Hacker News Reader

nathan_youngon A single firm is behind OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta hacking scandals

Seems like hackernews should use a bridging algorithm for flagging.

nathan_youngon A single firm is behind OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta hacking scandals

Stop being rude. There were multiple OAI hacking incidents. Irregular's evals were involved in some but not the HuggingFace hack. Hence Aesthesia is both accurate and precise.

nathan_youngon Bird Flu Risk Dashboard Using Prediction Markets (Current Risk "Low Chance")

If there is interest here I may add other streams. Would you sign up to such a site?

nathan_youngon Bird Flu Risk Dashboard Using Prediction Markets (Current Risk "Low Chance")

Happy to answer questions as to the sources used (Kalshi and Metaculus) and the conditional probabilities assigned: - P(bird flu as bad as covid | 10,000 US cases) = .5 - P(bird flu as bad as covid | CDC travel advisory) = .1

nathan_youngon Launch HN: Codebuff (YC F24) – CLI tool that writes code for you

They came out of Manifold. Though I acknowledge that doesn't really answer your question.

nathan_youngon Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

Ad what % is it crazy shit? I'm at about 7% of human disempowerment/exctinction, so it probably won't happen. Am I crazy?

nathan_youngon Effective Altruism’s obsession with AI safety helps bury bad behavior

According to a study of 700 ML researchers (not AI safety) the median chance that that the long-run effect of advanced AI on humanity will be “extremely bad (e.g., human extinction)" is 5%. And 48% of respondents gave an answer of 10% or more.

Even if this is 2 orders of magnitude too high it's worth a lot of our time. But these are probably mainly normy researchers not AI safety-ists. https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/#...

nathan_youngon A Movement to Stop the Covid-19 Pandemic

If you see any tech tools or data please add them here:

Coronavirustechhandbook.com

nathan_youngon UK Election Tech Handbook

A lot of these tools have very little money or support. Some of them have had 1m+ views last election.

If something interests you, you could offer to help the developers involved.

(disclosure: I am involved in the project)

nathan_youngon UK Election Tech Handbook

Please add it in.

nathan_youngon UK Election Tech Handbook

We (Newspeak House) would love to see one created. If you know people in that space, put up some tech and share it. Feel free to use our template if you credit us.

nathan_youngon UK Election Tech Handbook

Feel free to edit text to note if tools are biased/add tools with different biases.

(disclosure, I helped initiate the doc)