That seems a likely outcome and a grim, if satisfying element of the Great Filter hypothesis. In the meantime idealism is generally suicidal. How many people cheered the Arab Spring, only to recoil in horror when the most predictable thing ever happened in its wake? We need to solve the problem of risking our own extinction, but if it isn’t clear yet, we need to do something new, not just volunteering to be hacked to death by the next strongman.
When I was a kid I got a two deck cassette player and alarm clock combo. I used it as my alarm for about 16 years, and I still get a weird feeling if I hear that precise tone. It makes me feel a bit sleepy and disoriented for a split second. With the same clock I also started to wake up to the sound of the system powering up the speakers to play the torn before the tone sounded. It seems I’d slap the snooze button in my sleep so I had to get a new alarm.
Plus they did everything they could to get it grandfathered in, and not have to re-certify it. As a result there’s no pilot training on it as a distinct type, and as a result...
I’m not even going to touch “sincere” given his now documented history of lying outright, but non-corporate? Huh? How many corporations do you need to run before you’re corporate?
Investigators including Boeing are going to have to determine whether or not this crew is properly trained and of course, Boeing is going to have to focus on whether or not they have a software or technical issue.
It’s such a bad business model, it has nasty externalities, but people still leap to defend it because they don’t like cars. I think we need to be optimistic about this and accept that a lot of the last few years and probably a few more are all an incredibly expensive lesson as to why regulation exists, burdensome nature and all. Five years ago everything was “Uber for X” and “disruption” and Crytpocurrency. Now... not so much except for the true believers and the sunk costers.
So yes, it’s out of hand, it’s inherently unprofitable and cheap Chinese scooters are probably not a net environmental benefit. It’s still one of those things that millions of people apparently need to figure out the hard way.
In your fantasy, why does a “seat” cost orders of magnitude more than a first class round trip to Australia in an actual seat? On that note, in the same way that I prefer a more expensive seat on a plane that was designed in accordance with professional and legal standards, yes I’d do the same for software.
Maybe there would even be less cruft and bloatware when externalities were accounted for.
No, it’s not silly, just a testament to how screwed up the time period in question was. Just to add to what you’re saying, did you know that the inquisition was only allowed a single torture session? Of course they got around that by “pausing” the session and resuming endlessly. Still the ideas in the Inquisition, putting aside its aims and practices, were interestint for the time. So “big innovation” isn’t silly, although I admit it’s an interesting perspective not usually taken.
That’s quite the hate-on someone has at that site. There’s some funny to be had, but it’s mostly very tryhard. The “coverage” of the Vitamin D thing was great, but when there isn’t low hanging fruit it just sort of defaults to generic noise. Without the anger and repetition it could be worth reading, but as it is there’s a lot of predictable 4channery.
When you hold yourself to the same legal and social standards as actual accredited engineers, of the type who build things like airplanes, you’ll be in a better position. Right now the software works wants the benefits of the unregulated Wild West, without the consequences. Such a scenario simply cannot last, and in the absence of self regulation and setting of standards, the legal system will step in. It’s slow, it’s clumsy, and it’s inevitable.
Every friend I’ve turned onto either game was basically lost for months, then returned to the world like a shipwrecked survivor. It was all long beards and uncut hair, wild eyes and impossible tales. These games are so good they should come with rehab.
Paralytics primarily effect voluntary muscles (and spontaneous respiration), but GA impacts the autonomic system to varying degrees. The blockade will keep you from moving (or breathing), the GA will depress your autonomic functioning. Now it’s true that the anesthesiologist will monitor your heart, but they have to interpret the cause of any change. If they don’t realize that the change in heart rate is due to awareness, you’re screwed.
Agreed on Project Rho, it mixes entertainment and intellectual stimulation to the point I occasionally find myself giggling. Good point about reactionless drives too!
Especially in the case of an intubated patient with neuromuscular blockade, I don’t think an EKG would be useful. You’re already going to have all kinds of fluctuations from the anesthesia, muscle relaxants, analgesics and just from the intubation. I’ve read about the use of EEG [1] as a way to detect awareness, but it has serious limitations. Most of all though, many anesthetic agents have a profound effect on the autonomic nervous system, and I don’t think your body would react as it would if you were conscious. You probably wouldn’t have a significant increase in heart rate, you’re already not breathing on your own, you probably wouldn’t sweat or cry either.
I’ve become convinced that anything which makes us experience strong feelings has the potential to be compelling. Add to that the difficulty many of us have with letting things go, and you have a recipe for intellectual/emotional “crack” as you say, in the online world. Offline we tend to pursue extreme feelings in ways that don’t erode our relationships with others, or give us a bad reputation, but online those controls tend to fall away.
It’s a tough problem that seems like it requires commensurate energy (mods) to control.
I love the idea, either as a fusion drive or annihilation drive, but the world had better be damned peaceful before we start making that kind of thing. As Larry Niven explored several times, such a drive is also a weapon of mass destruction on a potentially global scale. It’s the ultimate dual use tech, because it’s effectiveness as a drive is directly proportional to its effectiveness as a weapon. Whether in the form of “The Kzinti Lesson” or a smalle scale like what’s found in The Ethics of Madness we’re talking about something serious. The only difference between peaceful use and militaristic use is just where and how you aim the exhaust.
Thst without worrying about someone turning a ship into an R-Bomb!
Ever since I’ve been a little kid this one thing has stuck with me; if you can’t remember it, is it like it never happened? I used to wonder that about nightmares, but I tended to go with the view that a version of you did suffer, and on some level the impact is there. Like a person with anteretrograde amnesia who can’t remember learning to work a specific maze, but still realizes the gains of the previous attempts.
I still don’t know if it’s even a realistic question, but I still wonder.
These arguments aren’t going to sway a judge or the SEC, it almost feels amateurish. Of course I presume that Musk and Tesla’s lawyer are very competent, but they have to work with what they’re given. I suppose the brief can be seen as red meat for his most loyal base, but so what? This isn’t a political campaign or a popularly contest, and it almost seems calculated to piss off the regulator that has Musk’s balls in a vise.
Musk just confuses the hell out of me. On one hand he started SpaceX, which is a ballsy and amazing company on track to bring launch costs down over the long haul. He seems to have has the wisdom to put competent people in charge of it, and then stick to the PR game he sometimes excels at. On the other hand we have Tesla, which he burdened with SolarCity and his own bizarre behavior. It’s a really weird situation, and if he didn’t have such a favorably stacked board and s grip on the company it’s hard to imagine he’d still be around.
Weirdly the only realistic way he loses his job at Tesla is if the SEC kicks him all the way off, and he’s practically waving a red flag at them! What is the point of this? His ego can’t possibly be thst fragile, and surely someone in his life can tell him to shut up.
You seem to have read something in my post that wasn’t there, namely that I was suggesting some kind of restriction on research, rather than what I did say, which was the need for more research. I can only guess how you interpreted my post in such a way.
You’ve quoted a single sentence out of two paragraphs, and then extrapolated from that fragment something I didn’t actually say. Even putting it in as neutral and fair terms as I could, I should have guessed that anything on this topic would strongly resemble a Rorschach test to some. Please understand that since the thrust of my point was the futility of discussing this online, I’m leaving my response at this.
There are two main reasons I’m aware of. First, a certain kind of person tries to make a deeply sexist argument and reaches for “science” to back it up. The overall experience with that kind of thing is profoundly negative, and it has a pretty grim history, so there are strong reactions to it. It’s true that well-intentioned people do ask uncomfortable questions, but especially online they’re dwarfed by trolls and people arguing in bad faith. All told this isn’t an insurmountable problem, and more and better research can help to shine some light on the issue. It’s also not impossible to determine whether or not someone is pushing a predetermined agenda and using a given study (while ignoring others) as a bludgeon.
The second, radioactive topic centers around trans people. I’m not going to touch that topic with a 10 foot pole, because online the discussion rarely develops more nuance than mysticism dressed up as science on one side, and bigotry dressed up as “common sense” arguments on the other. All told it makes for a difficult topic to discuss in good faith, absent agendas on or offline, but online it’s pure poison.
Assuming the crisis is limited to just the U.S., maybe. Otherwise no, because everyone would be suffering and stockpiling what they could for their own citizens. There are also geopolitical concerns, such as pricing those exports very dearly, or withholding them barring some concessions.
They’re also heavily used in paintball and airsoft, and some other quasi-combat games. The best ones I’ve used are sold by a company called Enola Gay, and they advertise simultaneously to photographers (as you said) and paintball/airsoft users. They’re really fun, ring-pull devices and produce a truly impressive amount of smoke for minutes at a time. The first time I used one I giggled like a kid.