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monob

24 karma · joined December 11, 2017

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monob··on How inflation swindles the equity investor (1977)
Ten years?

People have been saying that since before Clinton got in office.

Catastrophic inflation from government spending has been just around the corner for 40 years now. The 1970s were an odd time for many reasons, and they won't repeat again. But for some reason too many people base their predictions of the future from what happened between 1974 to 1984.

monob··on E-Stop and Fuel, software that keeps you awake at night
Fixed point isn't any better than floating point.

If anything errors in floating point numbers are graceful and give you a lot of leeway before they become catastrophic. Fixed point works until you hit 2(n-1) bits then probably breaks unexpectedly. Where n is the last exponent you have seen in business.

monob··on The U.S. will impose duties on solar equipment and washing machines made abroad
That's a very naive way of looking at the world.

Economics is only allowed a free reign so long as it meets the goals of those currently in power in a given political unit.

Try selling nuclear technology to Iran if you don't think that it applies to the US as much as to China.

Doing it strategically to prevent a nuclear war 30 years down the line is the lesser of two evils.

monob··on One Bitcoin miner is buying 20,000 16nm wafers from TSMC per month
You have use value and exchange value.

Exchange value is most often price, but it is in reality the vector of the equivalent amount of goods and services you will receive for a unit of some good or service.

The point of money is that it collapses all exchange values to two vectors, one for selling to money, one for buying with money.

The downside of money is that it hides many very obvious relationships. In a topical case, that the cost of video cards has essentially stayed constant when expressed as etherium units.

tl;dr: money lets you calculate prices as n, exchange values needs n^2.

monob··on The U.S. will impose duties on solar equipment and washing machines made abroad
Because it destroys the local industry which you will need at some point.

As simple example: the British supported the German chemicals industry prior to WWI.

At the start of WWI, the money the British spent had been turned into German chemical expertise. This lead to the development of the Haber process, poison gas, and generally making Germany a powerhouse in chemicals in the same way Britain was in mechanical manufacturing.

If a tariff had been put in place on German imports to Britain the German chemical industry would have been much smaller, with much less capability and WWI would have finished in 6 months because Germany would have run out of nitric acid for their explosives.

monob··on One Bitcoin miner is buying 20,000 16nm wafers from TSMC per month
It's first mover advantage in the same way surviving is a first mover advantage. You're fine if you're profitable, but with constant improvements that won't be the case for long, unless you too start moving to new technology.
monob··on 82% of Wealth Created in 2017 Went to the top 1%, says Oxfam
If no one cares about wealth I'm sure the wealthy won't mind a 100% wealth tax then.

After all it's only numbers in a bank account.

monob··on A simple makefile is a unicorn
>This is the very same narrative that vim users proclaim

Sounds like a solid reason why makefiles are great to me then.

Vim is so good it finally is letting emacs-OS have a real editor.

monob··on Bitcoin and almost every other cryptocurrency crashed hard today
First the mempool clears, second >30% of top value.
monob··on Bitcoin and almost every other cryptocurrency crashed hard today
This is the 4th time this has happened.

Why is anyone surprised? The only shocking thing about this bubble is that it took 3 years.

monob··on Bitcoin price plunges $2,000 in 12 hours as year-end rally fizzles out
A good predictor if the latest bubble has burst is if the suicide hotline number is a sticky on the bitcoin subreddit.

Currently it isn't there so we have a while yet.

monob··on Tesla big battery outsmarts lumbering coal units
>The citation that it works is in the article.

What worked in the article?

It only says the battery supplied less than 2% of the lost power for about 5 seconds before regular power generators took over.

monob··on Tesla big battery outsmarts lumbering coal units
>It's important to note it is something special. The battery works, and it works better than the existing solutions.

[[Citation needed.]]

How much was the shortfall?

How long could the battery have sustained the shortfall?

How much damage would there have been at the usual response time?

How what is the ROI without government subsidy to building huge battery storage?

monob··on Modern life is lonely – We all need someone to help
Best by food availability, shelter, labor.

Given that even in good years a large portion of the population was malnourished in whatever time period you want to pick before the middle of the 20th century, the rich were always better off than the poor and rich families were better than poor ones.

monob··on How the Winklevoss Twins Found Vindication in a Bitcoin Fortune
A sale larger than the demand would.

An every day analogy: saying a river can never flood because there it has a big dam.

monob··on Modern life is lonely – We all need someone to help
"Back then" you would try and kill your oldest brother to inherit the 2 chickens and a goat your parents would leave to him.

Read no further than the histories of nobles and their feuds and murders to see how bad the best families were.

monob··on There are now more than 200k pending Bitcoin transactions
>It’s not a currency. It’s digital gold.

Abstract: A purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash would allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.

https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf

monob··on Modern life is lonely – We all need someone to help
The only people who long for a large family are the ones that aren't in one.

Look at how much constant violence and bullying there is between any siblings when an adult isn't around to stop it.

monob··on Firefox is on a slippery slope
>If this code had been in core-Firefox, we'd never have noticed it. Counter-intuitively, maybe it wouldn't have felt as invasive, because I know that Mozilla controls core-Firefox, not me. (And I choose to defer to their judgement, because my other options are to defer to Google or Apple.)

The code is available. I'm pretty sure the tor project would have noticed it.

monob··on Firefox is on a slippery slope
I'm saving you a t-shirt for when you finally see the light.
monob··on Firefox is on a slippery slope
Honest question:

Pretty much every site on the internet does that.

Why are we spending 500 replies and all this developer time on an issue that if done by, say google on their home page, would be considered at best a fun little doodle at worst business as usual?

monob··on Firefox is on a slippery slope
Kernels aren't any more important than compilers, xorg, user space utilities and so on. That Linux managed to get its name on the whole stack doesn't mean much. You might as well be complaining that linux distributions are vulnerable to power outages.

If anything the major distributions are defined by their package managers, of which there is a large and healthy number - aptitude, dnf, pacman, protage, and a heap of weird and wonderful other ones with minuscule usage.

monob··on Universities spend millions on accessing results of publicly funded research
In physics at least you need to write and typeset your own papers for the most part.

Look at arxiv.org, that papers there are made purely by academics from start to finish and are already publication grade (if not better).

monob··on New silicon structure opens the gate to quantum computers
Do you have a paper on approximating NP complete problems and the bounds on the error in the solution?
monob··on NASA to test prototype Kilopower nuclear reactor
Inverse square law. Every n AU you go out from the earth you will need n2 are of mirror to focus on a solar panel to get the same power. That assumes you can even build a structure that can keep that shape.

Say you have a mission to Uranus, you will need a mirror with 400 times the area of the solar cells to get as much power as they would in earth orbit.