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jimmywanger

1,777 karma · joined July 2, 2007

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jimmywanger··on A Self-Driving Freight Truck Just Drove Across the Country to Deliver Butter
Did they have to use a human driver to get the last few miles through surface streets?
jimmywanger··on WeWork’s Toxic Phone Booths
FTA:

> An ex-WeWork employee says Neumann frequently pushed hard to cut costs associated with office furnishing, a major expense.

How much could the furnishings have possibly cost? They lost 1.25 billion in the third quarter[0]. Sounds almost like fiddling while Rome burned.

[0] https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/13/wework-q3-2019-earnings-lost...

jimmywanger··on WeWork’s Implosion Shows How SoftBank Is Breaking the World
I think the takeaway would be that WeWork has found the biggest sucker out there, and that nobody else at this point would invest a dime in them.

Until you can somehow show profit on sales per unit, then you certainly aren't running a sustainable business. All of the more clued in investors are running for the hills. Google ventures invested early in Uber - when was they last time they tossed Uber more money? (Honest question, I don't know)

Seems like WeWork wants to enlist true believers/people who think they can flip their investment. I don't see an exit plan.

jimmywanger··on Think young people are hostile to capitalism now? Wait for the next recession
> Either you're trying to gaslight me, or we're on completely separate levels.

See how trippingly accusations flow out of you. Seems like you're misinterpreting everything I'm saying, almost deliberately.

> This will be my last attempt at interfacing with you.

Can I have a written signed contract to that effect?

> You did not even allude to the "garbageman/artist" example. You insinuated that I was "complaining" and "feeling entitled to other people's money", which is trite conservative bullshit.

You misread that change "You have no right demanding that other people work to make things you're entitled to. Instead, you have to get it yourself. Learn to be a RN and figure out how to get the money, or stop complaining." I didn't think I had to clarify thatto "Nobody has a right...to make things one is entitled to." That doesn't flow as well.

Even though you're (I'm referring to you personally now) a white male (why does that matter) software engineer (which is a well paid professional job), you personally cannot demand a lear jet, just as a starving artist cannot demand that society supply him with supplies.

> If we keep "sanitation work" and other difficult, menial tasks to their minimum rather than putting people to work for profit first and foremost, then the people who DO clean toilets and collect garbage will have more time in their week to find purpose and actualization elsewhere.

If one (see how that works) keeps those tasks to a minimum, lots of people can't get the only job they're qualified to do. Either qualify for another job and demand more money, or make do.

They increased minimum wage at Target to 15 an hour. People are actually making less now because they cut hours, and they're absolutely dumbfounded. Or they'll automate more things.

jimmywanger··on Think young people are hostile to capitalism now? Wait for the next recession
> Of course not. You can, however, compel people to pay taxes. And you can compel people to not just throw their garbage out into the street.

You cannot compel people to pay taxes, as New York discovered to its chagrin. [0] These are no longer Oregon Trail days, where to move you have to sell property and buy a stagecoach and oxen and spare axles. You just sort of buy another house in Arizona or Florida to ride out winters and don't spend more than 179 days a year in New York.

> If you think taxes are equal to slavery, you've never been a real slave.

Slavery is just an extreme form of taxation. Not only do you give up all fruits of your labor, but also give up your children from you.

If you don't believe me, you face fines for taking your kids out of public school in the US and the UK for taking your kids on vacation while school is in session. Probably because because they know better than you do what your child needs. How's that non-slavery working out for you? [1] [2]

[0] https://www.timesunion.com/news/article/State-facing-unexpec...

[1] https://abcnews.go.com/Travel/taking-kids-school-travel/stor...

[2] https://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/family-holidays/term-time...

jimmywanger··on Think young people are hostile to capitalism now? Wait for the next recession
> I am a white, male software developer. I have absolutely nothing to complain about or envy others.

Congratulations for your situation in life and happiness. Many people will never know that.

> I am a white, male software developer. I have absolutely nothing to complain about or envy others.

Then you must feel very privileged because of your ethnicity, your country of citizenship, and education.

> Find something more solid to lean on than a straw man.

You're the one that raised the example of the garbageman/artist and just because I point out some flaws in that example, your personal situation makes this a strawman?

> If those who feel entitled to the work of others enrage you, then perhaps you should point your anger at the parasitic bourgeoisie who siphon wealth away from society for doing absolutely nothing useful.

Like, maybe sit at a screen all day and tap at a keyboard once in a while? Does that count as "the parasitic bourgeoisie"?

You realize that there are people in your age group which because of differing backgrounds, live in unimaginable squalor, get paid piddling amounts of money, and fight for those jobs. Also, mess their country up with pollution because we can't do that here.

jimmywanger··on Think young people are hostile to capitalism now? Wait for the next recession
> You don't compel labor, you don't print money.

vs two sentences later.

> And, yeah, at that point you have a bit of coercion

Which is it? Can you compel a poor peasant farmer to stay on the farmer and grow food because that's what society needs as a right?

> If a home doesn't, they're probably going to be in violation of some kind of law.

Law itself is coercion. Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun. The only reason we pay taxes for stuff we might not use, like the public education system and libraries, is forced by the threat of violence and imprisonment. Would you be going to jail if you didn't pay the portion of them that went to the military? What do you think happens when you refuse to go to prison?

jimmywanger··on Think young people are hostile to capitalism now? Wait for the next recession
Depends. How much do you need to make?

Do you need broadband, the new mobile, or a car and insurance? Will 3 days working as a garbageman make you reasonably happy?

If so, please go ahead and do that and spend the rest of your time doing art.

If you really feel as though you need amazon prime and new shoes every 3 months, you better to out and make that money.

You have no right demanding that other people work to make things you're entitled to. Instead, you have to get it yourself. Learn to be a RN and figure out how to get the money, or stop complaining.

jimmywanger··on Think young people are hostile to capitalism now? Wait for the next recession
How do you make the pay high enough? Compel labor, print money, or some sort of complicated metric?

"Based on family background, education, and IQ tests, we estimate that your best job is electrical technician."

jimmywanger··on WeWork postponed thousands of layoffs because it can't afford to pay severance
Why would you still be working there if you could find something, ANYTHING else as a job?

This might end up being a black mark on your resume.

jimmywanger··on Think young people are hostile to capitalism now? Wait for the next recession
> People want purpose, but they also need their basic needs met.

That means our garbage would never get collected or our toilets cleaned, because I don't think anybody's intended purpose is doing sanitation.

If you're just assigning jobs to give a purpose, you're forcing labor. If not you have dirty living quarters and a glut of artists.

jimmywanger··on SoftBank to take control of WeWork: Sources
Perhaps I was not precise in my wording. With the way WeWork currently works, and its asset allocation and fee structure, I don't think expansion or more market cap than Regus is possible.

If WeWork get all Regus assets for free and half their business, sure, why not? That would be an immediate 3-4 billion dollar injection. As it currently stands, their coolness(tm) is not enough to compensate for their bloated fees and limited office space locations.

jimmywanger··on Are Liberal Arts Colleges Doomed?
https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/445846-you-wasted-150-000-o...

That summarizes the issue. Why pay 200k or even 100k at the beginning of your adult life for something you can read and then talk to people?

If you think students or professors at these colleges will turn you away when you've studied the material, you're sadly mistaken. Why do you need to get stuck with the bill when you're not really getting anything out of it?

jimmywanger··on Saudi Aramco Is the WeWork of Energy with Pulled IPO
https://i.imgur.com/11EVBte.jpg

Basically, there's going to be a dip in the worldwide demand for oil, and with the permian basin coming online, we can satisfy much of the world's demand for plastics and lubricants. Makes sense that they would try to get a last hurrah out there.

jimmywanger··on SoftBank to take control of WeWork: Sources
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IWGFF?p=IWGFF&.tsrc=fin-srch

This looks like the upper limit for WeWork. It doesn't matter how much nicer looking their offices are or if they have free beer bashes and parties, those expenses are all tiny when it comes to the bottom line of a multibillion dollar corporation.

Plus, Regus has more desks and branches than WeWork, and is orders of magnitude less expensive.

jimmywanger··on Ohio Was Set to Purge 235,000 Voters. It Was Wrong About 20%
> What about a variety of direct quotes from the heads of different state Republican parties? https://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/17/us/some-republicans-ackno....

That shows no evidence that they are willing to make their views public or that they are shared by republicans on a national level. There is absolutely no evidence for that. > The judgment is on a law that affects both.

That is not in evidence. The article you cited did not link the court decision mentioned. The court decision is only speaking to the decision to close polling spots on Sunday because it will suppress black, and majority Democratic voters.

jimmywanger··on Ohio Was Set to Purge 235,000 Voters. It Was Wrong About 20%
> Today the jim crow defenders, the people that say slavery wasn't so bad, some people were even better off. Those are republicans.

> They switched.

A lot of them switched for reasons unrelated to race. "Many white southerners switched to the Republican Party, some for reasons unrelated to race. The majority of white southerners shared conservative positions on taxes, moral values and national security. The Democratic Party had increasingly liberal positions rejected by these voters.[20] In addition, the younger generations, who were politically conservative but wealthier and less attached to the Democratic Party, replaced the older generations who remained loyal to the party.[20] The shift to the Republican Party took place slowly and gradually over almost a century.[20]"

From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politics_of_the_Southern_Unite...

jimmywanger··on Ohio Was Set to Purge 235,000 Voters. It Was Wrong About 20%
> Ah, so we are still acting like Republicans aren't the legacy bearers of Jim Crow.

Democrats enacted Jim Crow laws (0). I see no evidence that Republicans have enacted any laws that systematically discriminate against black people, in fact Trump has tried to reform the criminal justice system (1). He pardoned Jack Johnson posthumously, and has been handing out pardons like candy to wrongfully accused blacks.

0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Crow_laws

1: https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/3100-inmate...

jimmywanger··on Ohio Was Set to Purge 235,000 Voters. It Was Wrong About 20%
> When 'some' is enough to control a state legislature, and similar things happen across the country (https://www.npr.org/2018/10/23/659784277/republican-voter-su...), it's a logical conclusion.

I don't see how it follows that a state legislature's cupidity directly translates to a national party's intentions. That's a bridge too far. If there's a smoking gun, such as a leaked internal memo, I would agree totally. People are scumbags and are biased to try to make their side win in most situations.

>It literally links directly to the court judgement.

Yes, for closing the polls early, not for voter id laws.

jimmywanger··on Ohio Was Set to Purge 235,000 Voters. It Was Wrong About 20%
>How about proof of citizenship for the right to a free press? Should we require a passport to get into church? Do only citizens get to walk into a post office? Do I need to show someone an ID before I send a letter to my representative?

None of those things make any sense. A church is more than welcome to only accept people with a passport. I can't imagin that will be going on for long. The post office is a service, and they will sell to whoever can pay. Sending a letter to your representative - you'd probably get a bigger impact if you somehow managed to convince him you voted regularly for different parties. As for "access to a free press", I don't know what you mean. They want your eyeballs as long as they can make some dosh there.

The rest of your post doesn't make sense. The computer analogy breaks down as you don't have a nice evidence log for voting and possible illegal voters, so you start trying different things.

> The majority of vote fraud (the 'r' is deliberately dropped, BTW) is by the incumbent party systematically preventing votes and voters from being counted

That's begging the question. You're asserting the point you're trying to prove, which is what "begging the question" means.

> Jimmy Carter tells the story, for example, of a town in Georgia where the voters were recorded as having voted in alphabetical order. That's real vote fraud, and something that no amount of pretend voter ids will help.

Yes. First, the plural of anecdote is not data. Second, just because something helps in that situation, doesn't mean it will help in the problem you want to solve right now. You _can_ do both. Nuance and stacked solutions are important.

jimmywanger··on Ohio Was Set to Purge 235,000 Voters. It Was Wrong About 20%
> Because the goal of the Republican Party is explicitly to use these laws to suppress the votes of certain demographics, not to actually secure the vote.

Your linked source is talking about an entirely different issue. Does not prove your point about Republicans using voter id laws to suppress the votes of certain demographics, or that it's a point of the Republican party as a national organization to do that. All we know is that some Republicans are biased, just as all people have biases. Also, your source is not substantiated.

I'd be happier if proof of citizenship was required to vote, not just photo id. Don't know of a practical way to do that except to check passports, but the passport office would be overwhelmed.

jimmywanger··on The Uyghur women fighting China's surveillance state
I find it amusing that the first thing I saw on that page was a graphic asking me to accept cookies (I'm assuming tracking cookies)
jimmywanger··on Amtrak Has Lost Money for Decades. A Former Airline CEO Thinks He Can Fix It
Well, we'll have to look at the cost benefit analysis. It should be done if it makes sense.

Would it be more economically feasible to invest the money into fourth generation nuclear technology and then research solid aluminum batteries that are hot swappable? That would cut down on costs for copper or steel for electrification.

"Enormous effort" and "it should be done" without an economic analysis is generally ill thought out.

jimmywanger··on 7.4 Tons of Venezuela’s Gold Landed in Africa and Vanished
When they have liabilities that are due?
jimmywanger··on Berlin approves 5-year rent freeze
Rent controls are just a fancy way to say "price caps".

If you artificially depress the price of a commodity, you induce a scarcity. Apartments are slightly less liquid than say apples, but the principle still stands. It should express itself in demand outstripping supply. If supply and demand were in equilibrium, there would be no point in rent control.

jimmywanger··on Amazon rolls out machines that pack orders and replace jobs
>Any machine eventually calls in sick when it undergoes maintenance and failure. Of course the failure modes are different than with human labor, but the point is machines also fail.

I think that robots are more fungible and predictable in failure than humans. You can plan around that, like plugging in spare hard drives and machines when they fail so throughput is not affected.

jimmywanger··on Amazon rolls out machines that pack orders and replace jobs
Well, if they could they would. They're keeping the workers they absolutely need and automating everything else possible. The endgame is a dark warehouse (no lights, the robots just sort of know what to do) but the workers still need some money so they keep working even though their numbers keep dropping.

This box robot saves material (little wastage of cardboard) and labor costs, and doesn't ever call in sick. Why wouldn't they want robots for everything?

jimmywanger··on Uber goes into reverse as first day stock price disappoints
> Basic economics have failed when a company that has existed for over a decade without any ability to turn a profit IPOs.

The markets are irrational sometimes. Basic economics assume rational behaviour, which is something that cannot be assumed.

> And indeed, I am all for using laws against abusive corporate entities.

I don't think you can pass laws against companies specifically. First, define what you mean by abusive. Uber/Lyft doesn't have a gun against your head to force you to drive.

You have to pass them against specific behaviours. Also, for ridesharing companies, what does "per hour mean"? Time you spent logged in, adding time you spent stuck in traffic getting to the customer, or time you are actively moving towards your destination after pickup? There are obviously unintended side effects to give in to knee jerk reactions to something that you feel is wrong. Would Uber/Lyft drivers be happy if the companies implode and they're stuck with a bunch of worthless predatory leases on cars? Or the fact that part time drivers no longer have that option to at least make some money?

jimmywanger··on Uber goes into reverse as first day stock price disappoints
So basically you're saying that you should use laws to send them out of business instead of basic economics?

Why wouldn't you pass a tax on search and social media companies that sets the minimum wage of engineers to 1 million dollars a year if you want to break up twitter, google, and facebook? That's logical equivalancy.

jimmywanger··on Uber opens at $42 per share
Hmmm. Never heard that term before. I usually hear "gypsy cab".
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