Hacker News Reader

p1eskon The Little Book of Generative AI Foundations: An Intuitive Mathematical Primer

Wow, this book is surprisingly readable! I like how he starts from basics of linear algebra.

p1eskon William Nordhaus has died

Why did he believe what he claimed? Did he have any arguments to back it up?

p1eskon Cerebras Deploys Trillion-Parameter AI Models

what might be useful to you (e.g. coding) might be completely useless to 99% of the people

p1eskon Dream-1

how are you going to afford a house when you're competing against $3.00 hr labor?

You rent a couple of robots who will build it for you for $3/hr.

p1eskon Dust: Pretraining Transformers Without Backpropagation

And yet the best learning algorithm we have is derivative-free!

p1eskon LeCun has "zero concerns" about AI wiping out humanity, recent "rogue" incidents

It must have had shifted already by 96-97. I remember how I used it in AI discussions back then and it meant “the opposite of narrow AI”, which makes it very similar to how we use “AGI” term today. Consciousness was considered to be a potentially emergent phenomenon, not a required property.

p1eskon LeCun has "zero concerns" about AI wiping out humanity, recent "rogue" incidents

We called it “strong AI” in the 90s

p1eskon Samsung is expected to more than double output of its HBM4 and HBM4E DRAM

People want to produce hbm because it’s more expensive and more profitable than regular memory.

p1eskon AI recursive self-improvement might not come so quickly after all

theres very little danger of anyone letting it go without a purpose

We literally just saw how OpenAI’s model got out and hacked HuggingFace

p1eskon We must pace the frontier

We have nuclear reactors, helicopters, and self driving cars already. And we finally have powerful AI that we could only dream about just 5 years ago.

We now have everything we need to scale up humanoid robot training: algorithms, hardware, and money to buy a lot of training data/compute. Fierce competition and strong economic motivation will force rapid progress in this field.

p1eskon We must pace the frontier

Meanwhile in the real world hundreds of billions are being invested into humanoid robot development. In 2-3 years my Optimus 4 will do all the gardening and plumbing I need.

p1eskon Cognition's SWE-2 achieves 92.8 on Terminal-Bench 2.1

It’s very far from Fable on benchmarks that matter, like TB4.

p1eskon Cognition launches new SWE-2 model, Rivaling Fable 5.1 and GPT-Astra

Astra is 58%. The current title says it's "rivaling Astra"

p1eskon Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

I’ve never played against a grandmaster, but I have a feeling that he/she would play very different compared to me and would never make mistakes I could notice. Though admittedly I’m not very good at chess.

p1eskon On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem

They said they will automate AI researchers by March 2028. I personally think it will happen by March 2027.

p1eskon Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

Could you tell the difference between a grandmaster and stockfish if playing them online? If not, why would you care which one you are playing against?

p1eskon Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI

I've hired many AI research interns (and was one many years ago), and I agree with them - frontier models are currently at the level of an average AI research intern.

p1eskon Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI

I'm currently running two 24/7 semi-autonomous AI research projects using Fable 5.1. It's on track to burn through my weekly quota in about 3 days. I check progress in the morning and in the evening, and provide some light steering.

p1eskon Research acceleration: The view inside OpenAI

What has all this token burn done for them, actually?

They have been consistently pushing AI frontier. What other impact do you want to see? A year ago they said that in a year they will have a level of capabilities of an AI research intern - I believe they have achieved it, even before Astra.

p1eskon OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3

Interesting, you think a random educated person would beat Astra on Vending-Bench 2? Honestly I would not make that bet, I think it would be 50/50.

p1eskon OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3

Ok, but a random educated person will not perform well on vast majority of specialized tasks where professionals operate. A model like Astra probably will beat random educated person performance on majority of specialized tasks. It’s getting close to the level of professionals in many domains, and to genius level on some (e.g. math).

I’m just trying to understand the implications of the current frontier model capabilities.

p1eskon OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3

Sorry, I don’t know what this means when applied to intelligence

p1eskon OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3

capability to match or surpass human intelligence across all conceivable cognitive tasks

What human intelligence do you mean? Genius? Professional? Educated? Random person? “Dumb” person?

p1eskon Mom gets 6-month suspended sentence for letting 5-year-old walk to the pond

Because it's their job to enforce rules. Don't like the rule? Go vote for someone who will change it.

p1eskon Mom gets 6-month suspended sentence for letting 5-year-old walk to the pond

I have no idea what "free society" means. Honestly.

p1eskon Mom gets 6-month suspended sentence for letting 5-year-old walk to the pond

The main lesson here is: don’t be confrontational with cops.

p1eskon Aging brains blend memories together instead of just forgetting them

Our brain consists of approximately 86 billions quantum computers [2] controlling tens-of-thousands chemical neural networks with at least 10 coefficients

By that logic, a Blackwell GPU contains 208 billion quantum computers.

Each transistor is a quantum mechanical system and takes hundreds of model parameters to describe. So apparently a GPU is a 208-billion-node quantum supercomputer.

p1eskon How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?

Kurzweil predicted in the late 90s that we will have AGI by 2029. And ASI by 2045. Seems very likely to me.