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hansonkd

1,161 karma · joined March 25, 2019

CTO at getdynasty.com
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hansonkd··on Resisting Cognitive Surrender
I mean more or less to an extent if you expand by what you mean by "out comes". With Amazon, a carpenter can type in any furniture he wants and have it arrive in a matter of hours. Almost equally as magically as well as disruptive. People still use carpenters to make tables, but for the majority, the ease of same-day delivery and cheaper prices are worth it for a sacrifice in personalization and character.
hansonkd··on Show HN: Subvocal – Talk to your computer without making noise
I concur!
hansonkd··on Medicare Will Pay $50k for Your Heart Attack. It Should Pay $100 to Prevent It
This is the ultimate case for AI. Intelligence is partly scored based on predictions/planning, so if AI is really intelligent it should be able to tell what remediations are worth it and then lower your insurance cost based on following its recommendations. and back it up by backing those premiums itself.

Home insurance can benefit from this too. I just got a quote on a property i looked at with a $20k/yr premium, partly because of being in CA with a slope and age of the property.

At $20k/yr, there should be some economic way of an insurance company essentially saying "instead of $20k a year in premiums, here is a $300,000 30 year loan to do preventive measures on the property, and if you do them, your policy will drop to a more normal $3k/yr" or something along those lines.

hansonkd··on The Mythical Man-Month in the Age of AI
On the other hand there should be some actual cost of changing everything.

I see people ship a half baked feature then spend the next weeks ripping and replacing huge pieces causing all sorts of issues

hansonkd··on ChatGPT Keeps Telling People 404 Media Can Solve Their Tech Support Problems
Thats assuming the people using automated tools don't have legitimate complaints and putting the blame on them for their government's failure. If the system was designed better and responded better, maybe less people would have to turn to spamming the IRS line (as an example) when it opens for a glimmer of hope of talking to a person.

Same with the job search. if so many companies didn't make it a pain to input your information, maybe they could get more sympathy.

hansonkd··on GPT-6.1 Terra
I hate Opus 5.5, constant overreach and over-engineering for any project
hansonkd··on Switzerland. Block by block. At 1:1 scale
Not saying you are wrong, but I just wanted to share that if you build the software for yourself, a lot of requirements just vanish. like you dont need payment providers or support multiple users, etc.
hansonkd··on Birdwatching rewires the brain and slows cognitive decline
Those other things aren’t activities people are currently doing. Bird watching is a social activity with clubs you can join right now.
hansonkd··on Why I'm Short the AI Buildout Even Though I'm Long Computers
Dark fiber has many more layers of incompetence and greed than has to do with people we’re happy with speeds.
hansonkd··on We should be more ambitious with the software we build
I don't think they are saying its regurgitation, but rather that the "approaches and patterns" used to build a python interpreter are in the training data because the training data asks the llm to build one.
hansonkd··on Why is every rationalist blog post way too long?
Well for one the main rationalist figure head argued with a straight face on how many people should be saved from getting dust in their eyes to justify torturing a person.
hansonkd··on Do dentists know what they're doing?
I preach this. One dentist in US said I had 5 cavities, went to Latin America, they couldn’t find anything. No problems at any dentist since.
hansonkd··on WSL3 Performance is about 5-60% faster than WSL2 depending on the workload
Yup, tried ubuntu. Probably gotten over a hundred of their free CDs in the mail over the year to give out. Milage may vary based on exact hardware. It works until it doesn't is the story. Too much variation in consumer hardware for linux to ever be reliable for majority. So many combinations of motherboards, graphics cards, wifi cards, sound cards, etc. I even bought lenovos officially linux supported laptop etc to try to fix the issues.

I bent over backwards for ubuntu, suse, fedora over the years. Sometimes it would be years of stability in between, but it would always come back to bite me if i ever tried to trust it as my primary machine.

hansonkd··on WSL3 Performance is about 5-60% faster than WSL2 depending on the workload
I love Linux and use it for everything except my desktop for 20+ years now. Too many times even in the past I do an update the distro and then something stops working and then I have to spend a day fixing. Last time (6mo ago) it was my sound card. Small little annoyances that steal hours of productivity. LTS was going good until I wanted to update to the next LTS then the can of worms gets opened. It’s fantastic when it’s fresh and everything works and you can blow it away easily and reinstall. I’ve never found upgrading packages to be reliable long term without eventually having to do some manually recovery or reinstall OS
hansonkd··on Utah to let AI examine patients and prescribe medication without human oversight
Amazon's pharmacy prescribes a large swath of medications over text. No call or video necessary.

To make things more complicated, every message I sent was responded to by a different nurse practitioner. So it seemed everytime i sent a response or question, it would get routed to a random NP and she would respond without reviewing the full conversation.

Works if you know what you need, and I can't imagine AI being a worse process than whatever Amazon is doing.

hansonkd··on GPT-6 Astra cracks 217-year-old Napoleonic code in six hours
I mean is this good? How do we measure how "unsolvable" these codes are vs just unsolved because they are esoteric, uninteresting, and useless?
hansonkd··on Turn off Apple Intelligence on macOS 27 and get its disk space back
Cortana was heavily integrated with bing. It was essentially a way to get people to use bing.
hansonkd··on Clef: Open-source decision models, and new RL fine-tuning platform
Yeah, these AI companies have some weird paradox that if they actually had a model that was super efficient and could arbitrage cost/intelligence of other inferior models, they would keep everything about it secret. If an intelligence research group had something groundbreaking, they would just dump their own money into the magic money machine.

Instead, to make up for the lack of economic viability of their models, they are forced to release publicly to get marketing to get others to pay based on hype.

hansonkd··on Apple has added persistent 'ads' to iOS, and it's driving users crazy
I feel like Apple is always pushing the dev side forward in pretty awesome but small ways.

I’m super excited for containers. Yes they exist without Apple recreating them, but built in container runtime for the OS is developer forward thinking

hansonkd··on Astra for Law
no, but they are responsible for all work being done under them. What is the point of paying a partner $2000/hr if the work of their subordinates is wrong?

Most interactions with big tech firms involve 4-5 people so a basic phone call is $5k-10k. It shouldn't be unreasonable to expect after paying $80k for a financing round that they issue the right docs to the right people.

hansonkd··on Astra for Law
I've had top SV lawfirms whos partner charged our company $2000/hr and still couldn't get the right docs in the signature packet. and another getting share counts wrong during raise.

frustrating that law firms have no liability for these mistakes

I welcome ai law

hansonkd··on I like 'em thick: an apology to my English teachers
I think books in education often serve as an means to putting yourself in those scenarios and attempting to learn more about different times and cultures.
hansonkd··on Agent skills that bring team coding standards to Claude Code and Codex
Also just routine upkeep. Over time if you keep adding new rules these things can get bloated. I deleted 90% of my spec and things improved dramatically.
hansonkd··on Advertise in ChatGPT
I'm kind of surprised how bare bones the ad manager is.
hansonkd··on Write code like a human will maintain it
Yeah, the flip side of the article is that Fable level models can fix the majority of codebases created from the past 3 years and one shot it to a fixable state that is "human maintainable"
hansonkd··on Write code like a human will maintain it
The comments that drive the most homicidal behavior are outdated or inaccurate comments rather than no comments.
hansonkd··on Apple to increase spend with Broadcom to produce billions more U.S. chips
to be fair, nobody said they were shocked. just that they were a bad trading partner.
hansonkd··on Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place
I guess Zelle is the replacement. I've sent thousands to strangers with it with zero problems or fees. I don't like it at all because it is private and in my view a way for banks to avoid accountability.

But also zelle isn't really an option if you are anything bigger than a single person business.

hansonkd··on SpaceX to buy Cursor for $60B
2,000 gold bars were stopped out of iraq. and that is just what was stopped / reported.

Dictators and autocrats may or nay not have cash sitting in a bank account, but there are most likely multiple with $1B in gold.

hansonkd··on The iPhone explains 33–52% of fertility decline among women aged 15–44
Not to be pedantic and I agree with what you are saying but:

> As a rule of thumb, if you look at something for 3 minutes and have some obvious questions, the scientists that looked at it for several years of their life in great detail might have had those same obvious questions as well

This does not mean that just because they had those obvious questions that they were properly resolved. Human history has a long track record of people who knew better but chose to ignore. In science there is an incredible pressure to have positive results rather than negative ones (IE nobody would care or know about this study if the title was "we looked and iphone doesn't explain 33-52% of fertility decline"

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