3,016 karma · joined June 16, 2011
NASA, wisely, always benchmarked the mission on Falcon Heavy, and bailed from SLS as soon as they were allowed to.
Clipper on SLS was more of a "wouldn't it be neat" scenario than the intended mission design.
I expect that's the statement of a lawyer in CYA mode; at some point he goes from unknowing victim to knowingly holding stolen property, which can start to cause legal issues.
You can see clear trends in the data in each of those theatres, both of which turn drastically in the Allies favor later in the war. The main driver for that is American war materiel production, but there's also plenty of decisions in strategy, tactics, and weapons systems that are entirely different.
Use Ctrl-Shift-C and Ctrl-Shift-V for copy/paste.
The error was "not doing it".
But Shakespeare doesn't need translating after you've done that, as I think all the attempts at doing so have shown. They're dreadful.
Earlier lithic-technology subsistence whale and bison hunting doesn't seem to have been a big problem for either. I won't say that early human hunting didn't contribute to or cause mega-fauna extinctions (in fact, it seems quite likely) but that's not highly analogous to these more recent events.
Ariane 6 will serve fine as an "assured access to space" for the local market (which is important), and good on them for finally getting it off the ground. But it's design goal was "Falcon 9 competitor" and it certainly isn't.
In retrospect, I don't think they ever really had the eye of the tiger; mostly they managed to be less terrible than the competition. The US competitors got far too fat at the government teat and didn't even try, and the Russians couldn't keep Proton from 'sploding.
They'd probably still be king of the (small and expensive) hill without SpaceX. But they'd be in hot soup today, if some sort of LEO constellation market had come around without Falcon, 'cause they wouldn't even have started on Ariane 6 and Ariane 5 isn't well suited for that, and "Europeanized" Soyuz, which they'd use for that, would be unavailable due to Russian imperialism.
But we do have evidence of some traditions from ~12kya, so it's possible some shadows of the idea are left. It can be thought that the folklore tradition of crypto-peoples (the elves, dwarves, green men, etc) may contain some echo of other hominids, though any specific connection or detail is unlikely.
Sure, Hubble's way past its design lifetime, and it can probably limp along for another decade as is, and maybe something besides gyros will fail soon. But also there's no equivalent capability successor that's more than a study, and even if they manage to build HWO or something like it, it won't be operation for at least 20 years. A Hubble servicing mission would be a relatively cheap way to get a decade or two more time on a high-capability instrument.
But if you're doing anything weird there's a lot more out in the world for React. Even though it's kind of a big mess, quantity has a quality all its own.
If you really wanted, I suppose, you could get a liquid fuel turbine, but it would be military or aviation, and much rarer than what they have. And they need to have things as simple as possible, given their staffing constraints.
Also, they seem to like several smaller gensets, to allow for problems and maintenance, which leads to relatively small generators. (They're 750kW ea.) Turbines aren't really common that small. They mostly want to start at several MW.
Once you hit an orbit intersecting the ground, you have to scrub all your speed in whatever that amount of time is, which is gonna be short. It's basically an orbital launch in reverse.
Business traveler who just needs to go between the hotel and the airport? Great; may not even need to charge.
If I'm flying into Vegas to do a roadtrip to the Mighty 5? Nope.
Rental companies already have lots of different categories, so it's fine to have a mixed fleet. Just requires some extra infrastructure and consumer education. Which, I know, is in short supply, but can be done.