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juniper_strong

136 karma · joined July 18, 2020

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juniper_strong··on Ruth Bader Ginsburg has died
Of all the fouls you could call...
juniper_strong··on Ruth Bader Ginsburg has died
Because that's the only way there would be a federal government in America.

What choice would you have made in 1787?

juniper_strong··on Ruth Bader Ginsburg has died
"since 2000 a unanimous decision has been more likely than any other result — averaging 36 percent of all decisions. Even when the court did not reach a unanimous judgment, the justices often secured overwhelming majorities, with 7-to-2 or 8-to-1 judgments making up about 15 percent of decisions. The 5-to-4 decisions, by comparison, occurred in 19 percent of cases"

-Washington Post

juniper_strong··on Ruth Bader Ginsburg has died
Do you think Obama asked the Republicans in the Senate for their advice on who to nominate when he nominated Merrick Garland?
juniper_strong··on Ruth Bader Ginsburg has died
Seems like that sort of thing is becoming rarer every day. RIP Ruth and Antonin.
juniper_strong··on Ruth Bader Ginsburg has died
Donald J. Trump
juniper_strong··on Ruth Bader Ginsburg has died
If the Senate confirms the President's nomination then I don't see why the President wouldn't follow through with the appointment.
juniper_strong··on Jeff Bezos's gain during Covid is enough to give all his employees a $105k bonus
If each Amazon employee created a company worth as much as Amazon, it would be enough to give every American a $4,250,000,000 bonus.
juniper_strong··on Why ‘Civilization’ is a political masterpiece
Yeah got it, civ 4 is not a combat simulator, it's an economy and diplomacy simulator.
juniper_strong··on Why ‘Civilization’ is a political masterpiece
> And the Germans similarly sacrificed tens of thousands of troops in the hope that they get a breakout offensive

And if they got a breakout offensive, the allies would have produced another million tanks. In civ terms, the game was over before Poland, if you want to find out why the allies won you have to figure out why the US had all those good production cities cranking out tech and troops when the Germans didn't even have a decent tile with oil.

juniper_strong··on Why ‘Civilization’ is a political masterpiece
> There were a few units that could attack a whole stack, but ~20 musketeers in the midgame was practically impossible to defend against aside from having your own stack of ~20 musketeers.

That's real life though. WW2 wasn't decided by who was the best strategist. The allies produced 4 million tanks, the axis 700,000. Game over man.

And there was a hell of a lot more than one unit per tile on the coast of Normandy in June of 44.

That's why diplomacy is so important in civ 4. Manage that right and you don't need to build the 20 musketeer stack, you can leave most of your cities completely undefended. Your neighbor builds the stack and you bribe him to go attack someone else.

juniper_strong··on Why ‘Civilization’ is a political masterpiece
What settings are you playing on? A game of 4 on normal speed usually takes me 3 or 4 hours, and that's usually for space race, domination wins would be quicker.

I don't micromanage everything unless I'm trying to hit a record early date, usually I'm paying to attention to one aspect of the game at a time, trying out different strategies.

And you can always just play the openings, usually everything is pretty much decided in the first 50 turns and after that it is just a matter of how much sleep you want to lose playing out the inevitable.

juniper_strong··on Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian turn
I was taught that when the Germans invaded, there were industrial cities in the Soviet Union that had been created after World War 1 that weren't even on the German maps at the time of the invasion, the Germans didn't know the extent of Soviet industrialization in the inter-war period. Is that all false?
juniper_strong··on Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian turn
The Germans had that delusion too.
juniper_strong··on More than half of 18 to 29-year-olds in the US are living with parents
>> "safe houses" for 19 year olds trying to escape their parents

Those were called "squats" when I was young, that's where I ended up at 19. Although I wasn't trying to escape my parents at that point, I was planning on leeching off of them. I ran away for the first time when I was 14, by the time I was 19 free food and rent in the suburbs sounded pretty nice. My parents weren't having it.

juniper_strong··on Why Your First House Is A Liability
>> most young adults don't have a roof over their head sorted out. Statistically few people have the opportunity to live with their parents

"The share of 18- to 29-year-olds living with their parents has become a majority since U.S. coronavirus cases began spreading early this year, surpassing the previous peak during the Great Depression era.

In July, 52% of young adults resided with one or both of their parents, up from 47% in February"

-- Pew Research, https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/09/04/a-majority-...

juniper_strong··on I thought I would have accomplished a lot more today and also before I was 35
I read the article.

Nope.

juniper_strong··on I thought I would have accomplished a lot more today and also before I was 35
I used to read the New Yorker, years ago, I don't know what changed, me or them. Much of what they publish now comes across as self-pity, I don't have time in my life for that.

Same as McSweeney's, I used to read it and I thought it was funny and now I read it and it comes across as self-pity.

Give me decorative gourd season any time, but pieces where people complain about the things they haven't done aren't worth my time.

Something new, please.

juniper_strong··on Technical Debt Doesn’t Exist
It's a terrible term because the technical people think they are talking to the business people in their terms, but when the business side of the operation hears the term technical debt, they ask some questions and what they hear is that they are issuing non-recourse debt.

What the technical side of the operation wants to say is "We're making short term decision that are going to hurt us in the long term", and what the business side of the operation hears is "This is free money".

juniper_strong··on We'll be stuck in this recession for years, economists say
I don't think your analogy is a correct one.

Here's something from 538:

"A 2018 study conducted by Loungani and others looked at 153 recessions in 63 countries between 1992 and 2014 and found that the vast majority were missed by economists in both the public and private sector. This was painfully true in the case of the global financial crisis in 2008, which wasn’t officially declared a recession until it had been going for almost a year."

Economists apparently can't predict the future. And they don't seem to be able to "predict" the present, or the recent past.

So I guess in your analogy, it would be something like, "We were driving at night with an economist in the country, and they said, 'There are no boulders ahead that I can see'", and then you hit a boulder, car was totalled, you were severely injured, spent months in recovery, and then 9 months later the economist gets back to you with, "Recent data confirms that we did, indeed, hit a boulder."

I think your argument is an argument from authority. If you can't "predict" the past, you are not an authority.

juniper_strong··on Abolish the Police? Survivors of the Chaos in Seattle Aren’t So Sure
If you look up "Gun Ownership" on Wikipedia, it claims there are around 850 million guns owned by civilians in the world, around 400 million of those 850 million are in the US.

Whatever your politics are, you can't begin to understand crime and policing in the US until you internalize those numbers.

juniper_strong··on Ask HN: Films that made you see the world differently?
So he doesn't believe in the term toxic masculinity. What is the argument you are making here, exactly?
juniper_strong··on Ask HN: Films that made you see the world differently?
That made me see the world differently? Faces of Death I guess. Would not recommend.
juniper_strong··on Ask HN: Films that made you see the world differently?
I'm not sure how either of those support your point about the term toxic masculinity. I claimed, "he has said he doesn't believe in the term toxic masculinity".

In your first link, he is asked, "We hear the term “toxic masculinity” a lot these days. As someone who writes a lot about manhood, what does it mean to you?". He answers, "Oh boy, I’m not sure if I really believe in it".

Sounds to me like he doesn't believe in the term toxic masculinity.

In your Huffington Post link, the interviewer claims "It’s a book about consumerism, and an expressive, violent response to the cold fact of it. It’s also a book about toxic masculinity, even if its author never deigns to expressly critique or uphold controlled violence". I don't know why we would consider the interviewer the authority on the text in question here. Here is Palahniuk's take in the same interview:

Q: Would you say Fight Club is more of a critique of violent masculinity, a celebration of it, or both?

A: Boy. I wouldn’t say it’s a critique. I think that because it’s consensual, it’s OK. It’s a mutually agreed-upon thing which people can discover their ability to sustain violence or survive violence as well as their ability to inflict it. So, in a way, it’s kind of a mutually agreed-upon therapy. I don’t see it as condoning violence ― because in the story it is consensual ― or as ridiculing it, because in this case it does have a use.

Thanks for the HuffPo link though, here is another quote where he gives what he thinks the message of Fight Club is that seems to be in agreement with the other ones I read, "The central message of Fight Club was always about the empowerment of the individual through small, escalating challenges". It also has this quote about killing the father, "In a way, it’s like everyone rebelling against dad, and discovering their own power by killing the father, as the Buddhists would say". I've seen interpretations of Fight Club as a Buddhist allegory (https://web.archive.org/web/20090423020258/http://www.unomah...), interesting to hear him bring that up.

juniper_strong··on Ask HN: Films that made you see the world differently?
I don't see it as positive or neutral, more like unintentionally nihilistic. I consider it a failed propaganda movie that is very successful as art for art's sake.

And maybe that was the artist's intent all along. From the title I doubt it but I read that originally the filmmaker wanted it released without any title.

juniper_strong··on Ask HN: Films that made you see the world differently?
If that was the intent of the film, it didn't work on me. It starts out with shots of nature and then I guess the idea was supposed to be, "Along comes mankind, industrialism ruins everything, life is out of balance!". But the problem is that it is all so gorgeous. Shots of Pruitt–Igoe being blown up, the Twinkie factory assembly line, traffic jams, bridges collapsing, a rocket exploding, all shot so that they are beautiful trippy visual wallpaper.
juniper_strong··on Ask HN: Films that made you see the world differently?
> the movie is really about the negatives of extreme, prolonged toxic masculinity

Chuck Palahniuk, the author of the book the movie is based on would disagree with you. For one, he has said he doesn't believe in the term toxic masculinity. He has said that Fight Club is "about empowering the individual and allowing the individual to make what they see as the best choice" and "about the terror that you were going to live or die without understanding anything important about yourself".

He has also remarked about how few cultural narratives there are for young men today, "I feel a little frustrated that our culture hasn’t given these men a wider selection of narratives to choose from. Really, the only narratives they go to are The Matrix and Fight Club".

As for the snowflake term being co-opted, he says, "once that material passes on to an audience, the audience adopts it. It will become the child of the audience and will serve whatever purpose the audience has for it. It would be insane to think that the author could control every iteration or every interpretation of their work."

For me, Fight Club was a very nihilistic (Chuck Palahniuk admits to being somewhat of a nihilist) and also very hopeful book (and movie), which is a tough combination to pull off.

juniper_strong··on Why did the atomic spy do it?
It wasn't just one person. There is a list of some of them at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_spies.

Those are the known knowns. There are also the known unknowns, the aliases from intercepted messages who were never matched to identities, and the unknown unknowns, the ones we haven't found out about. One of the spies on the Wikipedia list only had their identity revealed last year.

juniper_strong··on Five Buck Fatigue
> I'm allergic to monthlies

Me too. The way I look at it, if I'm going to live off 4% of my assets a year in retirement, I need an extra $1500 to fund a $5 a month recurring charge.

So it's a matter of looking at how long it would take to save that $1500 and asking if I would commit to working that much longer before I retire in order to afford the recurring payment.

If "that much longer" is measured in days/weeks/months instead of minutes or hours, the answer is almost certainly going to be no.

juniper_strong··on Ask HN: I have $450K cash, what should I do to maximize my return?
You just made Spock's brain explode.
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