1,514 karma · joined May 9, 2011
[ my public key: https://keybase.io/jp1; my proof: https://keybase.io/jp1/sigs/ZZiSv1G2uoLjeeMNDDBw-peFrIGbj3lIPYOFFlTfxGo ]
I can't understand your sentiment at all, especially when posting as "bayesianhorse". Don't you have any desire to change "your" country for the better? Do you really think Merkel is responsible for Germany's economic situation and the politicians of CDU/SPD are doing a better job than everyone else could?
Preserving everything as is like our government and Merkel does (just like Adenauer said: "Bewahrt das Bewährte") might work in the short term thanks to the strong economy and Schröder's reforms, but the complete lack of any idea or strong opinion about future challenges - always coupled with the way of least resistance - will come back and bite us.
[1]http://code.tutsplus.com/tutorials/how-to-build-a-python-bot...
In the opposite direction, more and more customers want "pure" software and good hardware is increasingly available from many different manufacturers. Nokia arguably has made the best hardware and hardly sold any phones with WP because customers wanted Android. Google knows this and moves more and more parts from AOSP in its proprietary play framework because manufacturers are way more dependent on Android than Google is dependent on any single manufacturer (including Samsung).
The shuffling indicates that new tactics/play styles are found and widely adopted (as well as preferences are shifting) over time. With rebalancing, the shuffling should be more or less random (or at least you would see a higher "volatility"). Without rebalancing most characters which were judged as strong stay strong but players perception for some characters changes with tactics etc.. It would be interesting to not just see the overall standings but some kind of "consensus" rating (which characters are rated similar and for which characters ratings are mixed).
By the way, your point also shows that SSBM has an extensive gameplay and is (if intended or not) well designed for competitive play - otherwise ratings should be more stable.
Compared to that, the new Gmail and Maps apps are almost good...
"So moving from a 20% fraud reduction to 50% will block about 200 additional fraudulent loans and also 200 honest loans. Is that okay?"
From the accompanying chart it looks more like ~700 additional honest loans blocked?
Any information about which threshold they picked? Looks like a difficult decision for a non-profit, from the chart it looks like about 15% of applications have been fraudsters but model accuracy is obviously limited given the available features.
http://arstechnica.com/science/2014/02/the-audacious-rescue-...
The high certainity before (69% France) seems a bit off, especially compared to the betting markets (c. 69% Germany). Additionally I wonder about the high probability for a win vs brasil now (even without incorporating the loss of Neymar and Thiago Silva) - did they do a recalibration or change the model?
I would love a bit more background, like in 538s excellent piece about Messi[0].
[0] http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lionel-messi-is-impossib...
And yes, if I had the choice I would always choose the service which is run by people who respect the law but share my values and views and are ready to fight against questionable orders from authorities on behalf of their users.
Yes, there are good reasons for the authorities to demand personal information of criminals from service providers. But there is no reason at all that secret courts decide about these demands without anyone knowing or having the chance to question the legality and scale of data sniffing.
Ironically, without Snowden we all would have no idea what is going on behind the curtain.
Levison should be lauded for his courage (and despite all technical inaccuracies or open questions about the timeline you brought up)!
PS: I dont understand why this submission is already heavily penalized, this matters for most/all of us.
Connections to our US broker failed at 10pm (dst) on different servers (based in Germany) and i had no idea why, I already wanted to blame our hosting provider.
- walking others into the book,
- creating false midpoints and
- trying to cause stale pricing and slowing others down.
I am thinking about travelling through south-east asia and/or africa for a few months, would this (in addition to ssh) be viable for working/freelancing from remote locations with throwaway hardware?
Another good source for information/speculation is the Airliners Thread, currently at part 12: http://www.airliners.net/aviation-forums/general_aviation/re...
[1] http://www.frequentbusinesstraveler.com/2014/03/search-for-m...
For more information/speculation the airliners thread[2] is also a good source.
[1]http://www.corriere.it/esteri/14_marzo_08/scomparso-aereo-di...
[2]http://www.airliners.net/aviation-forums/general_aviation/re...
I have one that I am trading profitably and for which I have written a scientific paper which could be published (i.e. I can reasonably explain why the approach works and nobody found it yet).
Still searching for an investor in that space to scale it up; if anyone has ideas or knows who could be interested in seeding such strategies i would be glad about a mail (see profile for contact).
Nah, we have exactly the same problem here in Germany. I think that this will be one of the biggest challenges for Amazon in the coming years and can imagine them building their own delivery service for that reason.
Another example that startups should not be too dependent on other companies.
Last update from the Coinlab website (4/10) [1]:
"On the lack-of-progress side, we're still waiting for two things to be implemented. Once those are done, we'll be ready to go.
Full customer data access Working wire and Dwolla withdrawal forms Because of Gox' strong customer data protection methodologies, we aren't allowed to deliver these things directly, they have to go through the Gox process, and that's taking longer than any of us want."
I requested 2 withdrawals more than a week ago and didnt receive any funds nor do the requests show up in my account history...
I recently bought one for convenience reasons (after i learned about th glass caraves) and am totally happy with it - I guess as more (young) people in the bigger cities don't own a car (and only buy small quantities of food in the supermarket around the corner), more will use products like SodaStream.