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intuitionist

873 karma · joined July 2, 2018

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intuitionist··on Unlocking any car from X brand in most of the world
“Any car” is perhaps too strong a claim. If it is Toyota/Lexus, I will say that I don’t think my 2009 Camry has this issue. I am quite sure that the fourth-generation Hilux my brother has does not.
intuitionist··on The AI Boom May Be Sowing Seeds of Another Financial Crisis
Countrywide traded at like 6x earnings in 2005. The market not putting a high multiple on peak earnings for a cyclical is better than the alternative but it doesn’t imply there’s no bubble.
intuitionist··on Banks are now trying to offload the AI data center debt they just underwrote
Oracle’s customers/counterparties aren’t really at risk of becoming unsecured creditors in a bankruptcy situation though, so there’s no contagion risk, so “too big to fail” does not mean what it means when you’re talking about a systemically important financial institution.
intuitionist··on Warren Buffett Steps Down as Berkshire Chairman, Names Son to Replace Him
As long as you have an accurate sense of the intrinsic value of your shares at any given time; there is a price at which buybacks destroy more value for continuing shareholders than they would lose to taxes on dividends.
intuitionist··on Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope
Yeah this is a garden path headline if I’ve ever seen one
intuitionist··on AWS Acquires DuckLabs
3% real return is… pretty pessimistic. You can about get that on long TIPS.
intuitionist··on Mathematics in the age of AI
Nowadays the proof of resolution of singularities in characteristic zero is considered something you can teach in an intro algebraic geometry course, though. The concepts have been absorbed and are now much better understood. 4CT is very different because so much of it is exhaustive case analysis; you can understand the high-level ideas of the proof as a bright undergraduate, but you still can’t check the cases by hand
intuitionist··on Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study
This isn’t true of the Medicare for All Act, for what it’s worth. That would ban private insurance altogether. Personally I think that’s a bug, not a feature, but if you’re very concerned with fairness then you probably think the opposite.
intuitionist··on Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study
The private option is medical tourism to Buffalo or whatever.
intuitionist··on Claude Cookbook
The Blog after just looks like a Substack post.
intuitionist··on U.S. science is in chaos
The people you’re talking to don’t understand why you would ever want to have the Wrong Kind of Person around an institution as sacred as the university
intuitionist··on U.S. to dismantle system tracking Atlantic currents that are at risk of collapse
“Don’t Look Up” stripped of entertainment was just “Don’t Look Up”
intuitionist··on Only 17% of all 64-bit Integers are products of two 32-bit integers
Having a prime factor greater than 2^32 accounts for about 80% of the 64-bit integers that can’t be expressed as a product of 32-bit integers. But it’s not the only way; you can also have three prime factors in the range (2^16, 2^32), for instance.
intuitionist··on The dead economy theory
Do you have a reference here, or are you just going to continue to baldly state it as a fact? I’m looking at “Attention is All You Need” and don’t see any grant numbers or anything like that.
intuitionist··on GameStop makes $55.5B takeover offer for eBay
Worth also pointing out though that if you can sell new shares above intrinsic value that is accretive to existing shareholders. Dilution isn’t always a bad word. (It’s bad for the people buying new shares.)
intuitionist··on GPT-5.5
ChatGPT isn’t literally or figuratively cutting off anybody’s limbs though. It’s more like, the guy on the assembly line had a mech suit, and now he doesn’t have a mech suit, and he’s sad. Skill atrophy is a real concern but unless you assume that nobody is working to maintain those skills it doesn’t change my analysis much.
intuitionist··on GPT-5.5
I am not a Marxian economic expert but this doesn’t make sense to me. Modulo skill atrophy, the big AI model provider can’t capture that surplus value because its customers can just go back to bidding for human labor instead.
intuitionist··on Sir Tony Hoare has died
Sadly it seems to be true. Heard it late last week from a coworker in a position to know.
intuitionist··on The Brand Age
“There are three of these things made in a year, and I’ve got the juice to get one of them” is. Zuck doesn’t care about a million dollar price tag, any more than I would care about a couple bucks.
intuitionist··on The Brand Age
Grand Seiko makes some truly beautiful watches, and also some terribly gaudy horrors.
intuitionist··on The Brand Age
The price isn’t keeping anyone at that level of wealth from buying a Nautilus or a Lange 1 or a panda Daytona. But they can still flex with ultralimited pieces like Zuck’s Greubel Forsey.
intuitionist··on Global Intelligence Crisis
The point is that the market doesn’t move enough on the jobs data to trigger a circuit breaker, not that there’s a -20% move and it doesn’t trigger.
intuitionist··on The Programmer Identity Crisis
A Russell conjugation: my LLM-based coding output, your Claude throwaway code, his complete AI slop.
intuitionist··on LandChad, a site dedicated to turning internet peasants into Internet Landlords
you don’t know that, maybe the term “landlord” hurt their feelings
intuitionist··on Tom Lehrer has died
I like to think Lehrer would have appreciated the irony of being predeceased by his obituary’s author.
intuitionist··on Mary had schizophrenia, then suddenly didn't
For my money Rachel Aviv is the best and most interesting writer currently on the New Yorker staff (give or take a David Grann, who is pretty much just writing books these days it seems). I go out of my way to read whatever has her byline.
intuitionist··on QSBS Limits Raised
IANAL but I believe the option has to be exercised before the company reaches $50M in assets—that’s when you buy the stock.
intuitionist··on Gov. Greg Abbott vetoes THC ban
> Now the question I ask is: how was it distilled? what chemicals were used in the process? are those chemicals safe? and a million other related questions. With regular pot there's none of that.

You absolutely should be asking those questions about “regular pot” as well. AIUI concentrates are among the bestselling and most profitable products in legal states, and they use uncertain chemicals of questionable provenance even if the delta-9 THC is 100% natty. But even if you’re just buying flower you could reasonably be concerned about pesticides or mold [1].

I think there are some quite good reasons to oppose cannabis legalization (for example, it’s made the super-high-potency concentrates which are associated with bad outcomes much more widely available) and it’s possible your own culture war or other biases are getting in your way here. But there are also lots of good arguments in favor of course.

[1] https://www.wsj.com/health/healthcare/marijuana-mold-contami...

intuitionist··on The cultural decline of literary fiction
This might prove too much, particularly for the case of literature. There were people writing commercially successful and culturally relevant literary fiction in 1970; back then you already had Austen and Tolstoy and Dostoevsky and Cervantes, plus Joyce and Woolf and Hemingway and Faulkner. I think there’s books published in the last 50 years that deserves a place on a short list of Best Novels, but I don’t think it has much overlap with the best-selling literary fiction being published at that time.
intuitionist··on Walkers' Sensations Poppadoms vs. HMRC: The Chip of Theseus
> This is not necessarily a paper read by the rich and powerful, but just by those in the finance industry/politics/academia/c-suites/board-members.

I’m not sure who you think wealthy and powerful people are, if not those

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