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leifaffles

150 karma · joined August 31, 2012

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leifaffles··on How Politics and Bad Decisions Starved New York’s Subways
"Make government programs work": An issue politicians seem incapable of prioritizing over giving the government dominion over more areas of American life.
leifaffles··on How Politics and Bad Decisions Starved New York’s Subways
I think politicians in places like New York should lead by example and show us that much-hyped, long-awaited "smart government" before they angrily demand I support the latest government program.
leifaffles··on Compute Engine machine types with up to 96 vCPUs and 624GB of memory
Holy moly!
leifaffles··on More Americans Are Falling Behind on Student Loans, and Nobody Quite Knows Why
Two things you miss:

1/ Student loans are not dischargeable in bankrupty.

2/ Today, the government IS the lender.

The government has created a system of incentives (even before the student loan industry was nationalized) that encourages lending large amounts of money to anybody by eliminating the risk on the part of student loan lenders.

People can basically never get out of the debt, so you can lend arbitrary sums of money to Feminist Dance Theory majors and other sorts of poor-ROI nonsense.

"Predatory loans" is a misnomer. Predatory government is far more accurate.

leifaffles··on Healthcare.gov going offline nearly every Sunday for 12 hours during enrollment
Oh brother. I didn't ignore everything else you wrote. You presented hypotheticals and I explained how we need fewer hypotheticals and more grounding in reality.
leifaffles··on Healthcare.gov going offline nearly every Sunday for 12 hours during enrollment
I did.

"death due to lack of health insurance"

4 results.

I'm not trying to be pedantic, but I think it is important to ground this broader discussion in actual specifics. I keep hearing all these insane stories of people dying on the streets, which simply doesn't reflect anybody's lived experience.

Of course that's not to say there aren't significant real problems, but the discussion is so hyperbolic and far from reality that it's almost not worth having. This problem underlies both the "universal health care" and the free market absolutists. They're both selling different versions of utopia, which don't exist.

leifaffles··on Healthcare.gov going offline nearly every Sunday for 12 hours during enrollment
Do you have any examples? Which people, which diseases, and who denied them care?
leifaffles··on Healthcare.gov going offline nearly every Sunday for 12 hours during enrollment
Or we just avoid this whole mess and create a free market in health care.
leifaffles··on Pepe the Frog’s Creator Goes Legally Nuclear Against the Alt-Right
How about on the axis of "believes in white racial superiority"?

The claim of the "alt-right" is that Western civilization is intimately tied to the white race. Here's a video of Jared Taylor explaining the "alt right": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhnDm7OxuU4

It's also worth noting that alt-right wasn't even well-defined until 2016. As it became clearer, plenty of people (including Cernovich) publically denounced and distanced themselves.

None of this is a broader defense of Cernovich, who I maintain is creepy and lacking in substance, but the careless lumping in of mainstream conservatives, nationalists, internet trolls, Pepe the Frog, etc into the "alt-right" bucket is not helpful.

leifaffles··on Pepe the Frog’s Creator Goes Legally Nuclear Against the Alt-Right
The careless bundling of everyone under the sun into the "alt-right" category is getting out of hand.

I don't care what you think about the shitposters on r/The_Donald or Mike Cernovich, but they aren't anything close to advocates for the white identity politics advocated by the "alt-right".

leifaffles··on Cost of Employer-Provided Health Insurance Rises Toward $19k a Year
This is a particularly naive understanding of markets.

To restate your argument: there are sometimes unpredictable health care events that arise for which one cannot negotiate, bargain, and price compare in advance. Therefore, price transparency doesn't work.

The problem is you wouldn't make this argument about any other sort of good (for example, an emergency or home car repair) because you know exactly how markets function in those cases.

The answer is: when there's price transparency, and consumers are incentivized to shop around and demand lower prices, prices come down. This benefits not only yourself, but also consumers who don't want to (or are unable to) perform this role themselves.

This is why you pay cheap prices at the grocery store even if you don't haggle, clip coupons, and so on. This is why "emergency" home and car repair (while it may cost more) does not cost an order of magnitude more than "non-emergency" home or car repair.

leifaffles··on A New Way to Learn Economics
TLDR: less rigor, more dogma
leifaffles··on Global Warming and Hurricanes, an Overview of Current Research Results
How accurate and complete are measurements across these time periods?

Are more recent periods inherently going to have more hurricanes because we now have the capability to detect more hurricanes? How has measurement changed over the past 175 years?

leifaffles··on People Don’t Actually Want Equality, They Want Fairness
If the issue isn't fairness, how do you differentiate this view from an embrace of punitive envy politics?
leifaffles··on [dead]
I still don't think you're appreciating or demonstrating an understanding of how debt affects people's thinking and behavior.

I have dozens of friends and family who are in the top 5% of the US population in terms of math skills who have all tried to play "smart" games with debt and come out as big losers as they continued to play. I'm talking software engineers, dentists, doctors, pharmacists, tenured math professors, and so on.

The problem is not math skills. The problem is not managing deadlines. The problem is that these people are human and are not immune to the pernicious effects of debt. Even you. Even me.

Here are some things you haven't considered or acknowledged:

* How debt influences the choices we make. Would you have bought such an expensive car if you had to pay cash? Statistically, the answer is no. If forced to use cash, might you have opted to buy a less expensive used car? Are you sure you didn't buy thousands of dollars more car in order to "save" a few hundred bucks?

* How managing debt takes over space in our minds. What could you be if you could free up mental capacity for other things?

* How debt warps our perspective and plays to our human weaknesses and short-term desires. Are you sure you're coming out ahead? How do you know?

You can't run an A/B test on yourself, but you can open your eyes and take a look around. It's not pretty out there.

leifaffles··on [dead]
Everything you say is 100% factual.

(Except the part about how debt is "how you get rich")

And yet, I'd wager than 90% of people who attempt to replicate your success story would wind up worse off for having tried it.

The problem is that it comes with a huge risk of screwing with your head. And it's very difficult to detect and correct when this is happening.

I've had my success stories playing games with debt too. Gaming low rates, churning credit cards, and so on. I see people around me do the same things all the time.

The only trouble is, the next day these same people are:

* Allowing debt to influence their purchasing decisions (e.g. buying a larger car, a larger house, and so on)

* Trying more sophisticated "experiments", only to get burned

In other words, they scored a minor victory in an inconsequential battle only to lose big later on.

leifaffles··on [dead]
Some recommended resources:

reddit.com/r/financialindependence/ (check out all the links in the sidebar). The advice on this sub is generally much higher quality than r/personalfinance (although less newbie friendly)

See also: Mr. Money Mustache / Dave Ramsey (both seriously tackle the behavior problems that hold us back from success and wealth)

leifaffles··on [dead]
Also, debt is bad. Debt is the ultimate "blue pill".

Ignoring the obvious issues with compound interest in reverse, the far more consequential problem is that it fucks with your head in ways that normally require CIA-style brainwashing and mind control.

Debt justifies and rewards your worst impulses, encourages poor, short-term decision making, and alters your frame of reference to a degree that even the smartest, most noble people among us think they can outsmart debt only to wind up losing big.

leifaffles··on [dead]
Here are some things that help:

* Frugality: deeply understanding the things that bring you satisfaction and skipping the rest

* Aggressively saving and investing money

* Building a mastery in personal finance

But becoming a millionaire isn't a math problem. Most people on here are capable of doing so many times over without any great career home run.

However, achieving such a milestone will require you to (on an ongoing basis) look deeply inwards, answer fundamental questions about yourself, and change your life.

At the risk of getting too preachy, most people haven't even figured out what they want and so they default to mainstream consumerism. Such people have little chance of becoming a millionaire (which requires sustained, long-term behavior changes) until they first sort themselves out.

leifaffles··on What I Didn't Say (2013)
Not much has changed, unfortunately. =/
leifaffles··on [dead]
This entire article is responding to a straw man.

"We can say flatly that there is no evidence that women’s biology makes them incapable of performing at the highest levels in any STEM fields."

That's nice. But that's not what Damore argued.

Rather, Damore argued that biology has a significant role in the interests of men and women, not their capabilities. There is a mountain of compelling evidence to support this claim.

See slatestarcodex.com/2017/08/07/contra-grant-on-exaggerated-differences/.

leifaffles··on Why I Was Fired by Google
Again, what should he apologize for?

You seem to really want him to repent for something. What is it?

leifaffles··on Why I Was Fired by Google
The intentional blurring of the difference between "individuals" and "group averages" is out of control.

Here some quotes from the essay that underscore this distinction:

> Many of these differences are small and there’s significant overlap between men and women, so you can’t say anything about an individual given these population level distributions.

> I’m also not saying that we should restrict people to certain gender roles; I’m advocating for quite the opposite: treat people as individuals, not as just another member of their group (tribalism).

leifaffles··on Why I Was Fired by Google
What should he apologize for?

"I'm sorry for telling the truth."?

leifaffles··on Why I Was Fired by Google
Yes, there was misrepresentation.

Google's CEO said: “To suggest a group of our colleagues have traits that make them less biologically suited to that work is offensive and not O.K.”

He said no such thing. This is a cruel smear. Google, including its CEO and VP of Diversity & Newspeak, acted like thugs.

And no, this has nothing to do with at-will employment. It has to do with hypocrisy. Google claimed they be open and tolerant, and then they proceeded to directly contradict that ethos by firing Demore and viciously lying about him on the way out the door.

leifaffles··on James Damore has an above decent chance of winning his legal case against Google
No he doesn't. Please read the memo.
leifaffles··on James Damore is (almost certainly) not a victim of a free-speech violation
Nobody is arguing that he is a victim of his "free speech rights" being violated.

People are arguing that Google is acting like a thug.

leifaffles··on Fired Google engineer files complaint, weighs legal options
You have some strong points in here, except one which is worth pointing out:

> Google management didn't "call him names".

Google's management (including its CEO) did, however, repeatedly lie and misrepresent the essay as justification for their actions.

This was cruel and should not be forgotten.

leifaffles··on Fired Google engineer files complaint, weighs legal options
No.

Arguments #2 and #3 were not made. Argument #1 is utterly uncontroversial.

Please read the essay.

leifaffles··on Show HN: Voting Relationships in the US Senate
A more plausible reason for why Democrats would be more "partisan" is because moderate Democrats have been defeated by Republicans in recent elections, particularly in red states. This will likely be more pronounced if people like Mary Landrieu and Mark Pryor are taken out.
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