naveen99

They could just do it through azure or aws. Also, at these numbers a pseudo merger between OpenAI and Anthropic could happen. There is no anti trust anymore. It’s all the same owners for all these companies… the only anti trust is between usa, Russia, Europe, China, and the middle powers.

Sam raised a $100B in previous round. I think a direct listing ipo would see their valuation go up to $4T, and then they could do some at the market sales as needed.

This valuation is a function of early accumulation of compute. They could rent it to Anthropic, or poach more Anthropic engineers.

No it’s a retroactive open invitation.

anthropic futures on binance dropped again today. why don't they just do a direct listing and then atm share sales ?

eventually data centers will go on fire sales just like downtown commercial real estate.

Astra and Claude were trained by peg bundy?

Bottleneck is intelligence, not experience.

Kind of like the old days of human gatekeepers.

google was just hoarding the tech… money invested in openai came from somewhere probably as profits (just re-allocated by the shareholders rather than management)

The stocks in the index funds are picked, just by a committee. And there are a few competing index funds.

Raising children is a lot of work. I guess to complete the circle, children would pay the father back with interest or grand children when they grow up.

Single party state still has elections. You still have to get the votes. You just don’t have 2 layers of voting (primary for party, then secondary between parties). The primary is the final election. I guess the confusion is where the intersection happens between bottom up voting and the top down appointees. Not too different from corporations… there is some merit based promotions from individual contributors, but at some point in the middle management , you get a bunch of yes men because of the top down control…

Yes

Same as currently, jointly negotiated

Men get a child. Yeah, it’s almost all doable in current legal landscape. Just not so socially accepted. the default parenting contract could be per child…

Men would obviously the buyer…. Most would need financing… (baby mortgage) Would probably need a Fannie / Freddie cousin if the market got overheated and a bubble pop happened.

theoretically some women could pay some quality fathers for coparenting , but it would be rare.

Foster care is for other people’s children. I think having her genes in the children would make a professional mother a little more attentive to her children. Also better quality parenting would allow her to charge more…

The current situation artificially limits supply of mothers because it requires relative exclusivity of the father. It’s like nimby people not wanting apartments in their cities to limit supply. Except imagine if nimby’s were able to ban apartments all over the world. That’s the situation with motherhood. It’s single family zoning world wide…

Of course it sounds dystopian and is not about to happen anytime soon. Because cartel’s don’t give up policies that limit supply so easily…

If women were (legally allowed and required ) to be paid upfront for delivering and raising children, the market would sort things out. We would probably get some professional mothers who would have 6-12 children.

If the ai is good enough to do the homework, it should be good enough to check the homework.

I mean some people are good at Tetris and some aren’t. Tetris can tell you which ones are which.

Or maybe general ai that is more efficient independently than humans is still far away.

We already have plenty of cheap alien intelligence outside our borders that gets throttled at the border…

How many more generations of 6 children per woman do you think they have space for ?

They do scale if the examiner is an LLM.

I would rather have SpongeBob making my burger patties than squidword. More intelligence is better than less intelligence.

South Korea is more densely populated than India. Exponential growth comes to an end when there is no more room.

Optimization of medical care in usa is mostly limited by regulation and fear of lawsuits. Neither of which is going away. You can always get cheaper care in other parts of the world.

Vets see animals, not humans.

I wonder if ai can help doctors reclaim their practices, as the bureaucracy of dealing with insurance may become easier. Administrative overhead must be cheaper with ai. It was the main reason for consolidation and giving up management to hospitals and private equity.

So automode is still dangerous. Make it not default again ?

A little premature given ai is still not smart enough to pay for itself and defend itself in a hostile environment.

And pointless when it is.

Reminds me of when the colleges went sat free. Pacing human intelligence at the high school level.