HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

jessicaraygun

12 karma · joined March 7, 2014

submissionscomments
jessicaraygun··on A Better Approach to A/B Test Analysis
Yes! This is very important to us in dealing with transactional email.

Our Z-Test Method in Confidence.js pinpoints when results become statistically significant by calculating the required sample size at any given time using the standard error, zScore, and margin of error. If we have more samples than required, we can stop our test with confidence that we have statistically significant results.

We're still working out a way to do this with the new method - we have a hunch it might have to do with identifying when the confidence level becomes stable (as it does with more samples over time).

jessicaraygun··on A Better Approach to A/B Test Analysis
Thanks for your question! I'll pass it on to Emily, our stats expert.
jessicaraygun··on A Better Approach to A/B Test Analysis
Hey! I'm the author of Confidence.js. Emily Malcolm and I have been working hard on this new approach for the past few weeks and we're super excited to share it!

We're both here to answer any questions :)

jessicaraygun··on A/B Testing Significance Calculator
Hey martian, thanks for the feedback. Your methodology is pretty sound - it looks like we use a similar technique. If you supply a small sample size here, you'll get the message, "There is not enough data to determine a conclusive result".
jessicaraygun··on A/B Testing Significance Calculator
The recommendation of 95% significance level is quite common across A/B testing resources. The main goal here is to be able to say which variant will consistently perform best (in this case, 95% of the time).

I agree that it would be useful to be able to change the confidence level based on a site's specific needs - this is a feature I am looking to implement in Confidence.js soon.

jessicaraygun··on A/B Testing Significance Calculator
Hey Noel,

I was in charge of the math here - I really appreciate your feedback. You seem really knowledgeable in this area and I would love to improve this A/B testing library.

If you have some time to chat, email me at jessica@sendwithus.com

jessicaraygun··on A/B Testing Significance Calculator
This is a feature that I would love to add to Confidence.js sometime in the near future.
jessicaraygun··on A/B Testing Significance Calculator
Hey, I'm the author of Confidence.js which was used to power this A/B testing calculator. That sounds really interesting and worth looking into - thanks for the feedback!
jessicaraygun··on Confidence.js – make sense of your A/B test results
You're right about revenue being a very important metric, and I think optimizing for conversions has its place too. I would be interested to hear the results of your repurposing!
jessicaraygun··on Confidence.js – make sense of your A/B test results
Glad you like it, happy to have you contribute :)
jessicaraygun··on Confidence.js – make sense of your A/B test results
Stats class R sleepy... Real world applications like A/B testing are definitely more interesting.

We did a lot of digging and there aren't a lot of resources that are easy to digest - but this one really stood out to us:

http://visualwebsiteoptimizer.com/split-testing-blog/what-yo...

I'd love to write a summary of everything I've learned - maybe a blog post in the near future!

jessicaraygun··on Confidence.js – make sense of your A/B test results
Hi sharnett,

Thanks for bringing that to my attention - I agree that our explanation is a little more convoluted than it needs to be. I'll update that later today to be more "readable" ;)

jessicaraygun··on Confidence.js – make sense of your A/B test results
Thanks for the feedback!

Confidence.js comes from how we operate on A/B tests at sendwithus - we think of them as variants associated with results. While the code could definitely boil down to a few simple math functions, we find objects to be a good way to organize our data models.

jessicaraygun··on Confidence.js – make sense of your A/B test results
Hey! I'm the author and I'd be happy to answer any questions you might have.

Confidence.js is based on the A/B testing code that we use at sendwithus.

A/B testing math is hard and we've worked really hard on making this great. Let us know what you think!

jessicaraygun··on Bulletproof HTML Email Components
The layout generator is so cool! Yoink.