496 karma · joined June 26, 2014
Maybe don't dismiss an idea as garbage before trying to understand it.
One of the ideas here is that time is an emergent phenomenon, like how temperature and gas pressure seem real at a macroscopic level, but disappear once you look closer. They simply describe the average kinetic energy of all the molecules in the area.
The _hypothesis_ is that time could be similar.
This obviously seems silly in hindsight. Warnings about radium watches or asbestos sound less silly, or even wise. But neither had any solid scientific studies showing clear hazard and risk. Just people being good Bayesian agents, trying to ride the middle of the exploration vs. exploitation curve.
Maybe it makes sense to spend some percentage of AI development resources on trying to understand how they work, and how they can fail.
Around 100k people die from age-related disease every day. I'd be careful to dismiss that as not a problem.
We're racing up a hill at an ever-increasing speed, and we don't know what's on the other side. Maybe 80% chance that it's either nothing or "simply" a technological revolution.
There might be others, but this one is clear and to the point:
The Average Age of a Successful Startup Founder Is 45
https://hbr.org/2018/07/research-the-average-age-of-a-succes...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Woit#Criticism_of_string...
I know the word literally doesn't mean anything anymore, but Jenson and Lisa Su are first cousins once removed. Jensen's grandfather and Lisa's great-grandfather are the same person.
https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-jensen-huang-amd-lisa...
Their family tree according to Jean Wu, a former Taiwanese journalist : https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=350633737719840&set=...
I think the main point of resistance is the incompatibility with observations. All Tired light models have been falsified: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tired_light#Specific_falsified...
If you're aware of a model that can fit some or all of our observations, please share it!
- We have multiple observatories on and around the planet - The Earth is moving around the Sun - The Sun is moving around the centre of the galaxy - The galaxy is moving towards the great attractor, etc
The Copernican principle states that humans, on the Earth or in the Solar System, are not privileged observers of the universe, that observations from the Earth are representative of observations from the average position in the universe. This has been tested in various ways: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copernican_principle#Tests_of_...
A nice PBS spacetime video about the topic: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-6oU3jXAho
You can also ask how do we know that the laws of physics haven't changed over time. We don't. But at some point you have to make a few basic assumptions in order to have any hope of making scientific progress.
In the 3rd century BC, Aristarchus calculated that the Sun was between 18 and 20 times farther away from the Earth than the Moon, and proposed the Heliocentric model as a result. The true value is instead approximately 400 times. But it's incredible given that he didn't have lenses, the value of Pi, and that the Geocentric model was considered correct until 1800 years after his death.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aristarchus_of_Samos#Distance_...
Nice video about the cosmic distance ladder by Terence Tao: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ne0GArfeMs
I understand the problem is that, like String Theory, this framework has a practically unlimited supply of variables that can simply be tuned to fit existing experiments, while not offering any way to be tested.
A change in behaviour towards irrational aggression could be due to extreme stress, lack of sleep, drugs, a brain tumour, bipolar disorder, etc.
My questions:
1. Has his behaviour changed, or has he always been this unstable?
2. Are there any evidence of health problems?
> Couch was indicted on four counts of intoxication manslaughter for recklessly driving under the influence. In December 2013, Judge Jean Hudson Boyd sentenced Couch to ten years of probation, subsequently ordering him to undergo therapy at a long term inpatient facility. Before sentencing, Couch's attorneys had argued that Couch had "affluenza" and needed rehabilitation instead of prison, arguing that Couch had no understanding of boundaries as his affluent parents had never given him any. Couch's sentence, judged by many as outrageously lenient, set off what The New York Times called "an emotional, angry debate that has stretched far beyond the North Texas suburbs".
One idea is that the cause is batched inference in sparse MoE (mixture of experts) models.
https://152334h.github.io/blog/non-determinism-in-gpt-4/
HN discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37006224
https://www.ign.com/wikis/grand-theft-auto-san-andreas/Black...
> DGX GH200 enables more efficient parallel mapping and alleviates the networking communication bottleneck. As a result, up to 1.5x faster training time can be achieved over a DGX H100-based solution for LLM training at scale.
I think any from these communities (4chan, crypto, etc.) already feel marginalized. So they probably don't care what people outside of their community think about their word usage.
And according to Ken Schutte:
> this method uses the test label as part of its decision process which is not the standard classification setting and can't be fairly compared to others that don't.
Can anyone make the case that these two descriptions don't overlap? Personally I can't see how the original author can be so blasé about this.
But the YouGov poll [1] that the WaPo article is based seems to support this idea: 30% of Agnostics answered yes to the following question: "Do you believe in astrology, or that the position of the stars and planets influence people’s lives?"
[1]: https://today.yougov.com/topics/entertainment/articles-repor...