HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

notch898a

305 karma · joined January 30, 2023

I do not adjust my comments or behaviors in response to moderation requests.
submissionscomments
notch898a··on First-Citizens Bank to assume deposits and loans of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank
We just burned ~1/6 of it on a single bank...
notch898a··on First-Citizens Bank to assume deposits and loans of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank
~$60 / person. You can be certain the banks will pass on the "special assessment" in a way that won't be regressive against the common person. Certain.
notch898a··on Capabilities of GPT-4 on Medical Challenge Problems
Meanwhile for late childhood to to mid adulthood, 99% of my visits have been a doctor listening to me for 2 minutes tops while applying what amounts to a flow chart of how to diagnose and treat something like strep. Yes a doctor is best, but remember in many places we're competing with "no access do doctor so just pray it doesn't go to Rheumatic fever."
notch898a··on Capabilities of GPT-4 on Medical Challenge Problems
The medical cartel loves to cloak their policies under the auspices of safety. In the end you'll find their policies magically result in massive profits for bureaucrats and chokepoints that constrain the supply of gatekeepers. This is not accidental.
notch898a··on Capabilities of GPT-4 on Medical Challenge Problems
The only significant ways I'm aware of that people get needed rx medications outside of physicians and mid-level practitioners is to leave the country or use "vet"/"animal" drugs. What are the simpler other alternatives currently available?
notch898a··on Capabilities of GPT-4 on Medical Challenge Problems
Yes but the difference is most engineers, and pretty much all lowly programmers are unlicensed. AI or some non-human accessible in the countryside so you don't have to order questionable "fish" antibiotics or "cat" anti-parasitic would be a nice step up from the current gatekeeping of medicine from people with limited access.
notch898a··on U.S. home prices are the most unaffordable they've been in nearly 100 years
It would save a lot of money on demolition though. The plumbing, cabinets, appliances, doors, ducting, and everything not fixed to the frame would get removed for free and it would be very easy to bulldoze after the house catches fire from people trying to stay warm inside without paying a utility bill.
notch898a··on U.S. home prices are the most unaffordable they've been in nearly 100 years
Ah yes, East Cleveland. One night I was biking home, one of the locals took note of my weakened position with a flat tire and that my skin color denoted I was not from the neighborhood, and they put a gun to my head. If you buy there, I recommend availing yourself of Ohio's constitutional carry provisions.
notch898a··on U.S. home prices are the most unaffordable they've been in nearly 100 years
Personally I don't give a shit if people can sit on their house forever at -5% real interest rates or whatever. Just let me build a shack out of chicken wire, 2x4s, and tin roof. If you get to rig the game to get a house the least you can do is let me build something with whatever scraps are left in the financial system.
notch898a··on The Pocahontas Exception
It's not declarative. In Hawaii it's decided by a committee, if they decide you're the wrong race your ("homeland") land lease will be rejected. I'm unsure of how it works for property ownership in American Samoa, but it is probably similar. (In Hawaii racism only determines a fraction of the land however, in American Samoa I believe it is most the land).
notch898a··on The Pocahontas Exception
US still has explicitly racist policies. For instance:

To apply for Hawaiian homelands land lease you may be: any descendant of not less than one-half part of the blood of the races inhabiting the Hawaiian Islands previous to 1778.

Guess who was shipwrecked in the Islands before 1778? Spaniards. You think someone with Spanish/Euro "race" blood can get a Hawiian Homelands lease? Fuck no.

Also see racist policies of American Samoa.

notch898a··on Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
>There's nothing the fed can do to escape this one, it's either massive inflation or massive recession.

The fed knows this. They should make it explicit to the common, ~100 IQ, joe six pack American. It's infuriating watching them act so carefully as to pretend to try and not spook anyone.

notch898a··on More Americans are using ‘buy now, pay later’ services to pay for groceries
Nothing, please just don't be the guy I saw with a brand new car literally clearing out the unattended "little food bank" stand to sell stuff on facebook marketplace (while audibly complaining about the low value of the DVDs also placed in there). Sadly when I see the new car kind of people that seems to be what they're doing.
notch898a··on More Americans are using ‘buy now, pay later’ services to pay for groceries
If you add up all three of those (25% using for towing, 30% using for offroading, and 35% for hauling) I get something like 85% as the upper bound (unlikely, but no overlap case) of people using it for those truck purposes.
notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
I have a feeling most of the way it happens is someone just says they are going to a border town and just ... don't stop. IF the pilot doesn't care about losing his license (i.e. they're being paid Do Kwon kind of money) and those on the flight manifest aren't returning, doesn't seem like there's much they'd be able to do.
notch898a··on More Americans are using ‘buy now, pay later’ services to pay for groceries
There are several (most?) credit cards you can settle it nightly if you like.
notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
I don't know. You could ask him. Look up @rabite. The dude is exiled from the banking system so I doubt he'd be too eager to give up his properties in Ukraine.
notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
The genius of many conspiracy charges is the crime is basically "did bad stuff" where "bad stuff" is anything from drug distribution to murder.

So whether ross killed or distributed the drugs, he was guilty of X.

The genius of the conspiracy charge is the jury can be convinced of drug distribution but not the murder. And the judge could be convinced it was murder and not distribution. But they both fall under "bad stuff" so the judge isn't even wrong when they sentence him for "bad stuff" as murder is "bad stuff."

The fact that the elements of bad stuff for the judge is different than elements of bad stuff for the jury is almost an after thought. And hey, you can't say he didn't do bad stuff.

Taken this to the extreme, I wonder if someday they will have a crime that is just called "felony." The jury just has to be convinced you smoked a left handed cigarette, at which point obviously you're guilty of "felony." Then the judge can promptly forget about the cigarette and decide on preponderance of the evidence just what elemenst of "felony" you comitted and sentence that based on what she thinks is more likely than not.

notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
Do you truly see nothing wrong with creating a generic conspiracy charge, showing beyond a reasonable doubt that some element of that conspiracy was true, and then saying "sentence him for any element the judge finds true by preponderance of the evidence, no matter if that was the element(s) on which the jury convicted him."

I can't say I'm thrilled that the standard is guilty beyond reasonable doubt, unless we find you guilty of some other element, in which case murder-for-hire magically becomes preponderance of evidence. I will say the justice system and society agrees with you, so I acknowledge this is one of those times I just have to sit here with a profound sadness about something over which I have little control.

notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
Should Al Capone have been treated like a usual tax dodger?

Of course. Al Capone being cited so often is precisely why I believe he should have been treated like a usual tax dodger for the tax crimes and treated like a murderer for any murder convictions. I would much rather Al Capone go free than short-circuit justice in this way.

notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
Ross was convicted on the generic conspiracy (which does not depend on violent acts) and then sentenced on preponderance of the evidence of the individual possible overt act that one of the conspiracy acts was murder for hire. Not sentenced based on beyond reasonable doubt he did the murder for hire.

The fact is the way "prosecution actually works" is you accuse someone of a generic conspiracy, show some element of the conspiracy was beyond a reasonable doubt true (like drug distribution), and then go to sentencing considering any element by preponderance of the evidence. It's a chilling short-circuiting of justice. Ross wasn't convicted of violent acts beyond a reasonable doubt, he was convicted of a continuing criminal enterprise where a judge thought it was more likely than not involved murder-for-hire.

notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
But yet not evidence he was convicted of anything but non-violent internet crime.
notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
The lesson learned from Ross Ulbricht is that there's a good chance it's Leavenworth for non-violent internet crime.

Edit: per usual folks come out of the woodwork to accuse Ross of murder-for-hire despite the fact he was not convicted of any murder related charge, only generic conspiracies for which the overt act could have been a number of options (such as drug distribution). The jury never specifically said the overt act they convicted the conspiracy was murder for hire, yet the judge sentenced him as if he were guilty of that.

notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
google 'felon warrant fires police'

I'm honestly shocked I'm forced to even cite that this happens. Although I suppose if someone has lived in America and made it to adulthood without acknowledging the stories they aren't going to be convinced.

notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
The question is why he wouldn't cross the land border and then fly from there. Customs is rarely checking passports as thoroughly on the way out as on the way in. The thinking was probably the risk was the same since he was entering the airport anyway, but failed to account for risk of having passport checked in then out instead of just out.
notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
Have you ever been in a jail cell? Almost every day in the US you see someone who decides to go out with guns blazing rather than go back.
notch898a··on Do Kwon arrested in Montenegro: Interior Minister
Weev went to transnistria, stayed the 1 year it takes to get the passport, and then somehow is living in Ukraine off that passport despite the fact it isn't even recognized by Ukraine. There's also several other 'microstates' that recognize Transnistria's passport, so presumably once you have it you can stay in one of those places. If a fugitive doesn't mind living in a bumfuck mountain or desert with nothing but a cow and a woman they'll probably be fine.
notch898a··on How the last-ditch effort to save Silicon Valley Bank failed
Honestly I just thought that was the way banking was done. I don't send a lot of wires (and everybody else I have dealt with were even worse).
notch898a··on How the last-ditch effort to save Silicon Valley Bank failed
Yes my bank says that, but as soon as I actually do it they suddenly have to "do KYC" aka hold it up for days and give me lots of bullshit reasons why an already thoroughly KYC'd account needs to wait for a wire because reasons. Meanwhile not only can you not access the money in either of your accounts, the bank is drawing sweet sweet overnight IORB interest on it.
notch898a··on Why construction projects always go over budget
Based on your recommendation of the "pretty serious degree" to the extent Rothbard has managed to decrease government, I have decided to donate a token amount to the Mises Institute in your honor [0]. I gotta say until now I thought he was just a fringe actor with minimal influence and perhaps at most 1 or 2% of representatives even know who he was.

[0] https://i.imgur.com/yu05Gde.png

← PreviousPage 4 of 19Next →