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peytoncasper

250 karma · joined February 4, 2020

https://peytoncasper.com
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peytoncasper··on $1.5B lithium deposit discovered in Maine; excavating it poses a legal challenge
Genuinely curious, what are the alternatives to the three?

1. Mine lithium 2. Drill oil 3. Do nothing

You have to store energy somehow, even if the entire world shifted to walking everywhere. Goods still need to traverse the world and thus far there hasn't been anything else with a high enough energy density to get close.

The argument being made is that if mining lithium becomes more popular, its likely to lead to advancements that do limit its ecological impact and provide a more sustainable method for storing energy...

peytoncasper··on Plans to shift aviation from magnetic navigation to true navigation
I mean the article mentions that GA (General Aviation) has pretty much adopted GNSS at this point. And its likely that airliners can afford the cost of INS as a backup system along with the other backup mechanisms mentioned in the article.

"Today, however, navigation by global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) – backed up by ring laser gyro-stabilised INS/attitude and heading reference system platforms, radio beacons and air traffic control surveillance using multiple technologies – means that aviation has no real need to use a magnetic reference."

Lastly, I would imagine the inclusion of AHRS systems as backup still supports a mission critical VFR/IFR type of flight.

In the event of GPS jamming, I doubt non-critical operations would operate given the heightened risks.

peytoncasper··on AWS is playing chess, Cloudflare is playing Go
Isn't this to be expected though?

Early on, optimizations are everywhere which allow you to pick the low hanging fruit. Ideally, this gets passed onto the consumer.

However, over time, the optimizations become more costly to develop and less of them exist.

Just the other day I got a notification from GCP about new Spot Instances driving prices down by 80% which exceeds their existing preemtible instances.

Similarly with AWS releasing Graviton instances offering better performance and cheaper pricing.

I think egress fees have always been the catch, and I don't think they've seen much price changes over time. So I am excited to see it, but I wonder how much of that is due to the current one directional nature of cloud migration.

Most people are moving to a single cloud. As a result, there probably hasn't been a ton of demand to negotiate the outbound movement. We can debate the merits of the lock in nature, but I don't think that technological improvements really help here. This is just a decision to charge for bandwidth or not.

peytoncasper··on Stanford Researchers Build $400 Self-Navigating Smart Cane
This is incredibly cool, I had no idea that smart canes were a thing. It kind of reminds me of the little arrow pointing a walker or biker in a specific direction, but with added collision detection.

Also neat to see that it improved the users confidence allowing them to walk faster.

I wonder what price target would make these more practical.

Additionally, I wonder how the device handles going over a curb and potentially loosing a few degrees of precision each time?

peytoncasper··on Some reasons to work on productivity and velocity
I would argue that assembly line workers were once craftspeople.

Craftsmanship still exists, but it’s specialized and focused on products that can demand the higher price.

Is this not the same with software?

CRUD work is almost infinite and demands higher output at the expense of quality.

Contrast that with unique OSS projects, and defining product features.

peytoncasper··on Hyper – Sell Memberships to Discord and Telegram
I really like this idea, but as someone that isn't that involved in Discord. I would love to see a top hits list of current communities using Hyper.
peytoncasper··on Narrative Distillation – The shifting sands of tech IPOs
Great article for sure. I think the conclusion of traditional IB being a bartender and investors no longer wanting to be restricted by the bartender a very interesting conclusion.

It does beg the question who is there to take away the keys at the end of the night?

It’s probably 50/50 that IBs actually played this role as opposed to regulators.

It also helps to explain absurd valuations. In the absence of a set of rules, valuations can be anything as long as the story is good enough. As the legend grows, so does the treasure contained in the chest.

peytoncasper··on There are six internet links on my office on wheels—seven when Starlink arrives
Never knew Speedify was a thing. What a great idea and I’m sure something that is standard in industrial applications or LTE routers.
peytoncasper··on IBM Power10 Coming to Market: E1080 for ‘Frictionless Hybrid Cloud Experiences’
I agree to some point with the other commenters. But the reality is that almost every enterprise of any size will be hybrid cloud for quite some time if not forever. It’s impossible to lift and shift everything at once which means you need the infrastructure to connect those environments regardless.

On top of that you’ve still go some applications that run on platforms that just aren’t compatible and will need to be either rebuilt or left to run on-premise indefinitely.

Additionally, getting back to their other comments. I think there is some logic around data being viewed as “heavy” given the egress costs on most clouds. Having one place which you can easily upload data to any new environment that pops up for cheaper seems like a decent idea. Then again, a lot of money related things can be solved by simple contract negotiation, so maybe it’s not worth it.

peytoncasper··on Protein and Transpacific Power
“China is far and away the global leader in aquaculture production (“farmed” marine protein, vice “capture” fisheries in the world’s oceans) at 68.4 million tons produced annually, while the US checks in at 490,000 tons. Similarly, China’s capture fishing activities utilizing its massive commercial fishing fleet is reported to generate another 14.4 million tons of protein, while US fishing is comparatively much smaller at 5.35 million tons.”

I want to echo, this article was incredibly informative. That being said, I had no idea there was such a massive imbalance in seafood production which I assume also relates to consumption.

peytoncasper··on Surveilance bill rushed through Australian parliament in 24 hours
Really appreciate the detailed answer @sjy! That makes sense, so it seems odd to me that this article is claiming this is effectively "warrantless". Functionally, it sounds like law enforcement still have to present their case to a judge and then there is a path for recourse on behalf of the citizen.
peytoncasper··on Surveilance bill rushed through Australian parliament in 24 hours
Interesting. I’m not from Australia but I thought the concept of an Administrative Appeals Tribunal interesting. It seems like a way to offload work from the main court system. According to Wikipedia it also does seem to have oversight by the Federal Court of Australia. [1]

While I agree that this seems like a massive overstep. The actual body seems similar to the FISA court in the US. There wasn’t any detail in the article but I would hope there is a massive audit trail on the ability to modify data or impersonate someone online.

Anyone have any additional details on the AAT’s effect on the average Australian citizen?

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Administrative_Appeals_Tribuna...

peytoncasper··on Docker Desktop no longer free for large companies
There reality of this is that Docker is setting themselves up as an enterprise software business. Like the one they spun out a short while ago.

You as a developer won’t be involved with purchasing Docker subscriptions. Instead they’ll have sales teams that approach your IT department who will pay for support reasons and pre install Docker Desktop on all company hardware.

That’s why this is only focused at larger companies. This gives IT departments someone to call when a developer reports a problem.

peytoncasper··on The dream of carbon air capture edges toward reality
The sense of scale is fascinating.

Each facility will have a goal of scrubbing 1 million tons of CO2/yr.

However, we currently emit 30+ Billion tons of CO2/yr.

peytoncasper··on Ask HN: Managing career progression for those with no interest in progressing?
While this is true, I think it's also fair to say that it's not easy to just become a contractor. It requires just as much growth as climbing the ladder.

Learning how to manage your time, network, insurance, etc. In addition, you're competing for an ever shrinking pool of work which naturally limits the amount of work available and thus competitive participants.

Also, I've worked with customers that have a ton of this "not broke software". The reality is that these systems present major bottlenecks in providing modern experiences around the data they manage. People spend a lot of time working around the limitations of these systems under the guise that its too expensive to replace.

peytoncasper··on Apache Arrow Datafusion 5.0.0 release
I might be wrong on this, but I don't believe this is a replacement for Spark. Rather this is similar to the Spark SQL execution engine.

I don't believe there is any focus on providing a distributed execution environment, rather platforms like Spark and Flink could integrate DataFusion as an implementation and expose the API for Apache Arrow operations.

peytoncasper··on Adidas ends Reebok era with $2.5B sale to Authentic Brands
I don't technically disagree with you, but I do think this is just a bit hyperbolic.

If you just spent $2B on a company, you probably did it to make money at the end of the day. After all, business is rarely charitable.

The company you just acquired likely has a declining and unhealthy cash flow and little to no cash reserves. You're unlikely to go and then infuse it with more of your capital. As a result, you're going to turn to outside capital to finance whatever plans you have.

These plans are used as justification to creditors with which to take out these loans at whatever interest rate they deem appropriate.

Additionally, you're likely going to reward yourself for any profits or turn around that does happen at the company. After all, you do have $2B tied up in this company.

I agree, these companies are now more than likely walking corpses. As an employee, I probably wouldn't want to be stuck there as there is likely going to be little spent on employee retention and growth.

However, it also does provide extended life to these brands that with a declining cash flow and no outside leadership change would likely meet the same fate and likely much quicker at that.

As with everything, there is a spectrum. There are likely examples that did exactly what you just said. And there are also probably examples where the business turned around and went public again some day. The vast majority are going to sit in the middle, with no sinister plan and slowly fade away as the last customers stop giving them money.

I think it's unfair to paint the companies being acquired as perfect companies. They have likely already lost customer confidence and as I mentioned in my first post can't find a path to growth. After all, that is why they are in this position to begin with.

The morality of this process can certainly be debated, but I think it's fair to say that most people don't invest a lot of money into a business just to run it into the ground as quickly as possible. It does exist, no doubt, but running a firesale is far from the most profitable way earn money on your investment.

peytoncasper··on Adidas ends Reebok era with $2.5B sale to Authentic Brands
I think they do what other private equity groups do with medium sized tech businesses. These companies are usually profitable to some degree, but don’t really have a pathway to growth.

This generally makes the unattractive to most investors. However, companies pick up these brands, remove redundancies by combining core aspects of different businesses, try to increase profit margin and just ride it out.

Rinse and repeat and you build a portfolio. Once one dries up, you pick up another. A bit like combining good and bad loans together. As a package the good ones can support the bad ones to a degree.

peytoncasper··on Can Redis be used as a primary database? [video]
Then you have the question of how to query it efficiently.

You can’t scan 1 year of data every time, so now you need some type of external process that can either pre-compute those metrics (not flexible) or a compaction type process that makes it manageable to scan all that data.

Which is basically the trade off between something like stream processing or compaction in a database.

peytoncasper··on France issues moratorium on prion research after fatal brain disease strikes
Ah apologies. And Bleach is utilized in the labs to denature the prions appropriately. You're correct that autoclaves are not used as heat unfortunately is not enough to kill them.

Its like 100% bleach.

peytoncasper··on Triton: Open-Source GPU Programming for Neural Networks
I believe this is more of an optimization layer to be utilized by libraries like Tensorflow and JAX. More of a simplification of the interaction with traditional CUDA instructions.

I imagine these libraries and possibly some users would implement libraries on top of this language and reap some of the optimization benefit without having to maintain low-level CUDA specific code.

peytoncasper··on France issues moratorium on prion research after fatal brain disease strikes
I just wanted to add a comment about your muscle bulk comment. Protein in protein shakes is usually denatured or rather just a collection of amino acids.

Proteins that are synthesized by the body have a structure to them and Prions are simply misfolded representations of those proteins.

The process of destroying a Prion involves denaturing it by removing its structure.

I don't believe that muscle tissue is anymore related to Prions or structured proteins than any other part of your body as the protein that we eat is simply amino acids or building blocks for creating things like tissues.

It does beg the question though, could some of the advancements by DeepMind help us understand how to unfold Prions more effectively than using Bleach.

peytoncasper··on Tesla AutoPilot – I give up, it's downright lethal
I'm not justifying how Tesla's assistance works as I've driven a rental and it really is glorified cruise control right now.

That being said, I have a Honda with assistive braking and it is terrible. Shadows, pot holes, ghosts all seem to cause it to brake and not in predictable ways which is frustrating. I only leave it on, because I imagine one day I won't quite react fast enough to someone in front of me and it will save me the pain of rear ending someone.

But I definitely almost did when it slammed the brakes on a highway off ramp and got me rightfully honked at by the car behind me.

Whats worse is I'm not even sure if mine could receive updates at any point. Maybe at the dealership.

peytoncasper··on Clubhouse is the big stinker that nobody wants to talk about
I unfortunately don’t know how the numbers break down. However, I see a lot of people that use Facebook for groups. As a result, I wonder how much of their engagement is driven from people posting inside of various groups that might be private.

It might lead to the situation that OP describes where most of the “forum” conversation has died down but it’s thriving in various segments.

peytoncasper··on Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President
I'm sure it's successful to some degree. They bought it, because it was a successful enterprise implementation.

That being said, I'm not sure why I would leverage OpenShift on IBM Cloud when I can get practically the same thing from the other providers with a stronger ecosystem of tooling.

Which leads me back to OpenShift on-premise and I'm just not sure that is where the market is at or headed right now.

peytoncasper··on Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President
Cloud is the new mainframe. And IBM Cloud is terrible in comparison.

All you ever hear about is how challenging Kubernetes is to manage. IBM invested in self managed Kubernetes essentially while everyone else built SaaS Kubernetes Engine’s.

IBM feels like a collection of revenue lines that hasn’t really tapped into any new streams lately.

peytoncasper··on Peter Thiel turned a Roth IRA into a $5B tax-free piggy bank
I'm not sure I would pick a number if I am honest, but I can understand that a number probably exists.

If this wasn't Thiel but rather someone else who made 60k/yr or 120k/yr, I don't think this would even be a conversation. So what if they turned their Roth IRA into 100 million.

In my opinion that is encouraging the right behavior and the intent. Investing 2,000 per year of their wages and trying to be somewhat forward thinking about their retirement.

Now there is the open question of if an average person is able to truly analyze such investments, but I think that is a separate issue as well.

peytoncasper··on Peter Thiel turned a Roth IRA into a $5B tax-free piggy bank
I think that's fair, although, and correct me if I am wrong. Its his current income tax, so it's highly likely that his income tax bracket is lower than the cap gains tax that would normally be applied on investments like this.

That being said, I tend to agree. Its to prevent double tax in which you're trying to promote a better investment. Your long term health and retirement.

peytoncasper··on Peter Thiel turned a Roth IRA into a $5B tax-free piggy bank
What is your limit on how much money should be "sheltered" by a Roth IRA?

At the time Thiel was not an ultra-wealthy billionaire. From the article.

“I said, ‘If you really think this is going to be big, you know, you might want to consider this new Roth,’” recalled Anderson

The Roth IRA is intended to be a retirement vehicle for people to make contributions too with the intention of it not being touched till after retirement. As a perk, it is not taxed.

Maybe its not within the "spirit" of the law, but I hardly see how trying to create incredibly granular restrictions on start up founders or people that believe they have a better investing strategy is the right approach.

What about making it easier for normal people to have access to the same IPOs that Thiel had access to?

peytoncasper··on A compact quantum-computer that fits in 19-inch server racks
Genuinely curious then. When you say that it can't do anything that my laptop can't do. Is that based on simulation of actual quantum methods with all of the quirks or simply traditional algorithms?

If it's not truly simulation, there seems to me a ton of value in having even a little bit of access to something like this.

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