localplume

why does it seem more likely? from an objective standpoint, why is there a higher likelihood for that?

I would actually disagree. Extraterrestrial life is essentially guaranteed (statistically) but conlusive evidence is exceptionally difficult and who knows how far away any life would be. But there is absolutely nothing to suggest AGI is possible, let alone ASI. At best they are both equally unlikely in that people are biased by how much science fiction they read, and thats how they attribute likelihood. HN just likes to go on and on about AGI and whatever but its just overhyping as usual

but it wouldn't? US astrophysicists and others use units like AU. and if they were using football fields, its to make it so people understand it better. AU is pretty hard to grasp for most people I'd imagine. the writer is American anyway.

because they're extrapolating from a few spyware countries come from israel -> does every single israeli hate freedom of press, journalists and human rights. its a pretty bad faith argument and borderline racist

anyway Israel isn't the only one selling spyware software. There are a metric ton of sellers, operators, and people just selling zero-days to any bidder

the answer to their question is that Israel is a dense, highly educated country with a lot of expertise in computer security and other technology areas. VRED is a difficult and exciting area of work, and the pipeline from gaining these skills in the military and translating it to private industry is very real. it has nothing to do with freedom of the press, journalists, or human rights

yup. this is basically the collective dumbing down of everyone, bringing everyone down to the level of the laziest, least motivation, dumbest people. this is the equality that some people want apparently. all they're doing is widening the gap between the poor and the wealthy, as the latter can afford to push their children to legitimate schools so they can be challenged and learn. its the destruction of class mobility and meritocracy. under the guise of progressivism. what a joke. people whose title is "provost for educational equity and academic success" are such hacks and leeches on the system.

if its pass/fail only freshman year, fine. thats usually very basic anyways. but if it spreads to the entire degree then its a problem.

I guarantee history will not judge any of these people kindly. the destruction their bullshit will have over decades will be looked upon with disgust as to how we tolerated this dumbing down.

If you think any western country is actually secular then I have a bridge to sell you. christianity is woven into the very fabric of their culture.

visit a cemetary and see crosses. listen to language and hear references to "christening", christian names, "this book is the x bible", expletives referencing "jesus christ", christmas, easter, the abundance of churches over any other site of worship.

Afghanistan was a mess for reasons other people have mentioned, but the US held itself back. If you want to see supremacy see Desert Storm. The ground campaign took 100 hours for the US to kick the ass of the fourth largest army in the world, not even mentioning the beauty of the air campaign. It is a master class in the brutal efficiency and warfighting capabilities of the US and other coalition forces. If the US wanted, there is no doubt they could have razed Aghanistan and Vietnam from a pure warfighting standpoint.

Technological and logistical abilities still reign supreme if it comes to an all out war. Asymmetric forces like with Aghanistan and Vietnam were problematic because of political pressures at home, and the long drawn out nature of those conflicts which increased political pressure. The 2003 invasion of Iraq was also perfectly executed, but the long duration occupation was the problem.

Asymmetric forces and insurgencies are problematic, but people overate them in modern discourse because of the weight of the occupation of Aghanistan and Iraq in recent memory. They are easy to crush, but politics at the time was complicated.

Yes that is how citizenship mostly works. That is life. Americans absolutely should have the right to decide who comes to work in the US and on what terms. Unbridled immigration and open borders would be a disaster for everyone involved. America isn't a welfare state for the world.

Additionally, H-1B visas are nonimmigrant visas. Workers are aware of this. They are not permanent. If they treat it like its permanent, that is their own fault. Would it be better if USCIS was streamlined? Absolutely. Thats why fraud needs to be cut down and bureaucratic bloat needs to be reduced.

100% success matters when you need to hit a launch window for interplanetary transit. or when you have spacecraft that are integrating sensors from dozens of commercial and academic partners. 100% success matters when rockets are actually launching payloads. what is the evidence that this fail fast method is superior to the already tried and tested method? everyone just assumes that. the differences between spx starship and SLS go far beyond just that method anyway so you cannot possibly compare

especially when you have great words like

눈물 = 눈 + 물 = eye + water = tears 물고기 = 물 + 고기 = water + meat = fish (although this only means the animal, not the food, which is weird. 생선 is the fish meat like cow v beef) 돼지고기 = 돼지 + 고기 = pig + meat = pork etc.

there is a lot of other examples I'm forgetting but its cool.

The modification of the verb root to denote tense and formality as well is pretty intuitive. Korean is a great language. The problematic things IMO are the counting of items and the uses of the Korean v Chinese number systems, plus the random Hanja here and there.

Is based off anything or just unnecessary political dividing rhetoric? If you want to be mad at a president pardoning a traitor be mad at Obama, since that was something that actually happened.

When you have a Dungeons and Dragons movie hitting over 100mil in the box office, and when comic book movies are some of the highest grossing, i think its pretty safe to say nerd culture is incredibly mainstream.

Because those games are just a way to measure how an internal state changes with moves initiated by the ego and initiated by someone else. The point is that there is no consistant internal state because it hallucinates and spotaneously changes. its like telling the language model a story, and getting it to repeat certain facts about it or you make additions to the story. its the exact same thing. It needs quite a lot of "prompt engineering" to push it in the correct direction, and even then its frequently incorrect.

Eh I mean the US has its fair share of snakes and spiders, crocs/gators, plus bears, coyotes, and other large animals which Australia doesn't have which are far more scary than any insect IMO. I guess the oceans are worse with sharks and box jellies, and some rivers have bull sharks. But Australia and the US have more in common wrt deadly flora and fauna than most would like to admit.

You are part of the problem though? You are engaging into political sorting and assuming that because your neighbors are Republican, that they would be uncomfortable with pride flags. Do you even know if they are Republican? How do you know they are not in danger of their safety? What if they are LGBT and support police? What if they are Jewish and support police? So what if they are Republican and support police and they are uncomfortable around pride flags, but its because of their assumptions. The same assumptions and political sorting you are engaging in.

Also assuming vast parts of the country are unsafe because they are mostly Repulican, whereas you would be equally likely to be subject to hate crimes in major cities in blue states no? https://abc7ny.com/hate-crime-lgbtq-new-york-city-pride-mont...

What is terrifying about being a blue collar worker anyhow? Also I fail to see how UBI nad national healthcare would solve it.

What would fix it is less hatred and animosity between groups, and less sorting into groups period. Less apocalyptic rhetoric from all groups. The world isn't ending, its actually doing pretty well for the most part. Being proud to be American. And honestly, people should stop flying a pride flag or a thin blue line flag or any other flag, but the one flag which represents all people in this great country: the flag of the United States of America. That is the only true, completely inclusive flag of this country.

Agree. The amount of Imperial Japan sympathism and revisionist history just to say "US bad" is atrocious.

Are you really saying "both sides did bad things" in the same context of the Holocaust and the atrocities committed by Japan? That is heavily historically revisionist and just plain offensive.

Some comments here are nuts. Equating what the US and the Allies did during the war to Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan is insane, and as a Jew just fucking disgraceful. People really need to get a history book.

The link posted is interesting from a historical perspective, but the comments here just ragging on the US for the bombs and treating Japan like an innocent is just crazy to me. I guess thats what happens when you let war-crime denying Japan rewrite the history books. People here really don't grasp how truly _evil_ Imperial Japan was.

isn't that the author replying to a reply on their tweet? so its promoting positive discussion, hence pushing the engagement higher?

If anything I feel like the US is an outlier in qualification requirements. It feels like every European country requires degrees for every single tech job, whereas in the US you can get by without one or just a BS. The amount of jobs I have seen in the EU that require an MS even though it really shouldn't is insane. I think every single technical ESA role requires an MS at minimum, whereas you can easily work at NASA with just a BS, which doesn't really make much sense.

Also you can still go to community college/a state school to get a BS? Or join the Army or something, take a low risk MOS, get them to fund your bachelors. The US is way less class prohibitive and has far more class mobility than the EU as a whole so I'm not sure what you're talking about.

because some people understand geopolitics and the threat of foreign propaganda undermining the nations security?

but sure, lets not ban it. lets not stop any foreign interference in our institutions and lets let our adversaries brain wash our population into destroying our country, but as long as we feel righteous that we have freedom right? thats all that matters?

every time someone brings up a whataboutism as a rebuttle to that, "what about american social media companies?? they are much worse", they are doing exactly what China wants. China will gladly sit by and watch our destruction, prodding it along, as we eat each other. Most people are just oblivious to it and will deny it because of how much peace we've had, and how far we've gone without a near-peer enemy. at least with this bill we can stop the bleed.

I was once a diehard defender of digital privacy and a small government, but over time I realized that the world really is not peaceful and countries exist out there that want to see our people dead. I understand it, I get it. But so many people are oblivious to foreign threats that they are willing to undermine their own country just so they can be on their high horse. It's not worth it.

what an insane take. police has existed in every form of society and it is necessary for a civilized society to function. its like being against roads, or hospitals, or public transportation.

the dichotomy of LA crime being out of control and LA people being so anti-cop will never fail to amuse me.

likely easily identified through X-ray plus given RDX has a nitrogen group, sniffer dogs would likely detect it as well. So I wouldn't bet on it being banned.

I really dislike the cartoon-ification of Nazi's, as well as the overloading of that word. It's really impossible for most people nowadays to understand the scale of industrialized hatred that occurred.

Also quote from the wikipedia article about "The Boy in the Striped Pajamas" which is shown in many UK schools as part of Holocaust education:

"Research by Holocaust educator Michael Gray found that more than three-quarters of British schoolchildren (ages 13–14) in his sample had engaged with The Boy in the Striped Pyjamas, significantly more than The Diary of Anne Frank. The film was having a significant effect on many of the children's knowledge and beliefs about the Holocaust. The children believed that the story contained a lot of useful information about the Holocaust and conveyed an accurate impression of many real-life events. The majority believed that it was based on a true story. He also found that many students drew false inferences from the film, such as assuming that Germans would not have known anything about the Holocaust because Bruno's family did not, or that the Holocaust had stopped because a Nazi child had accidentally been gassed. Other students believed that Jews had volunteered to go to the camps because they had been fooled by Nazi propaganda, rather than being violently rounded up and deported."

Not to mention that the movie has the absolute weirdest perspective of getting the audience to empathize with a German boy from a family of Nazis, not the actual victims of the Holocaust, as well as trivializing the hatred perpetuated by the Nazis. Its work like that which seems harmless to most people but it is massively damaging.

What will happen to Spaceport Cornwall then, if Virgin Orbit shuts down? Seems like a massive waste of investment then since I don't think any launch provider will take its place. Pretty grim for the UK space launch industry as a whole.

Reminds me of Kuzushiji recognition with ML, transcribing historical Japanese documents. Both are my favorite applications of ML: deciphering the past. This is really damn cool.

Given how low quality most reports are for bug bounties, putting social engineering in scope publically would be dreadful for any employees. basically just authorized mass spam. social engineering in a private pentest though, sure.

thats because people anthropormophize literally anything, and many treat some animals as if they have the same intelligence as humans. GPT has always been just a charade that people mistake for intelligence. Its a glorified text prediction engine with some basic pattern matching.

He, like most big Youtubers, probably have a large crew of people working with them. The article was written by Trevor Sesnic, the video was likely edited by others, I don't know if he did the graphics, but Tim still did a lot (and arguably did the most fun stuff). Smaller Youtubers need to do all of that, and from what I've heard editing is the absolute worst given how time consuming it is. Many Youtubers struggle with burnout centered around how time consuming editing becomes.

Tim's content is really great though, and he does a fantastic job of explaining complex topics in a welcoming way. Very similar to smartereveryday IMO, where it is just really engaging and informative content presented in a great way.

I think some of the concern is overblown, some isn't.

The Replika AI stuff is definitely concerning because it deprives people of actual relationships by subsituting something artificial that can never supplant something physical/real. Kind of like the movie Her (2013). But this is already happening with stuff like onlyfans.

The stable diffusion stuff shouldn't threaten artists, in the same way that digital art doesn't threaten traditional artists. It's just another tool to be integrated into their workflow. Use it as a starting point to refine, or for inspiration. Did early animators feel threatened by computers? Sure, but it meant they didn't need to hand trace every frame for rotoscoping. Did Phil Tippett feel threatened by CGI superceding his stop motion in Jurassic Park? Probably, but he evolved to integrate his knowledge into the CGI performances. They also ended up using scale models/animatronics for basically motion capture, using elements from stop motion. He still pursues his stop/go motion passion as well.

AI instagram models aren't anymore threatening than current instagram models, since they already set unrealistic expectations based on fake personalities and lives.

Yeah, a problem is people anthropomorphizing it and by doing so they assume it has more intelligence than it actually has. Its an interesting technology, but you're right to be concerned (as am I). I honestly don't think anything can be done to prevent it though, especially as SV companies disregard ethics and want to just produce products without thinking about the repurcussions. Maybe there will be a backlash eventually against AI as people once again strive only for human relationships. Maybe society will be stratified along those lines. The best you can hope for is that people continue to think and question.

You frame it like its a bad thing when it very much isn't; the Iranian people deserve to be freed of the current tyranny under which they struggle. A more western-aligned Iran would be best for its people and for the entire Middle East. It also doesn't negate the brave efforts of the people there protesting the regime.

eh I think its not as black-or-white. The Elder Scrolls lore is inconsistent but that is chalked up to unreliable narrators. Used in the right amount, I think slight contradiction in worldbuilding is good, and it also reduces the burden on the worldbuilder for every tiny detail to be factually consistent.