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gruezon Wages Fall to 43% of U.S. Gross Domestic Income, Lowest Since 1929

That's not how inflation works? Even if inflation was "lower" (eg. 1%), prices are still going up.

gruezon Wages Fall to 43% of U.S. Gross Domestic Income, Lowest Since 1929

>... while companies post record profits

that's almost a truism if you factor in inflation.

gruezon Apollo says AI has delivered 'zero financial payoff' outside the tech industry

Previously: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50224463

609 points by the-mitr 1 day ago | hide | past | favorite | 645 comments

gruezon America has lost 200k of jobs in media, film and the arts. How much is AI?

You really couldn't do that yourself? I linked the data tables with all the information you need. I get you might be lazy but that's hardly an excuse now that we have AI. Anyways I asked AI, here's what it calculated:

    Owners' equivalent rent of primary residence (sub6): score=-9.9748, rel_imp=24.937, yoy=3.3
    Health insurance (sub4): score=-10.3886, rel_imp=0.818, yoy=-9.0
    New vehicles (sub4): score=-11.6188, rel_imp=3.748, yoy=0.6
    Used cars and trucks (sub4): score=-13.9776, rel_imp=2.688, yoy=-1.5
    Motor vehicle insurance (sub4): score=-22.0197, rel_imp=2.531, yoy=-5.0

OER seems to be there not because it's dropping, but because its weight is huge, so if it grew even slightly slower than overall inflation it would be a significant drag. All the vehicle related stuff are probably related to the car market being crazy during the pandemic and then normalizing. No idea what's going on with health or even car insurance. Of course this is all 1 year's worth of data so oddities like this are expected You'd probably want to redo this with 5, 10, or 20 year data.

gruezon Root shell on Samsung TV

Ironically phones are more transparent than TVs (because there's a rooting scene as well as adb access) so I wouldn't immediately extrapolate that they're doing this but even harder on phones.

gruezon Root shell on Samsung TV

>It has been widely publicised that all your devices are spying on you for at least a decade now

This sort of equivocation, where any privacy invasion gets rounded off to "spying on you" doesn't help either. Clickbait headlines over android making 100 requests to google gets lumped together with more serious privacy violations like random SDKs selling your location data, causing a learned helplessness where people think "spying on you" is normal and can't be avoided.

gruezon America has lost 200k of jobs in media, film and the arts. How much is AI?

>Funny, for me it seems terrible exactly for the opposite reason. These kinds of baskets are too heavily weighted by things that go relatively down in costs like technology and airplane tickets.

Have you looked at the actual weights?

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_10142026.htm

Airline fares make up a whopping 1.04% of the CPI basket. "Information technology commodities" makes up a whopping 0.752%. Meanwhile the weights of essentials are: Food (13.507%), Energy (7.418%), Shelter (35.323%), Medical care services (6.834)

gruezon America has lost 200k of jobs in media, film and the arts. How much is AI?

Because "inflation" is a weighted average, and there's no law that says that every good/service in an economy must increase in price by the same amount?

gruezon Root shell on Samsung TV

>how the stock market seemed so "predictable" to some people in early morning trading for a while

Has this been quantified? Otherwise it's easy to fall for confirmation bias, eg. "facebook is secretly listening to you"

gruezon Hacker leaks 281 GB of data from Germany's far-right AfD party

>A) He's been closer to the levers of power than probably either of us, so would have a better view of how it would work and

But that's not an infinite excuse to extrapolate from one person's statement to the whole of uk political establishment. Not to mention he's not a totally neutral party either. According to wikipedia he's against the conservative party and supports Reform UK.

"In 2025 he dropped calls for the creation of a start-up party to replace the Tories and in a blog post in March talked up Reform UK."

> b) he didn't resign in disgrace.

You're right. I edited my comment.

gruezon Hacker leaks 281 GB of data from Germany's far-right AfD party

>Dominic Mckenzie Cummings (born 25 November 1971) is a British political strategist who served as Chief Adviser to British Prime Minister Boris Johnson from 24 July 2019 until he resigned on 13 November 2020.[1]

Why should we care about a former government advisor who resigned 6 years ago, and isn't even in the same party as the government in power?

edit: retracted the "resigned in disgrace" part

gruezon Hacker leaks 281 GB of data from Germany's far-right AfD party

>Youre absolutely right. The fascist and de humanizing content might just as well be hallucinated. /s

It might not be entirely hallucinated, but it's still a real concern given all the discussions about the AfD inevitably gets filled with people engaging in motte-and-bailey tactics. For instance, are the AfD literally against democracy, or against the constitution (vaguely defined, because they're discriminating against immigrants)? In cases like these rough summaries inevitably mangle the exact policy positions, which might make them look better/worse than they actually are. You might think "AfD are fascists anyways, who cares if their positions get mangled?", but that's terrible epistemics.

gruezon Hacker leaks 281 GB of data from Germany's far-right AfD party

Because the leakers might have ethical standards? Same as with snowden not dumping everything directly and letting journalists scrub it first. None of this actually applies though because everything (supposedly) got leaked in the torrent.

gruezon Woman charged with computer fraud due to scam CashApp account being in her name

>The simple fact is that you can't just open an app and then let it destroy the lives of people with absolutely no connection to it.

Wait till you realize how 911 aka "swatting" works.

>The company itself must be responsible.

So in the swatting case should we blame Verizon for allowing the call to be placed in the first place?

gruezon Woman charged with computer fraud due to scam CashApp account being in her name

>Imagine this happening to you or your own - whisked away and locked up for a month for the crime of losing your wallet and getting your identity stolen.

You know what's worse than sitting in jail for a few days? Dying or losing a loved one from 9/11. So you better get used to more federal agents scanning your communications and more TSA groping you at the airport. No cost is too great to prevent losing a loved one to terrorist attacks!

gruezon Woman charged with computer fraud due to scam CashApp account being in her name

>Whatever is needed

Someone made a fake account -> we need "Whatever is needed" to make creating fake accounts harder is exactly the wrong way of thinking about it. It's the same kneejerk reaction that got us PATRIOT act and TSA after 9/11.

https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/optimal-amount-of-fra...

Or if you're more swayed by social justice, all these onerous checks also makes it harder for "unbanked"/"underbanked" people access to the financial system, which has real harms for them.

gruezon Mark Zuckerberg Threatened to Leave California. Meta's Board Cut Him a Deal

But it's not clear where there's a Moloch situation here? The benefits of agglomeration is basically economics 101.

gruezon Woman faces six years in prison over Cash App account she never opened

They could have sent her a letter? More importantly it's unclear what the timeline of the events were. All the contradictions could have been discovered after the plea deal was offered.

gruezon Mark Zuckerberg Threatened to Leave California. Meta's Board Cut Him a Deal

"If we crash the economy, everyone will lose their jobs and be poor!"

"On the plus side, the average cost of food, rent, and services might drop"

gruezon Mark Zuckerberg Threatened to Leave California. Meta's Board Cut Him a Deal

As much as I support LVT, how does it have to do with billionaire startup founders? They don't have zero real estate, but they're not exactly real estate moguls either. It's also unclear how tech startups derive their value from land, given that it's presumably all tied up in IP and network effects. Even "datacenters" seem dubious given that the land they sit on is probably dirt cheap, it's the GPUs that's worth money.

gruezon Woman faces six years in prison over Cash App account she never opened

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_defender_(United_States...

Of course, "of the defendant's choosing" causes all sorts of moral hazard.

gruezon Woman charged with computer fraud due to scam CashApp account being in her name

>This is the goal ... They know they are at fault but admitting they made a mistake is damaging to careers.

Is this actually true? The way the techspot article was laid out certainly implies that prosecutors knew about all the contradicting evidence, but they offered a plea deal. However, if you read the article carefully it doesn't mention any interaction with the prosecutors or that the contradicting evidence was presented to them.

gruezon Woman charged with computer fraud due to scam CashApp account being in her name

>for creating a system with so few checks that it appears to be designed to facilitate fraud and theft.

I'm too lazy to create and verify a cashapp account, but so far as what I can find online they do SSN/name check + id check + selfie (liveliness) check. What more do you want?

gruezon A complete bypass of eMudhra’s 1FA OTP login system

Only if they're lazy and went with the "download key and certificate (and we'll generate the keys for you)" option. Otherwise at least how it's supposed to work is that you give a CA a certificate signing request (CSR) containing your public key, they sign it and hand back your certificate. The certificate itself doesn't contain anything sensitive, because it's the same thing that your server presents to clients. But people are lazy and might not know how to generate a csr locally, hence the aforementioned option. And of course if they're too lazy to generate a csr locally, they're probably also too lazy to keep backups, so you can be sure that eMudhra keeps a copy in case they deleted it from their downloads folder.

gruezon MPs moving to restrict gambling ads in Canada

The ostensible reason provided (at least according to press reports at the time) was to divert people from offshore gambling operations, allowing the government to capture revenue as well as protect consumers. That argument isn't entirely without merit either. The US supreme court legalized sports gambling in 2018, so there was going to be a tsunami of people using VPNs to gamble without legalization in Canada.

gruezon Run full iOS 16.5 firmware on Android Devices

That likely doesn't work because they require device attestation to access imessage. It's what killed beeper mini too.

gruezon Run full iOS 16.5 firmware on Android Devices

>I imagine official support for 3rd party app stores might open up some options for easily installing apps

Given you own the OS, that's not an issue. You can make it pre-jailbroken and load whatever third party app store if you want. The bigger issue is that no app store = no "normie" apps like uber or google maps. I suspect most of the stock apps won't work either because they enforce device attestation on the backend endpoints, so it'll be miserable to use. Note in the maps screenshot, there's nothing behind the modal. It's just blank, suggesting it can't load the map tiles. You'd be better off using an android skinned as ios (possibly vibedcoded) than using this mess.

gruezon Run full iOS 16.5 firmware on Android Devices

>Does not work (yet):

>App Store content and Apple ID sign-in (no Secure Enclave; FairPlay daemon exits)

That seems like a huge roadblock, even if were able to resolve all the driver/OS issues.

gruezon Run full iOS 16.5 firmware on Android Devices

No, because iPhones still have locked bootloader, and on an Android phone this Frankenstein of an OS is likely to have worse security than just grapheneos.