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mindcandy

1,201 karma · joined February 11, 2019

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mindcandy··on Bitcoin Is Time
That is true only to the extent that proof of work has already been performed. You have to stake something of value or POS doesn’t work. Staking a POW coin to “mine” a new POS coin works. So does burning a POW coin to convert it to a new POS coin that can be staked for more. But, you can’t bootstrap a POS coin without leveraging proven investment from previously burned work.

At this point Bitcoin and Eth have about a trillion USD of built up burned work. Is that enough to prime the pump for a POS-based world economy? I dunno. Probably?

mindcandy··on Bitcoin Is Screwed
This is a very bad-faith argument. It basically comes down to "Bitcoin doesn't replace civilization in a single stroke. So, there."

"There are no power stations without a central authority." is a clever twist of words. It's a false statement that sounds true. There are lots of power stations. They are not under A central authority. They are under huge number of centralized authorities locked in a symbiotic/adversarial relationship. The USA can't stop North Korea from powering Bitcoin miners. That's not a happy example. But, it's a strong one.

I've heard of great strides towards decentralized power generation and distribution in Europe. Particularly Germany. But, I don't know the details. I do know that one thing crypto is exceptionally good at is recording, publishing and paying for attribution down to micro details. I would be amazed if someone hasn't started some DistributedPowerCoin. It won't be a Bitcoin script. But, it might be backed by Proof of Staking Bitcoin.

"Can't produce chips and have a computer supply chain without a working legal system." Bitcoin doesn't attempt to replace the legal system. Arguing that it fails to accomplish something it does not attempt to do is bad form. Ethereum hopes to eat a large slice of the legal system's pie. But, that's another topic.

But, in general Bitcoin does not set out to replace central governments entirely. It seeks to reduce their power over individual finances. Arguing that failing to achieve crypto anarchy means failing entirely is not convincing.

mindcandy··on Our Thoughts on Bitcoin
You don't need those things to get Bitcoin. You need those things to stay out of trouble with your government. If your government and financial system is broken it's even easier for you to get Bitcoin because no one is demanding you jump through their tacked-on hoops.

What Bitcoin gives you in this case is that you and I can be in two different broken countries with adversarial governments, but you can I can still transact from around the world without the blessing of our broken governments or their broken banks.

mindcandy··on Coinbase S-1
That was attempted by many companies during the ICO craze a couple years ago. It took quite a while for the FTC to issue guidance on just how they expect such offerings to work and remain on the FTC’s good side. What they eventually came up with was useless. Basically, you could pre-sell coupons for service discounts. Pretty much anything else would get you in trouble. And, so we don’t hear so much about ICOs any more.
mindcandy··on Coinbase S-1
It’s not a trope. It’s being realistic about the problems and advantages of crypto. Problem: Counterparty risk from crypto exchanges is much, much higher than that of traditional banking. Advantage: Self-custody of crypto is much more secure than stuffing stock certificates under your mattress. Solution: Exchange crypto on crypto exchanges. But, don’t rely on them for custody any longer than necessary.
mindcandy··on Coinbase S-1
It has already happened dozens of times and no one noticed. Probably the only such fork that anyone here has heard of is Dogecoin. And, that one only took off as a collective running joke.
mindcandy··on Nvidia announces mining GPUs, cuts the hash rate of RTX-3060 in half
ASICs are great for Bitcoin because B’s algo strains the math features of a chip. An ASIC can bake a whole iteration of the algo into a single, huge instruction.

Many people in the community don’t like ASICs in crypto because they believe their high cost and rarity creates a hurdle for mass adoption. Every kid playing games on their computer has a GPU, but it’s much harder for that same kid to get their hands in an ASIC. Mass adoption by all kinds of people, not just already rich corporations, is important to the security and the mission of crypto.

In response, Ethereum was designed to have an algo that stresses your RAM rather than your processor. This reduces the advantage of ASICs tremendously. You can’t drive RAM much harder than GPUs already do. And so, Eth and many other memory-hard cryptos are still mined on GPUs.

mindcandy··on Bitcoin is a disaster
Bitcoin Cash is about trying to make transactions faster and cheaper by increasing the block size (and rate?). Upside: Might be able to use it directly to buy coffee with a reasonable UX. Downside: would likely lead to a small number of huge machines managing the world's blockchain. The Bitcoin Core group really wants people in poor nations to be able to run their own Bitcoin nodes on their cell phones eventually. They value decentralization above UX.
mindcandy··on Bitcoin is a disaster
Agreed. There have been 21 million forks of Bitcoin with all manner of modifications. You don't hear about them because practically no one agrees with them enough to mine/trade/use them. You could make your own fork in an afternoon. The hard part is convincing anyone else to care.
mindcandy··on Sony acquires anime streaming service Crunchyroll
A billion dollars is not bad for a site that started as a fake-it-til-you-make-it piracy site. I only know the story 4th-hand. But, my understanding is that it started as a user-upload site (I.e. piracy with disclaimers). And, of course, the seed users were actually employees with puppet accounts pirating media to their own site.

That kicked off real users who competed on getting the highest quality subtitle jobs uploaded quickest after the first broadcast of a given show in Japan.

Once viewers outside of Japan learned that they could get episodes same-day as Japan, they flocked to CR. Of course, this was only possible because CR did not attempt the impossible task of convincing the producers to allow this to be possible.

Once the CR audience was high enough, there were two obvious consequences: 1) They were too big to fly under the radar and were likely to be sued soon. 2) Their audience was large enough to be offered in negotiation with the publishers for a legit contract. So, that's what they did. They offered a fair revenue split with the publishers in exchange for being a legitimized distributor.

There are lots of ways that this could have gone badly. Most piracy sites do as much as possible to exploit the material and the viewers for short-term gain. Most publishers reasonably lawyer-stomp such sites as fast as is feasible.

But, in this case it worked out. There's no way CR could have negotiated with the publishers up-front. They were starting with nothing at all to offer. No audience. No reputation. No capital. Nothing.

Their approach was not legal. But, it was small and respectful-ish enough to not be worth suing until it was large and respectful-ish enough to be worth negotiating with.

Do not recommend this business plan. Glad it worked out for them.

mindcandy··on Elections, Bitcoin and M2
You could spin up your own Bitcoin fork in an afternoon. The difference between Bitcoin and x87678rCoin is confidence. No one knows or cares about x87678rCoin. x87678rCoin has no track record or evidence that it will be maintained and supported by any ecosystem in the long run. Until x87678rCoin proves itself, it is contributing nothing to the supply of cryptocurrencies. Zero.
mindcandy··on Elections, Bitcoin and M2
If you are living in the US, not homeless, getting paid US dollars via direct deposit, paying for your lattes with a Mastercard, then there's not much need for Bitcoin for you beyond 1) a speculative bet on it taking off globally. 2) a speculative hedge against the US dollar greatly losing value in the next decade.

But, if you are living in the confines of an backwards/broken/oppressive financial system, runnaway inflation, oppressive restrictions/sanctions, outright kleptocracy then Bitcoin is your sanctuary. It's complicated, risky, slow and tremendously better than what billions of people are dealing with from their local governments/banking systems.

mindcandy··on Testimony to House committee by former Facebook executive Tim Kendall
> stop it from happening with proper information.

Well, when the product is mis-information that has been carefully tailored, evolved and tested to counteract proper information...

mindcandy··on Testimony to House committee by former Facebook executive Tim Kendall
Near my office in SF there is a guy who sits on the street corner with his pants rolled up so you can see that his calves were pretty much just two big, open, leaking sores as a side effect of so many injections. I bought him some bandages but he wouldn't use them until the end of the day because showing them off got him more sympathy money that he needed in order to purchase more injections. The motivation center of his brain has been completely hijacked by a product. Suffering to death is no longer a concern for him. Only the product matters.
mindcandy··on Testimony to House committee by former Facebook executive Tim Kendall
There are very similar issues with YouTube's "Rabbit Hole of Extremism" [1]. YT's algo has noticed that "mild" extremist content gets views and by feeding you progressively more extreme content in series, people get sucked in. I expect this wasn't even planned. It was generated.

It got my father. Living in rural area, cable/satellite TV became too expensive and low quality. So, us kids paid for an internet connection for him. Given only YouTube to inform him, he went from a generally relaxed redneck to talking about how "black community is a lost cause" and "we need to glass (nuke) the middle east and take their oil" in a very short time.

We got Netflix for him and he's calmed back down some. But, definitely not back to where he was before.

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/06/08/technology/yo...

mindcandy··on 'Street Crisis' team to replace San Francisco police on mental health calls
Mostly because they don’t know who else to call.

Not long ago I saw a very ragged man stumbling around and he just curled up and went to sleep in the middle of a busy road. What to do? I can stand and block traffic. But, he’s not listening to anyone and I’m not going to grab and drag someone who is that far gone.

Thankfully, before I called the police another (very likely homeless) person was braver than me. He did grab the passed-out dude, got him to his feet and over to the sidewalk to lay back down.

I’m not happy with any aspect of that event -especially not myself. But, I only had two options: get myself into a potential wrestling match with someone who was very much out of their mind, or ask a cop to do it instead.

mindcandy··on The largest unknown Bitcoin wallet moved nearly $1B for $0.48 in fees
Remittances are one of the big, obvious use cases where crypto can save poor people a ton of money. To the tune of a collective $40-50 billion a year. https://academy.binance.com/blockchain/blockchain-use-cases-...
mindcandy··on Bitcoin Mining’s Three Body Problem
The point of the numbers is to prove that you heated space. Seriously. It proves that you burned value that you know you are not getting back if you are caught falsifying records for the system. And, everyone knows its extremely hard to not get caught if you try. Therefore you can be trusted to sign records for the system because you are risk:reward tremendously more financially motivated to be a good actor than a bad one --including whatever nefarious scenarios you might imagine.
mindcandy··on Anduril, a startup from Oculus founder Palmer Luckey, now valued at $1B
It should be for a lot of people. But, for more than enough people, it’s not. And, even if it is obvious, the drama it promotes even among the knowledgable is a big negative I’d prefer to avoid on HN.
mindcandy··on Brave Improves Its Ad-Blocker Performance with New Engine in Rust
I was over-sensitive. Dancing with highly refined trolls on other platforms does that to a person.
mindcandy··on Brave Improves Its Ad-Blocker Performance with New Engine in Rust
You never said it. A reasonable person would infer it.

I spend too much time arguing with trolls on the internet for fun. I don't think you intended to, but your post uses a lot of techniques widely used by trolls such as: linking to the complicated, full explanation while telling an edited, "technically true" version that can be misinterpreted by a low-effort reader. Having an escape hatch is very important to them.

Again, I don't think you are trolling. You just ticked off the checklist of a troll by accident. I'm only being a pest in the hopes that in the future you'll put more consideration into how your writing is interpreted by low-effort readers.

Text is such a crappy medium for casual conversation. It's amazing the internet hasn't burned itself down.

mindcandy··on Brave Improves Its Ad-Blocker Performance with New Engine in Rust
You are implying that they are doing something nefarious by omission. Because it’s implied, you also gave yourself the escape hatch to say “Where did I say that?” When called out on it.

A reasonable person reading your comment would think you are claiming the Brave team added code to surveil your network. If they dig deeper through the link you provided, they learn that the reality is that they inherited code from the Chrome team that exists only to support Chromecast. The problem has been found, a bug has been filed and the feature will be removed.

But, most people won’t dig. They’ll take your comment at face value and walk away with a very different story than the reality.

Now I sound like I’m accusing you of being nefarious :p But, I don’t think you planned out spreading FUD. I think you were dissatisfied and wanted to share a strong version of your user story. Unfortunately, your story is so strongly worded that is ended up resembling techniques used by trolls.

mindcandy··on An impending funding crisis threatens Zcash
"Can the community save itself from the impending crisis" is a bit clickbaity when the funding cut-off has been an explicit step in the plan from the beginning.
mindcandy··on Bitcoin causing CO2 emissions comparable to Hamburg
In case you were wondering what the carbon footprints of the top cities were: http://citycarbonfootprints.info/

    Urban Cluster Footprint(Mt CO2)
    Seoul 276.1 ±51.8
    Guangzhou 272 ±46.2
    New York 233.5 ±75.4
    Hong Kong SAR 208.5 ±37.8
    Los Angeles 196.4 ±43.7
    Shanghai 181.0 ±44.6
    Country of Singapore 161.1 ±34.1
    Chicago 152.9 ±37.2
    Tokyo / Yokohama 132.8 ±21.4
    Riyadh 118.8 ±26.4
    Dubai 110.8 ±31.0
    Wuxi 110.4 ±25.8
    Johannesburg 105.2 ±19.9
    Tehran 104.4 ±28.2
    Moscow 99.5 ±22.5
    London 98.9 ±21.8
    Benha 87.2 ±15.6
    Beijing 83.7 ±19.1
    Jakarta 83.7 ±15.6
    Al - Ahmadi 80.6 ±19.3
    Miami 80.3 ±21.9
    Samut Prakan 80.0 ±17.9
    Paris 78.0 ±25.5
    Dallas 76.9 ±16.0
    Tianjin 71.4 ±20.4
    Istanbul 70.9 ±16.0
    Detroit 70.6 ±15.4
    Philadelphia 70.2 ±19.5
    San Jose 70.0 ±19.7
Hamburg is ranked #129 at 18Mt. By these numbers, Bitcoin's 22Mt is closer to Kansas City at #106. Kansas City and larger cities sum up to 5001.3 MT.
mindcandy··on Report finds wealth of top 1% up $21T, bottom 50% down $900B since 1989
I think the message is more about general inequality rather than individual progress. Over the past 30 years the histogram of wealth distribution has skewed even more heavily to whomever happens to be at the top at the moment.

We've gone from approximately a 12:1 ratio for 1%:50% to about a 150:-1 ratio. -1!

mindcandy··on 8chan served with search warrant [pdf]
You are aware that mentioning the god Kek is a post-hoc explanation, right? People care about kek-themed stuff because of World of Warcraft. The tie-in to Egyptian mythology was a convenient coincidence.

Regardless, you might not be a hate filled racist. But, a whole lot of hate filled racists use the Kekistan flag as a thinly-veiled symbol of hate filled racism. So, be aware: that's the message conveyed to the world at large when it is shown. Not Egyptian mythology.

mindcandy··on 8chan served with search warrant [pdf]
"Any community that gets its laughs by pretending to be idiots will eventually be flooded by actual idiots who mistakenly believe that they're in good company."

DarkShikari, Hacker News, 2009, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1011498

mindcandy··on SEC Charges Kik With Conducting $100M Unregistered ICO
Hey... I'm not citing. I'm not even arguing. I'm quoting their answer to your question.

Supposedly Kik did seek clarification from the SEC and didn't get any. Then they received an enforcement action which is supposed to include details about the problems involved and the actions to be taken, but it contained none of those. Since then, they have been working for a year to get any kind of detail from the SEC, and the SEC has declined.

Personally, I think the root problem is that it seems the SEC is wildly under-funded and over-loaded. If a politician ran on a platform of election & campaign-finance reform + fund up the IRS & SEC; you couldn't call me a single-issue voter, but maybe a "2-issue voter" in that dream scenario.

mindcandy··on SEC Charges Kik With Conducting $100M Unregistered ICO
<Remember Bitcoin came out in 2009>

Patrick Gibbs:

> First of all, you have to consider the SEC’s normal process for that sort of thing. It is very difficult and it takes a very, very, very long time for the SEC to give that kind of forward-looking advice, usually in the form of a no action letter. I mean, here we are in 2019 and they have only just recently released what I think is the very first no action letter relating to a cryptocurrency and that matter has been pending for well over a year.

> So it’s not practicable in a business that’s moving as quickly as this business was in 2016, 2017, to go and ask the SEC for a no action letter like that because the process just takes too long, and in a situation where in our view it’s quite clear that what we were doing is outside the scope of the SEC’s authority, we don’t generally think we have to go and ask the SEC’s permission to engage in business activity that is outside the scope of their authority.

https://unchainedpodcast.com/kin-sets-up-5-million-defendcry...

mindcandy··on SEC Charges Kik With Conducting $100M Unregistered ICO
Note that Kik has expressly stated that they have really wanted this case to go to court for some time now. They strongly believe that the SEC guidance so far has been vague and non-committal to the point of becoming damaging. They believe they have a case that Kin is not a security and that the Howey Test is being mis-applied to many cryptos. By going through with the suit they hope to fast-forward more concrete guidance from the SEC.

https://unchainedpodcast.com/kin-sets-up-5-million-defendcry...

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