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koyanisqatsion Elon Twitter Texts

It's pretty obvious none of these people care about anything other than money, power, and their personal amusement. Jack is right, Twitter needs to be a protocol. It's a mess because it is centralized and there are private and state actors trying to run influence operations on it.

koyanisqatsion Revisiting a controversial question, looking for honest feed back not shaming

I explained what happens at a level of abstraction that makes sense for what was being asked. If you want more details then get in touch with a real biologist or geneticist. I'm not the person to answer your questions.

koyanisqatsion Revisiting a controversial question, looking for honest feed back not shaming

The questions you're asking are not really coherent. mRNA vaccines are pretty well understood. The vaccine delivers a payload to your own cells which cause them to produce viral proteins. These proteins in turn cause an immune response and help you fight off any future infection because immune cells have memory and leverage information from the vaccine proteins to fight off the real virus.

mRNA vaccines are essentially a form of genetic engineering but their safety record is better than basically all other forms of immunization so if you've already had 3 boosters and no negative side-effects then getting another one isn't going to hurt you any more than the previous shots.

You should also quit smoking and start exercising since that's better than whatever else you could do for your health and general well-being.

koyanisqatsion Elon Twitter Texts

What's obvious here is that these people are drunk with power. Most of the conversations revolve around social engineering or extracting as much money as possible from Twitter. Paints a really bleak picture of everyone involved. The only one that appears sane is Jack, everyone else is pushing some agenda that has nothing to do with the product itself or its participants.

koyanisqatsion Tell HN: A hacker's life is in danger, your awareness may be life saving

Certainly but I have a question for you as well. What organization do you donate money to and is Amnesty International among them [1]?

1: https://www.amnesty.org/en/donate/.

koyanisqatsion Tell HN: A hacker's life is in danger, your awareness may be life saving

That's not their problem. Their problem is an oppressive government and people who can't get organized enough to make a difference, very similar to the US.

No one outside of Iran can solve their problems for them, just like no one outside of the US can solve US problems.

koyanisqatsion Tell HN: A hacker's life is in danger, your awareness may be life saving

There isn't. No one on HN has any influence over Iranian happenings.

koyanisqatsion Tell HN: A hacker's life is in danger, your awareness may be life saving

There is nothing anyone here can do about the situation.

koyanisqatsion Musk orders Twitter to cut infrastructure costs by $1B – sources

I'm sure he can keep firing people and just keep the platform on life support but that's the same as admitting Twitter is going the way of Digg and all other social networks that tried to execute a pivot. The people that think he'll be able to turn it around don't really understand the scale of the problem.

koyanisqatsion Musk orders Twitter to cut infrastructure costs by $1B – sources

I don't think ad-tech is going away anytime soon. It would be nice but it's not gonna happen because the fundamental problem is not the ads but the fact that most social networks are not sustainable without advertising so the platform participants end up being treated like cash cows that are milked for all they're worth.

If Twitter was paid for by its participants then they would not have to put up with advertisers. Right now the advertisers subsidize the operational costs so they get to dictate what features are developed and what kind of invasive access they have to behavioral data for optimizing their marketing campaigns.

koyanisqatsion Musk orders Twitter to cut infrastructure costs by $1B – sources

I'm pretty certain that Twitter's code is essentially append-only. It's possible to add new features and keep the old stuff running but there is no way to re-architect it to reduce costs. They are already compressing the data so there is no improvement to be gained there. As for cold storage, re-engineering backups and other forms of redundancy will reduce long-term costs but it won't reduce their yearly operating requirements for storage and compute (storage fundamentally being the main limiting factor).

So either enough people pay to subsidize Twitter's operating costs for everyone else or it continues to get worse over time. There really isn't a 3rd option with better engineered software because there are no software engineers that can work on software of Twitter's scale and make it meaningfully more efficient in terms of storage and compute requirements.

Presumably we are on the brink of AGI, so maybe Elon knows something everyone else doesn't and he's just gonna use AGI to rewrite all of Twitter in assembly. /s

koyanisqatsion Musk orders Twitter to cut infrastructure costs by $1B – sources

You should sit down and perform the storage calculation instead of struggling to find something correct in what I said because that will be a better use of your limited time.

koyanisqatsion Musk orders Twitter to cut infrastructure costs by $1B – sources

Elon used to be a software engineer so it's kinda weird how he thinks a legacy codebase like Twitter can be fixed up to use $1B less every year. Twitter is limited mainly by storage, their compute costs are negligible in comparison. So unless there is so much bloat in their hardware procurement process that they're over-provisioning storage by more than $1B a year there is no way to reduce costs. The hardware costs what it does and there is no way to rewrite the software at this point to reduce hardware costs and still maintain backward compatibility with the existing Twitter functionality (no matter how minimal the feature set seems to be for external observers).

So either this article is a lie or Elon is just making nonsensical statement to focus attention on what it costs to run Twitter at such a scale. If people don't pay then the functionality will continue to degrade and it's looking like there aren't enough willing buyers for $8/month. The only way Twitter can continue to operate is if the people that actively use the service start paying for it, every other financing option is now closed off and if Elon can't turn it around then I doubt anyone else can.

koyanisqatsion Ask HN: Twitter is empty, and all the tweets are here?

Most of the people on the platform are addicts so they're not gonna leave. Your favorite forum is going to be safe.

koyanisqatsion The coming long-run slowdown in corporate profit growth and stock returns

Telling people to think is only a personal attack if they prefer not to.

koyanisqatsion The coming long-run slowdown in corporate profit growth and stock returns

You probably should spend some more time thinking about how that all fits together because saying that the bank creates money from interest rates means that the central bank sets the rate according to what economic growth they're expecting. If the rate is decoupled then it stops tracking real economic productivity as I've defined it. The obvious logical conclusion is that raising rates will lead to a recession because economic productivity has been stagnant for some time now. So if the rate is above actual economic productivity then that will reduce the total money supply and this seems to be their main goal. There is no way to reduce inflation without destroying money.

koyanisqatsion The coming long-run slowdown in corporate profit growth and stock returns

Have you personally done any work to increase the planet's carrying capacity? More specifically, what is its current capacity and how is it calculated? Seems like you would know this based on what you have stated.

koyanisqatsion The coming long-run slowdown in corporate profit growth and stock returns

How many jobs do you have? Like as a professional in some sector of the economy, how many sectors do you personally occupy? Are you a farmer that also writes iOS software? No, obviously not. Whatever job you do is fixed and it contributes a finite amount of economic value. Since the population is now decreasing there are fewer people, which means if all the economic value from everyone is added up then the total contribution will be less than another population with more people.

It doesn't make sense to talk about zero-sum economics because economics is always a positive sum arrangement of work and specializations. The number of workers is the main limiting factor in any productive economy, every other measure is essentially an approximate proxy of that.

The financial sector on the other hand is indeed a zero-sum system. If someone is making money then someone else must be losing it because there is a finite supply of dollars in the economy at any given moment so if the supply is fixed then the monetary economy is a zero-sum game.

All of this is derivable from first principles but for some reason most people are constantly parroting some nonsense about wealth and zero-sums.

koyanisqatsion Ask HN: Have everything one could want but still nowhere near satisfied

Get involved with your local community. Everything else is consumerist nonsense.

koyanisqatsion The coming long-run slowdown in corporate profit growth and stock returns

What innovations are going to maintain infinite economic growth on a finite planet that is going to be 2C degrees warmer in the coming decades?

koyanisqatsion The coming long-run slowdown in corporate profit growth and stock returns

It means other parts of the economy must shrink. Population is no longer increasing which means every percentage of growth in one sector is offset by losses in another. There are only finitely many people and each person can only be in one sector at a time vs the previous regime where population growth meant every sector could grow concurrently by hiring from a growing population.

Modern capitalism requires an infinite supply of people to maintain economic growth. The model is entirely busted because it is at odds with physical constraints and dynamics of a finite planet. I personally consider the whole thing a collective delusion because infinite growth on a finite planet is a logical and physical impossibility. Unless everyone decides to live in VR where nothing matters then the economic models must at some point make a connection with reality and at that point it becomes obvious that the capitalist model of infinite growth is untenable unless there is a supply of people growing at a faster rate than whatever economic metrics are used to measure the real economy.

koyanisqatsion Billionaire says Powell and his merry band of lunatics are destroying capitalism

I'm agnostic to how exactly the biosphere is restored but I'm certain that it can not be done through market and capital dynamics no matter how clever or distributed the scheme. Money tends to cause ideological brain damage and those past a certain age with such damage are unable to imagine any kind of future without it.

koyanisqatsion Investors Serious About Application of Solomonoff Induction to Model Selection?

That's fine. Good luck with your endeavor but I still think you should contact some friends and family. If that's not possible then a helpline might also be beneficial: https://sczaction.org/helpline/ (toll-free number: 800-493-2094).

We can also continue this thread if you want but you'll have to make more coherent points about what exactly you're trying to achieve with Solomonoff induction. Most of the research on AIXI(tl) is pretty much complete. Whatever could be recovered from computable distributions and agents that learn properties of that distribution to maximize some kind of objective has already been mostly figured out by Hutter. The theory is complete so unless you have some other ideas I don't think there is anything worthwhile left to research with Solomonoff induction and computational agents based on that formalism.

koyanisqatsion Investors Serious About Application of Solomonoff Induction to Model Selection?

By the way, your speech patterns indicate schizophrenia (rambling and meandering speech that doesn't really make any point). If you have family and friends I recommend you get in touch with them and ask for help. They could get you some prescription medication that might help with your symptoms. [1]

1: https://www.drugs.com/condition/schizophrenia.html

koyanisqatsion Ask HN: Is there crowd sourced cause effect mind map for changes?

That's called a prediction market and it doesn't really work. Averaging predictions doesn't make them better because the only way to predict the future is to invent it.

koyanisqatsion Ukraine Unleashes Mass Kamikaze Drone Boat Attack on Russia’s Black Sea Fleet HQ

Putin has mentioned repeatedly that he will use a nuclear weapon. I don't think he's bluffing but I'm also having a hard time parsing whatever you're trying to say. What exactly is the meaning of "kitchen is lying in the midst of an active engagement nearing the span of 12 months"?

koyanisqatsion Billionaire says Powell and his merry band of lunatics are destroying capitalism

Just trying to figure out how exactly an even distribution of money is not distributed capitalism as you defined it. So sounds like if the market magically made everyone equally rich (or poor) you would consider that distributed capitalism but if it was done through taxation then you wouldn't. Did I get that right?