2,935 karma · joined March 8, 2026
No promises on code quality, of course. Cheap things are cheap for a reason, right?
It's not work-related — feel free to reach out just because you want to get closer
He said the lifecycle of a program ends when the development team is disbanded or when knowledge transfer fails to happen. But these days, people develop with AI. Will that knowledge actually remain? There's a slightly tircky point here
Of course, even in the past, once a codebase got big enough, everyone was writing code on top of an incomplete theory. But when you delegate work to AI, the theory itself isn't yours anymore, which makes it even trickier.
The game industry is genuinely terrible, starting with low pay and brutal working hours, but it's interesting and lets you do a lot of fun things.
Because everyone wants to do it, there are plenty of people willing to put up with somewhat lower pay.
Will the frame itself hold up?
[1]https://www.makonea.com/en-US/casual/pangram-doesn-t-seem-ri...
It's surprisingly powerful.
Signals are inherently bound to be distorted. The "legitimate methods" conceived by humans and social signals are easy to manipulate. Because public data like the number of published papers and diplomas act as strong social signals, they end up being distorted. This is known as Goodhart's Law.
The problem is that if this persists long-term, there will eventually be a shortage of personnel to quantitatively evaluate papers, and society probably won't hire these researchers. There is also no incentive to hire them, as verification rarely leads to direct profit. People tend to want to be the starting point of a discipline; they generally do not like checking other people's work.
As a result, academia will increasingly be validated solely by "which lab, which advising professor, and what peer network certified you." The value of the offline world will rise, simply because digital costs have become too cheap.
Soon, research quality and social status will likely merge again, resembling the Middle Ages. Even if we assume someone has actual research capabilities, if evaluators do not invest enough time in verification, the system will inevitably revolve around the more prestigious labs.
I suspect there will be a flood of research applying AI, but the topics of these studies will likely be quite narrow and localized (it would be nice to have statistics on this). I believe the overall diversity of topics explored across academia will diminish.
For this reason, I think existing networks will only grow stronger.
I feel that any solutions to this problem will go awry. I doubt self-purification is even possible anymore. Established researchers protect the monopoly power of publishers, while those existing publishers generally just want to cut costs. The authority of these publishers must be protected by the established researchers who have already secured their positions.
Next, the system that used to manipulate the number of papers will probably shift into a system that manipulates network reputation. The competition to get into good labs and the strategies to secure co-authorships with famous researchers will simply become the new means of competition.
U.S. industry, for one, spreads to many countries through outsourcing. But China can consume outsourcing within its own borders. If that happens, what will become of it?