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jmcqk6

1,875 karma · joined December 9, 2010

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jmcqk6··on Tesla to wind down Cybertruck production
> no paint ( better durability)

And yet there were still durability issues with the truck? My understanding is that there were many manufacturing issues, and it also experienced several recalls.

jmcqk6··on "People Don't Want to Work Anymore" Duh?
Why are you assuming those are the only available options?
jmcqk6··on Quili AI
Why aren't you asking why they are trying to build a datacenter which requires an abundance of water in a place where water is scarce?

Why focus on epistemic models instead of ethical ones?

jmcqk6··on Mathematics has changed. Let's act like it
I am very similar. I am a software engineer, trying to make the transition to full time writer. A year ago, I "finished" a first draft of my novel and I used AI to write some of the prose so I could get to that completed draft.

Now I've finished the third draft, and I think I've finally eradicated all of that slop from the text. It was terrible writing. Prose is my strength, it's what I was best at, why would I pass that off to a clanker, when it's the thing I was born to do in this world?

There are lots of other ways AI is helping me write, though:

- Hard Sci-fi - it creates simulations of various spacecraft configurations and allows to me see how it would play out. - Research - Consistency Checking - Simulated Reviews from different perspectives. Not as good as human reviewers, but still very useful. - Notes organizations - Speculation tracking and canon differentiateion

I will never use AI to write prose again. Even if it got really good, the point isn't the prose. The point is that I have something to say, and I'm going to use my own words to say it. If an LLM wrote this prose, even if it was at the level of winning a major literary prize, it still wouldn't be the words I would write, and it isn't satisfying.

jmcqk6··on Building an AI-native engineering org
One of the most uncomfortable truths about our profession is that there is literally no floor to how shitty software can be and yet still make people billions of dollars.
jmcqk6··on Binance-hacker-1029 – $5.6B stolen from Binance
Yes, I think you've got the point.
jmcqk6··on US agency approves Amazon Leo’s $11.5B acquisition of Globalstar
They are serving different needs.
jmcqk6··on US agency approves Amazon Leo’s $11.5B acquisition of Globalstar
Are those the iridium satellites? They are doing something completely different from starlink. For one thing, they are in much higher orbit, increasing both latency and coverage. They also have much less available bandwidth.

I'm not sure they are competitors. They could be, but these networks are serving different purposes.

jmcqk6··on Early progress on accelerating drug development with Claude
> I would also add that you can't make any more money selling drugs to people you have killed.

That assumes that people are playing a long game. If you're looking for your payday and exit, and there are many people out there who are only looking for the next payday, this argument falls apart.

> Moreover, a relatively small number of dangerous flops will tank your reputation with consumers.

One success the anti-vax people have achieved is to muddy the waters around this. Your public reputation is no longer correlated to actual performance.

> Liability means that you are incentivized to be quite cautious in pushing a potentially dangerous product

There's a long list of people throughout history who do not have this caution at all.

You seem to be taking a theoretical economics approach. Reality is different. People are not perfectly rational actors, and consequences are not consistent.

Look at what actually happens in reality.

jmcqk6··on In Leaked Audio, Flock CEO Tells Cops Backlash to the Company Isn't Real
This does not ring true for me at all. I'm very left wing and one of the things that pulls me left is a love for all humans, regardless of borders. I have never heard any of the left wing people I follow or who are in my life use pejoratives for immigrants. I've only ever heard it from conservatives. it's one of the most off putting thing about them to me.

A "popular content creator" is not a useful datapoint. They are doing things for attention, not actual work for building an inclusive civilization.

jmcqk6··on In Leaked Audio, Flock CEO Tells Cops Backlash to the Company Isn't Real
Wish I could have that hope. I don't believe he will ever experience consequences for the vast majority of things he's done. Even if he does finally receive some justice for one thing, it's a practical impossibility that he will experience justice for everything he's done.

And I honestly see no reason to believe he's simply delaying consequences. He was out of the presidency for four years during which time he was convicted of multiple felonies. Is that a consequence? Was that justice? It didn't end up meaning anything.

jmcqk6··on In Leaked Audio, Flock CEO Tells Cops Backlash to the Company Isn't Real
I have never heard the word transplant use that way. I prefer to simply use "immigrants."

I have heard liberals emphasize "undocumented" instead of "illegal" which makes sense to me.

jmcqk6··on In Leaked Audio, Flock CEO Tells Cops Backlash to the Company Isn't Real
That doesn't make it exempt from being dehumanizing. Indeed codified dehumanization is one the primary mechanisms by which it is realized.
jmcqk6··on In Leaked Audio, Flock CEO Tells Cops Backlash to the Company Isn't Real
If there is something the president has truly shown me is that just because consequences look inevitable, does not make them so. He exemplifies the ability to avoid consequences and responsibility.

I only trust that consequences will arrive when they actually arrive.

jmcqk6··on In Leaked Audio, Flock CEO Tells Cops Backlash to the Company Isn't Real
It is more contextual than a simple binary, especially the emotional context. If the event triggers their shame more than their identity, you get the larger than required apologies. If their identity is the primary thing that is triggered, they will get defensive and double down. It's not just a rural thing.
jmcqk6··on Google cleared 300 hectares of Finnish forest
Forests aren't really interchangeable like that. Massive changes in the eco system in one area cannot be offset by preservation in another.
jmcqk6··on Oregon lawmakers approve money to buy an iconic waterfall listed on Redfin
Yep, this is sooo true. Washington and Oregon are especially terrible. I tell you what, you're going to be sitting in traffic in Seattle just as much as you do in LA. And it's all very expensive. Texas is a much better decision.
jmcqk6··on Imposing Sanctions on the International Criminal Court
You're talking about some kind of projection in hard power. it's likely that the US will continue to wield the most hard power for the foreseeable future (though this war with iran has exposed logistics issues in that, as well as drained important armaments that will take years to recover).

The bigger loss is in soft power, the power that comes from economics, having the worlds reserve currency, and even the trust and respect of our allies.

jmcqk6··on Imposing Sanctions on the International Criminal Court
> a break-up of the US is now imminent.

There is no way this is happening. The logistics alone will be killer and as bad as things are, there is nothing that would be gained by this that would be worth the pain it would cause.

To the extent that there are geographic differences, it is not between red states and blue states, but rural vs. urban. Even in texas the major cities almost all go blue.

jmcqk6··on The technology to eradicate mosquito-borne disease exists
There are many things for which a 1-year time horizon is too short, especially in large scale ecologies.
jmcqk6··on Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes
Not the OP, but it's because the value has got to ultimately be recognized by humans.

You can make llms perform judgement, and maybe that will get you some progress. But ultimately the value is going to come from engaging with other humans.

jmcqk6··on America's Driver's License Breach Is a National Security Disaster
I have no doubt that it can be a deterrent for some. The question is more about whether this is the optimal strategy for addressing the problem.
jmcqk6··on WangNet – 1.8 MB, zero-dependency Numberwang adjudication in 11 languages
It's not well known, but in February of 1983, there was a finch in the Galapagos that was found to be numberwang. And of course there was the famous incident in the 1994 World Series where a homerun was overturned because it turned out it was a wangernumb hit into the stands, and not a standard baseball.
jmcqk6··on America's Driver's License Breach Is a National Security Disaster
There are quite a few people who murder despite the risk of incarceration. I would love a system that approaches it more like: "you've lost trust of this civilization to act in good faith, and now you will be contained in a way that can rebuild that trust, and you will not be allowed to re-enter this civilization until you have indeed rebuilt that trust."

We'll probably never get there.

jmcqk6··on Who People Talk to When They're Struggling
This is a risky path. If you internalize it in unhealthy ways, you're empowering your shadow, and it will find inconvenient, self-defeating ways to express it.
jmcqk6··on Who People Talk to When They're Struggling
It's likely there is, though it might be difficult to find. One place you can look is the local unitarian universalists. These can vary widely, but often you'll find them open to all religions (including non-religious), and full of open, curious, non-judgemental people.

One thing about UU's is that it's not dogma based. There's nothing you have to believe to be a UU. Instead, it's covenant based. You are in the community when you adhere to the agreements of the community. These are usually things like mutual respect, deep listening, etc.

jmcqk6··on Who People Talk to When They're Struggling
Talking to bots can induce psychosis in some individuals. This isn't a solved problem, nor is there a universal solution.

People need connection, but the varieties of connection are vast. What works for one person, can be terrible for another. Maybe talking to bots gives you what you need, which is great for you. But projecting your solution to everyone else is not a rational step to take.

jmcqk6··on My Feed, My Way
Why does "there's lots of evidence that shows this is harmful" get reduced to "You don't like it?"

I'm not taking a stance here. I'm just noticing the rhetorical move you made. There is lots of evidence that some of those things are harmful. Cocaine, gambling, and alcohol have all destroyed many lives.

I'm not in favor of banning those things, or banning social media for that matter.

It is intellectually dishonest to reduce the arguments for those things to "oh you just don't like them."

jmcqk6··on ReactOS 0.4.16
The thing about this type of thinking is that it often requires risking millions of dollars and a major distraction from your primary goal in order to find out if it's true or not.
jmcqk6··on My Experience Has Nuance, Yours Is a Data Point
This is an unexpected yet welcome application of the fundamental attribution error: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_attribution_error
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