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jjfoooo5

31 karma · joined March 15, 2022

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jjfoooo5··on California suspends Cruise's autonomous vehicle deployment
Why is a typical human driver at typical performance the baseline? The bad outcomes from driving come from the poor end of the performance, if the average autonomous vehicle avoids those long tail bad outcomes, some inconveniences like slow turns etc is a very worthy tradeoff.

Autonomous vehicles don't get drunk or sleepy, don't speed, don't leave the scene of an accident...

jjfoooo5··on Driver hits woman in SF, then Cruise driverless car runs her over
As per Cruise statement:

>>> The initial impact was severe and launched the pedestrian directly in front of the AV. The AV then braked aggressively to minimize the impact.

jjfoooo5··on My IDE is too heavy so I moved to Emacs
The target market is enterprise. If I showed up for my first day of work and they handed me a 2019 MacBook Air I'd be pretty unhappy.

I really don't get this attitude of indignation when a powerful machine's resources are fully utilized. What else are you doing with with that computing power? There's not some finite pool of computing power we are depleting here, they are figuring out how to make more all the time!

jjfoooo5··on Twitter 2.0: Our continued commitment to the public conversation
Twitter was a second tier advertising destination before there was any inkling of a Musk deal, and advertisers started leaving before the deal closed when he was trying to get out of it. The biggest advertising firms in the world are advising their clients to leave.

Why would they come back? Musk is the Donald Trump of tech - plenty of devoted fans, but not someone brands want to associate themselves with. Even if he wanted to, it doesn't seem that Musk can stop impulsively tweeting controversial things.

jjfoooo5··on Twitter 2.0: Our continued commitment to the public conversation
The advertiser exodus (already well underway) is a far bigger threat to Twitter than a user exodus. The subscription model is dead on arrival.

There's plenty of options if you want a forum without "corporate ESG posing" - 4chan et al. They just don't make money, or interest the majority of people.

jjfoooo5··on Crypto dominoes fall in the wake of FTX's collapse
How does Binance fit into this chart? I understand them to be the biggest remaining exchange
jjfoooo5··on Twitter Blue for $8/Month
You couldn't previously buy a checkmark, now you can. This opens new methods of attacking the network.

This move perhaps limits spam as practiced today, but the attacks that will happen once the network changes will be different in ways that are difficult to predict.

jjfoooo5··on Twitter Blue for $8/Month
It's a great point. There have been several replies ITT along the lines of, "if Twitter goes away, what platform will Stephen King post his content?"

As you point out, the answer is "all of the relevant ones, with very little effort on his part"

jjfoooo5··on Twitter Blue for $8/Month
The critical thing for the platform is that if I want to find the Twitter account for {celebrity foo} I can do so with a high degree of confidence that it will be real.

I think the loss of trust from consumers is the bigger risk, successful impersonations are relatively high profile and people don't like being tricked.

jjfoooo5··on Twitter Blue for $8/Month
There's no meaningful difference between what you are describing and advertising.
jjfoooo5··on Twitter Blue for $8/Month
There's a reason there are entire companies that focus on the problem of ID verification, it's difficult problem.
jjfoooo5··on Twitter Blue for $8/Month
To some degree it already is, for people who have the checkmark you haven't heard of outside of Twitter.

It's a well worn meme to mock people throwing a fit over not getting a checkmark.

jjfoooo5··on Sheryl Sandberg stepping down as Facebook COO
> Minecraft/Roblox/Fortnite

These MMO's are the real absolute ceiling of whatever Meta is trying to do, but that's insufficiently gigantic to justify a pivot of Meta.

So they are pitching it as something that will extend past niche audiences (in absolute numbers they are huge but niche in terms of FB scale).

The incoherency of why non-gamers would be interested in this is revealed in their advertising. For example, a fitness buff talking about how swinging around a foam stick with a headset strapped to her face is the best workout of her life.

jjfoooo5··on Sheryl Sandberg stepping down as Facebook COO
> Their audience just got older and rather than abandon them they acquired companies more suited to younger generations e.g. Instagram, Oculus instead.

This strategy has run it's course. Regulators are keen to weaken FB and will obstruct further acquisitions. Acquisition targets know they can beat FB in the long run and will no longer agree to be purchased.

jjfoooo5··on Coinbase Q1/22 Shareholder Letter [pdf]
What is their runway with current assets on hand?
jjfoooo5··on Coinbase Q1/22 Shareholder Letter [pdf]
Is there any evidence any of these bets have traction? I have only heard of their NFT platform performing unbelievably badly:

https://decrypt.co/99561/coinbase-nft-marketplace-150-users-...

jjfoooo5··on Coinbase Q1/22 Shareholder Letter [pdf]
A drop in retail assets north of 10% in a quarter does not sound like stability to me, especially for a company spending like they are in hyper growth mode. It sounds more like an existential risk to the business.
jjfoooo5··on Meta earnings presentation Q1 2022 [pdf]
Instagram and WhatsApp were competitors in the making that FB bought out. They can't do that trick anymore.
jjfoooo5··on Meta earnings presentation Q1 2022 [pdf]
FB user base shrinking, including Instagram. The pandemic rebuttal isn't convincing in the face of continued huge growth of TikTok
jjfoooo5··on Meta earnings presentation Q1 2022 [pdf]
I'm having a hard time tracking down what kind of growth that revenue represents.
jjfoooo5··on Why Big Nations Lose Small Wars (Paper, 1975) [pdf]
The Russian navy was not in the neighborhood on a casual trip!
jjfoooo5··on Ask HN: Does being single hurt your productivity?
As a newly, painfully single person, I'd say it was less my partner's judgement that prevented me from doing those unhealthy things, and more the more engaging and fulfilling slate of things to do that come with having a partner.

We all have an activation energy for doing the things we know we enjoy, it's nice to have someone around to pick you up on your slow days, and pick them up on theirs.

Maybe I'll get a dog, I guess.