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kieranmaine

1,619 karma · joined March 28, 2017

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kieranmaine··on Fossil CO2 emissions decrease in 2026
Looking towards innovations that accelerate the energy transition, I have a question for the startups and founders on hackernews:

Is anyone working on a "solid state" or "caloric" (I'm not sure which terms is the best to use) heat pump and do you have any insight on when these will come to market?

I want to replace the gas boiler in my apartment wiht a heat pump, but it will most likely have to be wall mounted and produce too much noise, which makes is infeasible. I've been reading about how future heat pumps will use "magnetocaloric, electrocaloric, elastocaloric, and barocaloric" effects to shrink the size, weight and noise of a heat pump.

kieranmaine··on The United Kingdom generates less electricity per person than in the 1970s
This isn't related to demand, but is relevant to the discussion around price. A number of of transmission links are being built to transfer electricity from Scotland to England [1] with the first 2 coming online in 2029.

They will help reduce costs by reducing:

1. Wind generation being curtailed.

2. Gas generation used to replace the curtailed wind (referred to as turn-up).

Based on the GB Transmission Constraints site data the costs as of Oct 2026 curtailment costs 257.96 £m and turn-up is 1,378.91 £m.

The article "Transmission Network Unavailability – the Quiet Driving Force Behind Rising Curtailment Costs in Great Britain" [3] article provides a good analysis.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eastern_Green_Links

2. https://renewables-map.robinhawkes.com/curtailment

3. https://ukerc.ac.uk/news/transmission-network-unavailability...

kieranmaine··on The United Kingdom generates less electricity per person than in the 1970s
I'm making the assumption that by National Grid, you mean the UK's electricity system operator, with National Grid (private company) being replaced by a NESO (public company).

> had in mind that electricity demand should decrease

Does this mean the speaker wanted demand to decrease? The UK forecasts from the Future Energy Scenarios [1] show demand increasing (see page 21).

> intermittent availability of power.

I'm assuming this was related to demand side response. Page 37 of the Future Energy Scenarios pdf contains an overview of this.

I worked at an EV smart charging start up (Kaluza) between 2019-2022 and my experience doesn't line up with a couple of your points:

> You won't be able to wash your clothes when you feel like

During my time at Kaluza the customer could charge their EV whenever they wanted.

> you will have to adapt to when there is spare power,

The customer set their minimum state-of-charge (0-100%) and we would always have it charged to that amount by a specified time, irrespective of demand. We aimed to charge the customer's EV when demand was low (there are UK markets we can sell this ability to - these markets may have changed since I was there), which would save them money, but meeting the minimum SoC was the most important thing.

> This is just a regression in technological progress

Reducing peak demand reduces the amount of infrastructure you need and makes better use of what you have. IMO it's a good upgrade that makes much better use of the assets on the grid.

Vehicle-to-Grid (or Home) charging takes this up a level by feeding power back to the grid. This "What’s next for Vehicle-to-Everything?" PDF [2] is 4 years old now, but has some good data on V2G and the benefits it brings.

1. https://www.neso.energy/document/364541/download

2. https://info.kaluza.com/hubfs/What%E2%80%99s%20next%20for%20....

kieranmaine··on First enhanced geothermal power plant completed in just 23 months
This article also provides good analysis: https://powerstack.currence.ai/p/powerstack-post-ipo-fervo-c....

The tldr

> If we look at our Fastest MW analysis, the fastest way to get power to the grid right now is solar+BESS with existing interconnection agreements in ERCOT. This setup gives a 27-month or less time-to-COD, and can come in at $40/MWh PPAs, a price and speed Fervo can't catch. So, per the above, the right way to think about it is that Fervo competes for a different customer than the ones looking at solar+BESS. Are they required to procure geo? Are they in the West? Do they need fully baseload power? For sure, that’s a smaller niche. But if Fervo's anticipated 38GW resource base materializes even a little, the niche is huge.

kieranmaine··on Greenvolt begins building 600 MW/2.4 GWh BESS in Poland
The UK has some mammooth projects in the pipeline as part of the Long Duration Energy Storage Cap-and-Floor scheme [1].

There's a 200MW/3,600MWh project which has planning permission and also a 400MW/7,200MWh proposal [2].

1. https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/sites/default/files/2025-03/Long%20...

2. https://www.solarpowerportal.co.uk/battery-storage/field-s-2...

kieranmaine··on Greenvolt begins building 600 MW/2.4 GWh BESS in Poland
This source has some useful stats on duration: https://seia.org/research-resources/energy-storage-market-ou...

> In Q2 2026, battery energy stationary storage (BESS) installations reached 20.2 GWh

> total module manufacturing capacity to over 100 GWh.

> Storage Deployed in 2025: 57.6 GWh

kieranmaine··on Greenvolt begins building 600 MW/2.4 GWh BESS in Poland
> What's a "GW of battery storage capacity"?

This is the maximum amount of power it can dispatch. I think they use it intentionally so they can compare it to other generation sources.

For example this spreadsheet [1], with data for 2023, contains figures for "power capacity megawatts" and "energy capacity megawatthours".

1. https://www.eia.gov/analysis/studies/electricity/batterystor...

kieranmaine··on Greenvolt begins building 600 MW/2.4 GWh BESS in Poland
The BESS market is doing OK in the US. Politicians will come and go but the fundamentals of BESS are solid, so I don't see why the installed base won't keep increasing in the US.

Battery storage capacity averaged 70% growth over the last three years - https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67925

> During the first six months of 2026, operators added another 8.3 GW of battery storage capacity, reaching nearly 52 GW of nameplate battery storage capacity

kieranmaine··on Google's first Suncatcher orbital data center test launches October 1
FTA:

> The cooling system will only be able to operate in brief spurts of about 15 minutes. After that, the TPUs need to shut down to allow the radiators to catch up.

kieranmaine··on 7 out of 9 Planetary Boundaries are breached
The direct link to the PDF worked for me:

https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/rest/items/item_35009/co...

kieranmaine··on Can I opt out of my input or output data being used for training?
Agreed. I read the title as they would start using my data for training and I couldn't opt-out. After looking at the page and checking my app (I have Pro subscription) it seems like I can opt-out and my initial opt-out when I subscribed was preserved.
kieranmaine··on Can I opt out of my input or output data being used for training?
How so? I've opted out of using my data for training.
kieranmaine··on Swiss parliament lifts ban on new nuclear power plants
For UK specific electricity costs I'd recommend looking at https://www.electricitybills.uk/

The UK is a grid that is adding lots of renewables and building some nuclear plants, so the site provides good data around the costs for the added transmission, storage and subsidies (for both renewables and nuclear) needed for a renewables heavy grid supplemented with nuclear.

* Forecast cost for 2030: https://www.electricitybills.uk/2030

* Source data is here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SHuFAtxxKUf3Q2b7usoT...

kieranmaine··on EV demand up 50% in France and Germany since Iran war
Since the article is about Renault, I wanted to mention their EVs use motors with no rare-earth metals.

https://www.renaultgroup.com/en/magazine/energy-and-powertra...

kieranmaine··on Wind and solar generated more power than gas globally in April 2026
My earlier comment was too ambiguous. Those that spend money on generating capacity in the US get it.

> As of April 1, 2026, renewable energy’s share of total US utility-scale (>1 MW) generating capacity was 33.6%. EIA projects this to grow to 36.6% by March 31, 2027. Utility-scale solar will add 42,626.1 MW, expanding its share from 12.8% to 15.7%, while wind will grow by 14,157.4 MW (including 4,155.0 MW of offshore wind), increasing from 13.0% to 13.6%. The mix of other renewables (hydropower, biomass, and geothermal) will add 297.1 MW.

> The capacity of battery storage was 42 GW at the end of 2025 and is expected to double and reach 85 GW by the end of 2027.

In terms of the general population or politicians, some more than others. This is also with an administration that is irrationally hostile to renewables.

1. https://electrek.co/2026/05/26/renewables-installed-capacity...

kieranmaine··on I was recently diagnosed with anti-NMDA receptor encephalitis
Quercitin + Bromelain has also helped my nasal polyps. The biggest improvement has been my ability to breath at night through my nose which has really improved my sleep.

Copilot recommended these supplements. Due to a lack of studies relating directly to the effect of these supplements on nasal polyps, it inferred they might help based on the known action of the supplements and the theorised cause of polyps, so it could all be nonsense. That said, both those supplements are considered safe at the doses I take and it appears to help, so even if it is a placebo effect I'm happy.

kieranmaine··on Wind and solar generated more power than gas globally in April 2026
The USA get's it. Trump doesn't. Texas is a the leader in wind and solar in the US.

Compare generation stats for yesterday between 2021 and 2026 on the Texas grid (ERCOT)

* 2021 - https://www.gridstatus.io/live/ercot?date=2021-06-03

* 2026 - https://www.gridstatus.io/live/ercot?date=2026-06-03

Also, the Californian grid (CAISO) shows where everyone is headed with a huge deployment of batteries:

* 2021 - https://www.gridstatus.io/live/caiso?date=2021-06-03

* 2026 - https://www.gridstatus.io/live/caiso?date=2026-06-03

kieranmaine··on Waymo pauses Atlanta service as its robotaxis keep driving into floods
> Alternatively, just don't run Waymo operations during flood/flash flood warnings.

FTA

> the company said that it shipped an update to its fleet that placed “restrictions at times and in locations where there is an elevated risk of encountering a flooded, higher-speed roadway,”

> But even those precautions apparently were not enough to stop the Waymo robotaxi from entering the flooded intersection in Atlanta. Waymo told TechCrunch on Thursday that the storm in Atlanta produced so much rainfall that flooding was happening before the National Weather Service had issued a flash flood warning, watch, or advisory.

kieranmaine··on Colombia hosts talks on exiting fossil fuels as global energy crisis deepens
If you prefer a text and graphs to a video take a look at https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/indias-electrotech-...
kieranmaine··on UK: Two millionth electric car registered as market rebounds strongly
This is a good site for seeing the differents UK models, and their prices, that are on the market or coming onto the market.

These are all models under £20,000 - https://ev-database.org/uk/#group=vehicle-group&av-1=1&av-23...

There's also a large number of used EVs available. Here's a selection of 2024+ models between £8000-£10000

https://www.autotrader.co.uk/car-search?channel=cars&fuel-ty...

kieranmaine··on Two millionth electric car registered as market rebounds from tax changes
As a companion to this article these pages have good charts and data:

The road to electric - in charts and data - https://www.rac.co.uk/drive/electric-cars/choosing/road-to-e...

Electric car charging prices at public chargers - https://www.rac.co.uk/drive/electric-cars/charging/electric-...

kieranmaine··on GB Electricity Bills
I look at https://www.energydashboard.co.uk/live as well. I prefer the stacked graphs.
kieranmaine··on GB Electricity Bills
I've always wanted to know what makes up the cost of electricity in the UK and this is an excellent breakdown, with the website linking to a google sheet containing the data.
kieranmaine··on Norway Set to Become Latest Country to Ban Social Media for Under 16s
My understanding in this case the social media company is liable for allowing a child to access social media. So is not a crime for a child to use social media.

> Children cannot be left with the responsibility for staying away from platforms they are not allowed to use. That responsibility rests with the companies providing these services. They must implement effective age verification and comply with the law from day one

From the original press release https://www.regjeringen.no/en/whats-new/norwegian-social-med...

kieranmaine··on Iran war sparks renewables boom as Europeans rush to buy solar, heat pumps, EVs
I'd argue it already is. Only 7% of electricity generating capacity being added in 2026 will be natural gas.

> Solar power makes up 51% of the planned 2026 capacity additions, followed by battery storage at 28% and wind at 14%.

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67205

kieranmaine··on US Job Market Visualizer
This comment prompted me to find out about colour filters for mac os. I enabled the red/green filter, which made it easier to see the differences on the site, however the downside is it affects a lot of other colors and images on other sites, so is not a feasible solution, for me at least.
kieranmaine··on The risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory
The bull case is solar and batteries are only going to get cheaper so the speed of the transition will increase.

* Australia's renewables generation increased from 13.7% in 2015 to 42.9% in 2025 [1]

* EIA: 99%+ of new US capacity in 2026 will be solar, wind + storage [2]

* Wind and solar overtake fossil power in the EU for the first time in 2025 [3]

1. https://explore.openelectricity.org.au/energy/nem/?range=all...

2. https://electrek.co/2026/01/28/eia-99-of-new-us-capacity-in-...

3. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/european-electricit...

kieranmaine··on European Alternatives
On https://european-alternatives.eu/about the listing criteria state:

> The company is based in an EU, EEA, EFTA, or DCFTA member country or in the UK.

but

> For hosting providers: It is not allowed that a hosting provider is simply a sub-hosting provider of a company that is not based in an EU or EFTA member country.

kieranmaine··on In Europe, wind and solar overtake fossil fuels
I think in this case it's because LDES can't compete in the UK energy market, but it's a capability that needs to be developed, so this scheme address that by providing a guaranteed revenue.

The floor is a minimum revenue guarantee, to protect investors at times when the wholesale price is low and the cap is a maximum revenue limit to protect consumers when the wholesasle price is high.

It seems like these limits haven't been set yet, so I don't know what the potential impacts on energy prices will be.

kieranmaine··on In Europe, wind and solar overtake fossil fuels
Regarding long term storage keep an eye on the UK's Cap and Floor scheme which offers guaranteed revenues to long term storage technologies [1].

Page 7 of https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/sites/default/files/2025-09/LDES%20... lists the technology types of the project applications. The majority are Li-Ion BESS, but there are also other battery chemistries and Liquid/Compress Air Storage

1. https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/press-release/super-battery-project...

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