jamilton

The median for non-employer owner being 24k while the median for employee is 62k is surprising, I would expect the owner to be above or comparable. I guess there's a lot of unsuccessful one-person businesses. Looking at the full report, the median household income for NEO is 100k, and 110k for employee, and wealth for NEO is 5k higher. So there's something else going on there.

Another common situation: People of race A think child 2 is race B, people of race B think child 2 is race A. And you can imagine more complex examples with more races and more generations. In this manner the categorization of race is primarily social.

Once upon a time there was a bug that had a little sticky bit on it's butt, it had a billion descendants when one of them randomly had a gene that affected it's behavior such that it, I don't know, rested on high surfaces using the sticky bit and was safer from predators or something, and then had slightly more kids than the rest. And one of those kids randomly had a gene that gave it more sticky stuff, and one of it's kids used it a little more effectively, and so on and so forth. And that probably takes somewhere from tens of thousands to a few million years.

That's not meant to be literal, but that's the story in my head, and it doesn't feel like a huge leap to get to complex behaviors like webs.

I would say depending on how bad someone has it they could get 1 to 3 spam calls a day, I assume if someone was getting consistently more than that they'd use a screener to lower it. That's a significant amount.

Science reporters are probably, hopefully, scientifically literate.

I could definitely see there being trade-offs, like non-market solutions resulting in negatives but still overall improving on those particular axes, but I find it unlikely that markets are the best possible strategy.

I'm more of the opinion that 5 minutes of graphics that were probably impressive at the time could be cut.

Could also have a global weather data layer/view, since that'll be relevant for extreme weather events.

And of course there's differences in what someone considers to be soon. Many AI x-risk believers think there's a ~50% chance of AGI before 2031 (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-...) (I've heard this prediction site's userbase tends towards futurists/techno-optimists/AI x-riskers). I would consider that soon, I wouldn't consider 2054 soon.

Like with the nuclear bomb situation - I think it would be reasonable for someone to try to stop you from building a nuclear bomb, or check if you really were, even if they had no idea how you could have gotten the materials. Because it would be really bad if you did. I think people would be worried about you trying to do something awful even if there was low confidence it was possible. They wouldn't be as worried as they would be if they thought you were more capable, but still worried.

So I guess that comes down to whether you think companies saying they want to make AGI are more like a toddler, a teenager, you, a ballistics engineer who owns a uranium mine, Lockheed-Martin, or a nation-state trying to make a nuclear bomb. My understanding is that people who are concerned about AI x-risk are largely in the teenager to Lockheed-Martin range (e.g., small eventual risk to large imminent risk), while I assume you think it's more in the toddler range (no risk at all for a long time)

And the other two I would personally consider in meaningfully different categories than your successes, so maybe they're just not in line with your strengths (yet).

I wonder how many permutations could legibly be generated in a single image with an extended version of the same technique. I don't understand the math, but would two orthogonal transformations in sequence still be an orthogonal transformation and thus work?

>The U.S.-Israel economic and commercial relationship is strong, anchored by an annual bilateral trade of nearly $50 billion in goods and services. Several treaties and agreements, including the 1985 U.S.-Israel Free Trade Agreement (FTA), solidify bilateral economic relations. Since the FTA’s signing in 1985, the United States has become Israel’s largest trading partner.

I think it's fair to say that the US has strong connections to Israel. I don't know if it's fair to imply it's totally dependent on the US as they implied, but I think it's more complex than the aid being a small percentage of the GDP.