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njovin

1,937 karma · joined October 18, 2012

Founder of TallySpace and Mapil.co, former Director of Engineering at Zingle (before and through acquisition by Medallia, now at GoodPill
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njovin··on Claude Fable 5.2 Scores 65 on Artificial Analysis, Highest So Far
Hire product managers and salespeople to build and sell a practical, useful, profitable, scalable, product.

Nag, fuggit. Let's just burn all the capital in the world and ride it into the flames.

njovin··on Claude Fable 5.2 scores 65 on Artificial Analysis, highest so far
This has got to be a minor reason why adoption of AI isn’t faster.

Businesses like predictable costs and predictable performance.

If your new model is slightly better but crazy expensive, but doesn’t have to be with certain settings, but my user can accidentally run it that way by mistake or maybe your harness makes it the default by accident and the user doesn’t notice…

My beloved predictability is destroyed and trying to get users to understand this is useless.

Imagine a streaming subscription that worked like this: “We’ve updated our catalog with more movies. If you want the premium ones though you only get 2 per week and then you have to wait. But if you do mostly classics and a few from the 2010s you can squeeze in a recent theater release. If you time it right and do only one every day you can see 30 modern classics this month, but you can’t watch three today. Also your bill this month is $40 instead of $20 due to the library update”.

njovin··on I'm not convinced the AI bubble exists
Nearly every bit of logic here demonstrates a gross misunderstanding of the entire industry.

No acknowledgement of rising energy costs and problems accessing it.

Thinking you can just “turn off free users to save costs” (screw having a pipeline, I guess).

Not understanding the bespoke nature of data centers as it relates to the finite-living chips they’re designed for.

No acknowledgement of interest rates to service the massive debt they take on over the extremely long build times of the data centers.

No recognition of open weight models severely undercutting the American leaders.

This whole thing seems to be written on vibes.

njovin··on US FAA says it will phase out floppy disks from air traffic control by 2028
Everything they try to spin positively has to be 'historic' because:

1. The party leader is a fragile, dying narcissist who is desperate for his name to be attached to anything other than the misery he's inflicted upon the world.

2. Their _actual_ historic achievements are all war crimes, human rights violations, and policy changes that would terrify their average supporter if they actually understood the long-term consequences.

njovin··on A map of 5000+ midterm ads
> Voting is a chore

In some states, sure. In many, you simply fill out a form and drop it in your mailbox. Takes approximately ten minutes, which you can do on the toilet if pressed for time. No driving, no waiting, no money spent.

If your state doesn't allow this, it's time to vote in new representation and fix that.

njovin··on Anthropic's growth just flattened
Interesting angle to blame the slopmaxers when the AI companies have been pushing maximum usage for a while now.

I assume they’d hoped that the value of the spend would manifest itself and they could raise prices. The opposite happened and companies are instead cutting back.

It sounds to me like they chose a poor marketing and pricing strategy for a product that is very difficult to make cost effective.

njovin··on Anthropic reports $17B in Q3 revenue, commitments of $895B in revised S-1
It’ll only be profitable because they’ll enshittify it with ads.
njovin··on Anthropic Cracking Down on Video Game Rewrites
Hard to justify your trillion dollar ladder when there’s I can get the darn good Chinese one for a fraction of the price and they provide the plans.
njovin··on Cormac McCarthy's Library
You nailed it. I have a full sleeve tattoo with elements nodding to The Road. For me “carrying the flame” is the lasting message of the book and it’s one of hope and courage.
njovin··on DoorDash to Acquire Instacart
AFAIK in every US state a company can fire you for any reason that’s not protected, and “we told you this was okay but changed our minds” is as good a reason as any in the law’s eyes.
njovin··on MacBook Pro with PROLED XDR Display and Touch
In my limited experience providing tech support for family members with touchscreen laptops, it's awful. The touch-targets are mostly designed for mouses, so they're easy to miss. Your screen gets filthy. Moving from keyboard to screen and back is tiring.

I'm sure there are good use-cases, but IMO everyday average-home-user computing is not one of them.

njovin··on Anthropic S-1
Can't speak for GP, but I hold a similar 'justice doomer' viewpoint for two reasons:

1. The current president has shown no hesitation about pardoning anybody he owes a favor to or feels allegiance from.

2. SCOTUS has give the office of the president basic blanket authority to do anything and everything under the sun for "official acts".

3. Half of our two-party system has abdicated all oversight powers for the current administration.

When you combine those 3 things, it's hard to imagine how somebody like Trump or Elon could possibly face federal consequences. Hell, Trump could say he launched his shitcoin "as an official act to help prop up the failing Biden economy" and I don't imagine SCOTUS or anyone else would push back much.

njovin··on Redesigning source control at Anthropic
You still commit the ADRs and keep backups. Adding agents to the loop doesn't free you from the basic responsibilities of developing software.
njovin··on Xbox Turns Down Netflix $500M Offer
None of those are exclusive to xbox.
njovin··on Anthropic S-1
I have a hard time believing that making “a really good harness” justifies pre-ordering half the world’s GPU compute for years in advance.
njovin··on Xbox Turns Down Netflix $500M Offer
What exclusive IP does Xbox even have anymore? They tanked all the studios that were doing good work for them and AFAIK Halo’s done.
njovin··on Maybe There Was an Egg Cartel After All
By this logic we shouldn't prosecute serial killers, just confront them with evidence to ensure they won't murder agin.
njovin··on Redesigning source control at Anthropic
I’m not advocating for no source control, but you can avoid loops like this with Architectural Decision Records. If you’re real lazy, let the agent maintain the ADRs and they will usually call out when these “painted into a corner” scenarios happen and you can then reason them around it.
njovin··on The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening
Another caveat: many of that same group seem to have a shared delusion that they’re birthing a super intelligence, and those are the same ones claiming the vertical curve.
njovin··on AI needs $6T in annual revenue to justify data centre boom
I don’t think Zitron is recommending anyone short anything. That’s carries a ton of risk.

What you consider “losing money” I might consider “choosing not to participate in an ongoing global financial scam at the cost of my retirement growing slightly slower for a while”.

njovin··on macOS 27: Workaround to avoid downloading AI models and save storage
It's 14GB of something I don't want, need, nor have any use for, on a machine that is notorious for making storage upgrades difficult.
njovin··on Replacing Pull Requests with Delta
I've been running a latest-1 version of a few of their products on silicon Macs since M1 w/ 8GB RAM without issue. I use minimal plugins and work on medium-sized codebases and their IDEs are some of the most reliable software I use.
njovin··on Steam Frame starts at $1059
Everyone is missing maybe the biggest point - this isn't just a VR device. You can run some/many (depending on your library) of your regular Steam games on a 'flat screen' inside the VR environment, which makes this much more like a SteamDeck with a giant private screen for a lot of people.
njovin··on Starbase, LA
I'll bite. Things we had in December 2024 that we no longer have today, all of which contribute to the success or failure of major initiatives:

- 2.9% inflation - Billions of dollars of grants for state-run energy projects - NATCAST - Healthy & stable funding for the sciences - Competent leaders at the federal and military levels to oversee large complex projects - Healthy partnerships with allies

Specific actions that have been taken by Trump (backed by Musk) that caused us to lose the above:

- Starting an unnecessary war with Iran - Cancelling grants for energy projects specifically in blue states - Imposing nonsensical tariffs on trade partners - Starting a full-blown trade war with Canada - Alienating other allies, ex. starting a middle-east conflict without any alliances (excl. Israel) - Specifically closing NATCAST because "illegal" - Gutting of science funding by DOGE & others - Removal of competent leaders & prioritization of loyalty over competence when choosing staff

I have a hard time taking anyone seriously when they bring up anything about Trump having a positive impact on manufacturing in America. For 4+ years he's been lying to the American public about how tariffs work and claiming that US consumers paying more taxes to the US gov't in the form of tariffs is going to 'return' manufacturing to the US. We have almost half a million unfilled manufacturing jobs in the US - explain to me again why this is a capacity problem?

njovin··on Grand jury declines to indict Ohio man charged with destroying Flock camera
Let's add Palantir to the list while we're at it.
njovin··on Don't be a meat proxy
We once interviewed a candidate for a senior engineering position and when asked what his primary role was at his current job, he said "I mostly make sure that nobody changes the software".

He wasn't wrong, and his role was still valuable to the company.

njovin··on Apple Will 'Watch Everything Burn' When the AI Bubble Bursts
A better way to frame this might be that Apple tried VR and quickly realized the market wasn't there and moved on.

Compare that to Meta, who went all-in (so much so that they changed the company name) despite apparent overwhelming user apathy toward the product.

The estimates I've seen say that Apple spent ~$10b on their VR program, whereas Meta is in for about $80b.

njovin··on Data centers have hiked electricity prices on the public by $23B
The hill to die on might be the one behind your house that has a nice view of the illegal methane generators that these data centers are using, because they sure as hell aren't running on solar.
njovin··on ICE to Pay Thomson Reuters $125M to Find Voter Fraud
This is a core misconception about how the 2020 election results have been investigated.

Trump has hired multiple qualified firms to find fraud in the 2020 election and thus far none of the reputable ones have found any.

> they might take this evidence seriously

Whether the cause is global warming, vaccines, election fraud, the effect of gender rights on society, or any one of the military actions being taken by this admin - the only time evidence matters is when it aligns with their previously -held biases and can be yielded as a weapon.

The rest of the time (read: almost all of the time), it doesn't and is swept under the rug or called fake, without any counter-evidence to back that claim up either.

njovin··on ICE to Pay Thomson Reuters $125M to Find Voter Fraud
Doubtful, the ones I still receive come from people faking caller IDs so these are not good actors and can simply continue abusing the system.
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