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hermannj314

3,808 karma · joined June 25, 2009

Software developer and statistician.

Residence: Iowa. Luxembourg. Pennsylvania (currently).

The opinions I express are my own, but I accept the possibility I might be a Manchurian candidate sent by the algorithm.

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hermannj314··on Ask HN: AI productivity gains – do you fire devs or build better products?
If you are a 2600 chess player, a bot that plays 1800 chess is a horrendous chess player.

But you can understand why all the 1700 and below chess players say it is good and it is making them better using it for eval?

Don't worry, AI will replace you one day, you are just smarter than most of us so you don't see it yet.

hermannj314··on Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland
France offering support to little ententes to prevent facist revanchism. Seems familiar.

World tension continues to increase.

hermannj314··on Trevor Milton is raising funds for a new jet he claims will transform flying
The President has plenary authority to grant pardons and I imagine a time, in the near future, when questioning any authority of this administration would he deemed an act of treason.

Therefore, I wish only the best of luck to never-committed-a-crime Trevor Milton and to the infallibility of our dear leader in his wise and judicious use of the power he has been given by God and the Constitution.

hermannj314··on Montana passes Right to Compute act (2025)
Ok, so how many deaths from medicals errors have been caused by and prevented through the use of LLMs (since you say it isn't hard). Can you enlighten us and not leave us guessing?

I understand many deaths due to medical errors are caused by patients misunderstanding the advice they are given. You are saying you know exactly the net value of LLMs in this problem space?

hermannj314··on Montana passes Right to Compute act (2025)
Preventable medical errors kill 250,000 American every year, I can imagine LLMs could be both good and bad for that number, but on net, it is hard to say without just guessing. But if you ban the application of LLMs to medical care, you close that door before even seeing the potential on the other side. I think that is absurd.
hermannj314··on Montana passes Right to Compute act (2025)
When a "right to..." law is passed, there is usually an accompanying narrative that explains a past injustice that will be corrected. Matthew Shepard hate crime, Civil Rights Voting act, etc.

The absence of such a story makes me think this law doesn't protect shit. What exactly did a Montanian get killed or arrested trying to do with a computer that is now protected? Can I use AI during a traffic stop or use AI to surveil and doxx governemnt employees? What exactly is the government giving up by granting me this right?

Or is this just about supressing opposition to data centers?

hermannj314··on New farm bill would condemn pigs to a lifetime in gestation crates
Pigs outnumber the humans 7-to-1 in Iowa, but they don't vote so here we are.

As an Iowan, it is obligatory to show love for Herbert Hoover and our pig population when called upon.

hermannj314··on The L in "LLM" Stands for Lying
only code anyone will be touching in a museum in 800 years will be the good code. I hope they don't talk about what great craftsmen we all were because someone saw an original Fabrice Bellard at the Louvre.

Survivor bias plays a role in glorifying the past.

hermannj314··on AI-generated art can’t be copyrighted after Supreme Court declines review
Initialize an algorithm to point your camera at the street and write those bytes to disk and you are the author of a perpetual stream of data.

Initialize an algorithm to point your camera at the street and describe those bytes in words and you are no longer the author a perpetual stream of data.

In a world where slapping an overlay of someone looking incredulous over someone else's video is considered "adding substantive commentary" by every major video sharing platform, I don't even try to understand copyright law at all. It is way over my head.

hermannj314··on Judge finalizes order for Greenpeace to pay $345M in ND oil pipeline case
If you are going to break the law under capitalism, you must do it sustainably. Facebook, Apple, et al have shown that the latency of judicial pipeline usually means a billion dollar in fines comes after several billion in profits. You profit from the lag between the crime and the consequence.

I don't think social justice has that same profit pipeline, but I am not sure. There is an asymmetry in the type of evil our society allows.

hermannj314··on Amazon's Ring and Google's Nest reveal the severity of U.S. surveillance state
We have a branch of government called Congress, here are some things they used to do that made it a crime to read your mail or listen to your phone calls.

1. Postal Service Act of 1792

2. Electronic Communications Privacy Act (ECPA) of 1986

Anyway, Facebook can read your DMs, Google can read your email, Ring can take photos from your camera.

We can very easily make those things a crime, but we don't seem to want to do it.

hermannj314··on Major European payment processor can't send email to Google Workspace users
You SHOULD follow the wording of the RFC, you MUST follow Google's interpretation of the RFC.

That is the difference.

hermannj314··on Amazon delivery drone strikes North Texas apartment, causing minor damage
Zero? I think the expected number of collisions can be larger than zero. Jimmy Johns sandwich delivery by bicycle has resulted in more collisions than zero and that is arguably safe.

You are setting an impossible standard.

hermannj314··on Amazon delivery drone strikes North Texas apartment, causing minor damage
The solution space of maximum engagement and easily misinterpreted headlines overlaps quite a bit.
hermannj314··on OpenClaw is changing my life
I hate receiving competitive quotes so I take what the 1st guy offers or dont engage at all. AI agents could definitely be useful gathering bids where prices are hidden behind "talk to our sales specialist" gates.
hermannj314··on A new bill in New York would require disclaimers on AI-generated news content
Spell check, autocomplete, grammar editing, A-B tests for bylines and photo use, related stories, viewers also read, tag generation

I guess you have to disclose every single item on your new site that does anything like this. Any byte that touches a stochastic process is tainted forever.

hermannj314··on AI is killing B2B SaaS
Is there a middle ground that hasn't emerged yet?

Someone to host and manage your SLop-As-A-Serivce (SLAAS) for a price point in the middle.

That feels like a business.

hermannj314··on Vitamin D and Omega-3 have a larger effect on depression than antidepressants
I bought the once weekly 50,000IU bottle on Amazon and am currently taking 4 a day and I am ignoring all growing signs of vitamin D toxicity because I read this guys blog and never once ever decided to consult another source, including later paragraphs in that same blog because there was no warning. Without a warning, you should blindly follow all medical advice you read online.

That is that pathway to death you are worried about?

hermannj314··on A flawed paper in management science has been cited more than 6k times
A national "War on Data", a Data enforcement agency (DEA), and a Data Abuse Resistence Education (DARE) program and we should have this problem wrapped up in no time.

Negative consequences and money always work!

hermannj314··on Uber Faces Growing Pressure over Sexual Assault Record
From an article in 2021 regarding Lyft, 38% of sexual assault is passengers assaulting drivers. [1]

Rep. Dingell says, "There is no trade-off that should be acceptable to Uber, considering the devastating impact of sexual assault"

But apparently there is a trade-off for her, seeing as she only wants to focus on one direction of this crime by fingerprints and background checks for drivers and no safeguards protecting drivers. Seems she has chosen to ignore 38% of sexual assaults as well. I wonder why her trade-off is morally superior?

[1] https://www.bbc.com/news/business-59008000

hermannj314··on Ozempic is changing the foods Americans buy
If you could sit with the authors of this paper and let them know this valuable insight, what do you think they would change about their paper and its conclusion?
hermannj314··on NASA announces unprecedented return of sick ISS astronaut and crew
The school is tax-payer funded, but I don't get to know why every teacher called out sick.

Government employees, contractors, etc. don't owe your curiousity satiety. We are buying their service, not their soul.

hermannj314··on Jensen: 'We've done our country a great disservice' by offshoring
"Corporate welfare recipients that got free money to build data centers, testing the water on asking for more free money to hire employees."

The cycle repeats: send jobs somewhere else, hold those jobs hostage until the government pays you to bring them home. It will take the form of tax holiday on bringing foreign cash home, etc.

hermannj314··on AI-generated videos showing young and attractive women promote Poland's EU exit
If you can have a nom de plume to speak truth to power, why can't one have a visage de plume as well?

I want future generations to have the power of anonymity, that some use that anonmyity for something I disagree with is precisely why I think it might be worth preserving.

hermannj314··on UK accounting body to halt remote exams amid AI cheating
That is an excellent point. My recent coursework at Penn State, there were guardrails around cheating using Honor Lock, I am guessing a motivated student could find ways around it, but the system was better than trusting students to do the right thing.
hermannj314··on UK accounting body to halt remote exams amid AI cheating
It is incredibly trivial to stick a knife into human flesh.

Triviality is not a dimension of ethics as far as I have come to understand it.

hermannj314··on Scientists discover beer bottle in the Mariana Trench (2024)
For years we were told trans-oceanic communication was best done with messages in bottles and suddenly even those are being intercepted.

Finally time to switch to protonmail.

hermannj314··on More dynamic cronjobs
I learned something cool about cron filtering and a nice api I didn't know existed - date.nager.at
hermannj314··on CEO of health care software company sentenced for $1B fraud conspiracy
It is a snarky political jab.

President Trump loves to pardon white collar criminals in exchange for donations. It is his whole thing and well documented.

hermannj314··on Israel could be bringing back the death penalty – but only for Palestinians
I am not qualified to interpret what that means in the context of Israeli law, America's equal protection clause seems to live in its own multiverse of interpretation, so I assume it is the same everywhere else.
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