You can run opus 4.8 level models on $10k in hardware or less. Just seems like there is little argument to explain why there are 10s of trillions in future profits for these labs.
The internet created lots of monopolies with network effects and economies of scale.a low margin commoditized business that still attracted a trillion dollars of investment to get off the ground was not how I envisioned it happening either.
Exactly developers can switch to another coding cli and the learning curve is close to zero. Mindshare without switching costs is just a popsicle in the sun.
If your business leaks to your customers… if you can ask your product for its inner secret sauce and it readily gives away the goose. That is not a moat.
curious how the execs can honor the fiduciary duty to share holders assuming only they? get the 20 billion and the company is left headless and leaking all of its intellectual property to Nvidia?
Alot of deterministic systems externalize their edge cases to the user. The software design doesn’t fully match the reality of how it gets used. Ai can be far more flexible in the face of dynamic and variable requirements.
One thing I don’t understand about these agent frameworks… cursor, Claude, Claude code, cline, v0… all of the large production agents with leaked prompts use xml function calling, and it seems like these frameworks all only support native json schema function calling. This is maybe the most important decision and from my experience native tool calling is just about the worst option.
https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/ your experience doesn't align with my experience or this benchmark. o1 pro is good but I would rather do 20 cycles on gemini 2.5 rather than wait for Pro to return.
The switching costs are so low (zero) that anyone using these models just jumps to the best performer. I also agree that this is not a brand or narrative sensitive project.