced their fortune to $9B.

got2surf··on World’s richest doctor gave away millions, then steered the cash to his company
You're right, very clever, but morally dubious, especially around something as important as cancer screening. Soon-Shiong would probably argue that he was able to get valuable results for the university while also supporting a cancer detection technology that would be a net-win for the future.

Definitely shady, but did the donation still make the world a better place?

got2surf··on Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO
Great point. I know it's not the best comparison feature-wise, but look at the public reaction to Google Glass vs Snap Spectacles. Snap understands how to make the product sexy, not just tech-sexy. Snap understands how to make their innovation fit into the lifestyle of their users.

Anecdotally, it's been interesting to see GoPro take off over the years, spreading from "extreme sports pros" at the beginning to include more casual/recreational uses now. A lot of friends who wouldn't have considered buying a GoPro 5 years ago (because "they don't do anything exciting/dangerous enough to need it") are now considering GoPros to document the slightly more exciting parts of life. These same friends are even more strongly considering Spectacles, because Snap made a product that fits into their lifestyle (lowering the barrier of what is "interesting enough" to capture)

got2surf··on Paralyzed Man Uses Brain Implant to Type Eight Words per Minute
Will definitely let you know next time I'm around the Bay Area. I'm also interested in ML and education (my startup analyzes feedback comments, and we've been working with student surveys in education recently), so looking forward to chatting sometime
got2surf··on Paralyzed Man Uses Brain Implant to Type Eight Words per Minute
I wonder if after training, these paralyzed users would develop a sort of language of brain primitives (almost a "thought alphabet") which are easily recognizable by the software and easy signals for the human brain to create. It may vary by user, but I wonder what the general set of easy "letters" would look like.
got2surf··on I started a one-man biz that's beating VC-backed startups
Agreed - warm recommendations from people reaching out to their professional networks have by far the highest conversion for us.
got2surf··on I started a one-man biz that's beating VC-backed startups
Malcolm Gladwell's book David and Goliath talks about that example (among others). It's a pretty interesting read.
got2surf··on A scalper who used bots to buy millions of tickets, now wants to stop them
Also, doesn't Ticketmaster benefit from the scalping through more transaction fees anyway? Between TicketsNow and the increased transaction volume from scalpers/flippers, seems like TicketMaster can't really lose.
got2surf··on Silicon Valley Hedge Fund Takes on Wall Street with AI Trader
I'm looking at low cost/fee index funds as well (I strongly agree with you that I don't want an active trading strategy for my retirement account). Have you looked at things like Motif Investing? I'm torn on whether I want to create a sector-balanced Vanguard-style index, or just invest in an existing index.
got2surf··on Silicon Valley Hedge Fund Takes on Wall Street with AI Trader
Yes! Completely agreed. The fact that it's a negative sum game is really hard to explain to people who've had some moderate success trading (and there are plenty of those anecdotal examples out there).

But that's a great point that any kind of active trading strategy needs to be compared against the right index. I think this holds true for pension/sovereign funds which invest in multiple hedge funds as well - comparing to the overall market performance may be less relevant than comparing to sector-weighted market performance, for example.

got2surf··on Silicon Valley Hedge Fund Takes on Wall Street with AI Trader
Great point. And even if you are "with the crowd" more often than you are not, your timing/sizing on each trade you make as a day trader or mom-and-pop investor is very likely to be worse than an institutional trading firm. So you can be right on a "buy" vs "sell" decision 51% of the time, but an algo trading firm has probably executed with better timing/trade size and beaten you to a percentage of the profit.

A friend who works in quant finance said something along the lines of "if a trader can identify a mom-and-pop investor, it's like taking candy from a baby" in terms of making an easy profit.

got2surf··on Intern Impact: Brotli compression for Play Store app downloads
It's easy for people (especially people who like tech) to forget this. "Innovation" in the sense of better algorithms or improved computations are great, but they don't solve problems - applications do.

That's why many 'hot' areas (like machine learning, for example) have a large gap between industry and academia. Researchers focus on "innovation" in terms of new approaches, aiming for marginally higher performance, and requiring increasingly complex models/infrastructure to unlock the remaining performance. On the other hand, combining an existing technology with industry knowledge of how to apply it can have a huge impact.

got2surf··on Some people can't afford to go to the beach, and lawmakers want to change that
I'm also from Florida, and I agree with the parent poster. Spent a lot of time on the East Coast (Cocoa Beach, and Miami area mainly), and there is plenty of free parking. Even close to downtown Miami (Virginia Key, for example) has some free parking.

That being said, we have some beautiful state parks in Florida (great springs, rivers, camping etc) which charge entrance fees. Some parks have a once-a-year "free day", and it's great to see so many people out and enjoying the outdoors. Not at all like the "beach version of public housing", as one commentor rudely claimed above.

got2surf··on Should gifted students go to a separate school?
I agree with @akhilcacharya and had the same reasoning (ended up not doing the AA in high school for the same reason).

More restrictive set of courses for the AA means you're taking classes you don't enjoy for a requirement you don't need. The "name value" of a community college AA also isn't as great, particularly for kids who want to go to a higher-ranked public or top private university for undergrad.

That being said, if you know you want to go to a local/state school where the credits will transfer easily, getting the AA early can be great. I know people who graduated early but still received all 4 years of scholarship money (direct deposited in their bank).

got2surf··on Should gifted students go to a separate school?
College courses are a great option too (my school district allowed "dual enrollment" where you could take anywhere from one to all of your classes at one of the local community or state colleges). There are definitely some cases where the AP equivalent is "harder", better taught, or better suited to high-school age students, though.

I agree that defining "advanced" is very challenging, and goes beyond just the academic as well. There's also something to be said for being academically engaged with people similar to you (ie - some (most?) high school kids may learn more from peers in a self-selected AP Calculus class than they would from a Calc 1 class at the local college taken by kids looking to fill a requirement).

got2surf··on Ask HN: Where is AI/ML actually adding value at your company?
Sorry, using "real" in quotes wasn't too descriptive.

A few machine learning-based classifiers (we've used Bayesian and SVM approaches). Word embeddings and topic modeling (similar to word2vec) which are based on shallow neural networks.

Those are a few of what I would consider the "real" machine learning tools we use. Most of the application, though, is statistics/pattern recognition/visualizations on top of the data calculated by the ML approaches.

The interesting thing is (in my opinion/experience) that a 10% improvement in some of the ML performance (a 10% increase in accuracy, for example) will translate to a 1-3% improvement in end user experience (they see slightly better insights and patterns, but it is a marginal improvement). On the other hand, layering a new visualization or statistical heuristic on top of the data can lead to a significant boost in user experience.

Again, this is just for our specific application/domain, but we focus on making the ML results more accessible to users instead of focusing on the marginal accuracy of the ML results themselves.

got2surf··on Ask HN: Where is AI/ML actually adding value at your company?
My company builds software to analyze customer feedback.

We use "real" ML for sentiment classification, as well as some of our natural language processing and opinion mining tools. However, most of the value comes from simple statistical analysis/probabilities/ratios, as other commenters mentioned. The ML is really important for determining that a certain customer was angry in a feedback comment, but less important in highlighting trending topics over time, for example.

got2surf··on George Hotz cancels his Tesla Autopilot-like ‘comma one’
In the discussion on Jalopnik (a fairly large auto-enthusiast site), someone mentioned that Alex Roy had a good experience riding in a comma one-equipped car (https://twitter.com/AlexRoy144/status/791996855114694657).

I thought this was an interesting perspective - Alex Roy is famous in car enthusiast circles for his driving records over the past 30 years. He's set speed records with drives across the US and around Manhattan, and has set electric/semi-autonomous records in a Tesla Model S in August 2016.

The point being that Alex Roy has probably spent more time thinking about driving, planning trips, and understanding traffic rules than most other people alive today. His perspective is just a single perspective, but given his massive experience with car-driver systems I think it's an interesting perspective.

got2surf··on George Hotz cancels his Tesla Autopilot-like ‘comma one’
That's a fair point, and we shouldn't over-weight one journalist's experience.

However, I think that in this case, the author of the tweet has a lot of credibility (https://twitter.com/AlexRoy144/status/791996855114694657) as the holder of multiple performance driving records. You're right that it is only one anecdotal perspective, but it's kind of like a prominent Apple blogger tweeting that a new Microsoft product has phenomenal UI. It's just one perspective, but (to me) it's interesting enough to merit further consideration.

got2surf··on George Hotz cancels his Tesla Autopilot-like ‘comma one’
I'd agree with this. The journalist in question (Alex Roy, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alex_Roy) is an auto enthusiast and race driver, and is well respected even in auto enthusiast circles, which are notoriously anti-self-driving-cars.

Journalists can be manipulated, but Alex Roy's tweet (https://twitter.com/AlexRoy144/status/791996855114694657) is more an endorsement by a car enthusiast with 30+ years of high performance driving experience than a journalist, IMO.

got2surf··on How I Built a Custom Camper Van (2015)
Awesome build - was that a DeLorean in the garage in http://i.imgur.com/wqXRJVp.jpg? Great taste in cars!
got2surf··on Lost at sea: a man who vanished for 14 months
The picture per day part is really cool - instead of having to look for a life raft/debris, we can look for patterns of abnormality across time. Given how large the ocean is, we have a good sense of the 'normal' distribution of images every day, so maybe we can find patterns like consistently "abnormal" images along a wind/current vector over 7 days. Individual debris may not be visible, but fields of debris may have some characteristics we can recognize.
got2surf··on Porsche 911: 52 years of staying true to its roots
I think the IMS issue may make the 987.1 Cayman and 996 911 cars some of the best deals out there today - it seems like the IMS issues don't affect too many cars (and the issues may have been over-reported on Porsche forums), and there are solutions like the IMS Guardian (http://theimsguardian.com/) to detect IMS failure before it happens.

To me, a 996 sounds like a great deal today because prices are driven down by people who don't like the IMS issue and the egg-shaped headlights.

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