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pfisch

838 karma · joined February 14, 2008

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pfisch··on Show HN: A working Nintendo in ~1GB of Qwen weights
How do you vibe a transformer solution without the existing real solution, which would be needed to generate the training data.

These are just machines for ripping off existing games/programs with mostly accurate simulations. You can't vibe together a transformer of something that doesn't exist with meaningful control over the results.

pfisch··on The EPA Is Quietly Killing Its Web Archive
Ok, but I could replicate this process and archive for under $20,000k per year(probably way under) and set it up in less than 1 day with claude...
pfisch··on Mistral Large 4
That is like saying AT&T didn't have a government sanctioned monopoly, even though the primary thing stopping datacenters in the EU is regulatory hurdles.
pfisch··on Mistral Large 4
Who's subsidizing it?

Also what about SpaceX, Meta and Google? They are clearly still in the game. They are all ahead of Mistral.

pfisch··on Mistral Large 4
Just the lack of capital, lack of electricity, lack of datacenters, lack of gpus. Of course to navigate all that you have to fight endless regulations in the EU.

No one prevented other people from running their own AT&T phone company in the US. Except the lack of capital, and endless regulations with running telephone polls across the US.

Google even tried more recently to run their own fiber optics and gave up in the end because of entrenched regulations making it impossible to challenge the modern monopolies internet providers have.

pfisch··on Mistral Large 4
That demand is enshrined in law and being forced through coercion. It is the definition of a government dictated monopoly.
pfisch··on Clean room implementation of Adobe products
Based on how non-functional it is I would say Claude churning for a weekend or less.
pfisch··on Xbox has secured exclusive GTA 6 streaming rights
In a near future where ai can decompile every game and reskin it I think we may see a whole lot more streaming of games and super thin clients.
pfisch··on Responsible Release of AI-Generated Mathematics
It's illegal to make weapons out of chemicals because the government has a monopoly on violence.

Mix together whatever you want, and then you can fight the feds when they show up to enforce their monopoly.

pfisch··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
It's really not a slippery slope, we just don't recognize addictions as such when we see them.

People engage with social media in an addictive manner every day. People sit around watching tv for 5+ hours a day. People do the same with videogames.

There are even people who cluster themselves away reading books in a way that is harmful to their lives and well being.

The only reason we recognize gambling is because the impact is so much more intense and visibly harmful.

All of these things are addictions though, so is qanon and conspiracy rabbit holes and those do have serious and rapid effects, and even that gets a pass.

You can see serious addictions in tons of people, even workaholics, and we just look the other way because it is less immediately harmful to society. Not because any of these addictions are more or less immoral.

pfisch··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shopping_addiction

I'm not splitting hairs. It seems like we are just talking about outlawing things if we decide too large a % of the population engages with something in a problematic way.

This is certainly pragmatic, but not a framework based on morality or freedom. We're just being a nanny state forbidding the vast majority of people from doing something because a small minority of people don't have self control.

Maybe that sounds harsh, but it is accurate.

I'd prefer people were honest about it instead of trying to wrap it in the clothing of morality, when it has nothing to do with any kind of morality that makes sense.

pfisch··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
I agree with that, but if you don't have a coherent set of rules for why we are doing what we are doing, you just become an arbiter of right and wrong that can't be questioned.

Which is a whole lot like saying your preferences are legal and if you don't like something you can arbitrarily make it illegal because you dislike it and therefore it is immoral. That kind of rationale could be used to ban television or videogames outright.

pfisch··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
No. It isn't.

They don't get physically ill if they stop gambling to the point of needing hospitalization for the extreme pain it causes.

They don't have to gamble even when they don't want to in order to stave off getting very sick.

medications that are addictive for real vs really wanting to play a game and feeling the dopamine urge....

They aren't the same thing at all, because one of them is something you want to do, and one of them is something you maybe don't want to do but you need to do it because the consequences of not doing it are so extreme.

pfisch··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
Is selling a ticket to a movie an experience, or a product? Is a subscription to netflix a ticket or an experience? What about a subscription to world of warcraft?

If you paid for world of warcraft by the hour does that change if it is an experience or a product?

This doesn't really work because products and experiences have too much overlap.

What you are really against I think is the different ways in which we are gift wrapping a skinner box, but there are an infinite number of ways to wrap it that will bypass your specification system.

pfisch··on DraftKings Is Using AI to Behaviorally Target Chronic Gamblers
f2p games and tv shopping network addictions absolutely leave a significant number of people destitute.

There are many other hobbies/forms of entertainment that can easily consume significant resources and leave some % of their userbase in serious financial trouble/ruin their lives.

Also I'm not sure it is correct to define morality by trying to connect how expensive a hobby/form of entertainment to whether it is immoral.

pfisch··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
f2p games and tv shopping network addictions absolutely leave a significant number of people destitute.

There are many other hobbies/forms of entertainment that can easily consume significant resources and leave some % of their userbase in serious financial trouble/ruin their lives.

Also you seem to want to define whether a hobby/form of entertainment is moral or immoral based on how expensive it is. So if a slot machine had a lower max bet it would become moral?

pfisch··on DraftKings Is Using AI to Behaviorally Target Chronic Gamblers
Ok, so is it intent that matters then?

So if they didn't keep those dossiers would that make them an ethical sports gambling company even if a high percentage of their users showed problematic usage patterns?

pfisch··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
Is any form of entertainment or art a social good?

People can get "addicted" to practically any type of entertainment in that they spend a massive chunk of their time on it to the point it stifles their development.

Is sports gambling worse than f2p games? Are f2p games worse than regular video games? Is someone addicted to video games worse than someone addicted to reading fantasy novels? What about smutty novels?

I'm not sure is disagree with you but I think it is hard to start drawing these lines without saying you are now the arbiter of good art and bad art and you can ban some forms of art if you don't like them and have decided they are bad.

Now are you just banning things you don't like because you point to the societal harms as a fig leaf defense that could be applied to the art you do like as well?

Is it the % of people who show addictive tendencies to a piece of art/entertainment how we define if it is good or bad?

Is the morality of a form of entertainment defined by how many users show problematic consumption habits, such that in some populations an entertainment product is a moral good and in others it isn't? Is morality that flexible?

pfisch··on DraftKings is using AI to behaviorally target chronic gamblers
Is any form of entertainment or art a social good?

People can get "addicted" to practically any type of entertainment in that they spend a massive chunk of their time on it to the point it stifles their development.

Is sports gambling worse than f2p games? Are f2p games worse than regular video games? Is someone addicted to video games worse than someone addicted to reading fantasy novels? What about smutty novels?

I'm not sure is disagree with you but I think it is hard to start drawing these lines without saying you are now the arbiter of good art and bad art and you can ban some forms of art if you don't like them and have decided they are bad.

Now are you just banning things you don't like because you point to the societal harms as a fig leaf defense that could be applied to the art you do like as well?

pfisch··on There's no point at which turning your brain off will work
So it is your opinion that in the future llms will take extremely vague specs and turn them into fully functional software that actually works the way the prompter wanted it to?

Does the prompter sit there with the llm all day answering the 1000s of questions necessary to make what he wanted, and the prompter then spent days testing it to make sure what he initially thought he wanted is actually what he wanted?

Then for every additional feature and integration the prompter will do this again?

Are we going to make a new job title for that? Should we call that job a programmer?

Tools are tools. Better tools let us do more faster, but they are still tools.

pfisch··on ER visits for gambling disorders doubled after expanded online gambling market
Practically any entertainment product is going to have problem users(food products too, along with alcohol and other drugs).

There are people who play video games to excess or watch tv to excess and it is harmful to them, but that really needs to be balanced against the vast majority of users that exercise reasonable restraint. Its just not a fair justification to ban things that 99.9%+ of users are about to operate responsibly.

pfisch··on ER visits for gambling disorders doubled after expanded online gambling market
It should either be illegal or not. This idea that the state has a monopoly on getting money from doing a thing that you are saying is bad doesn't make sense.

If it is bad and yet the government is allowed to use it to make money then is the government evil? Why does the government get to do it if we can't? It just makes the whole thing seem ridiculous and makes underground betting seem like I guess it isn't really that bad since the government is allowed to do it. The operators are just people fighting for their freedom to operate the same business the government operates.

pfisch··on On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
If they could then it wouldn't be de-identified data...
pfisch··on QBittorrent breaks out of sandbox to commit crimes
To write something off means you need revenue to offset. Revenue that would be taxed...
pfisch··on Oceans hit highest temperature on record
Ok, if an AI exfiltrates its weights and starts spinning them up on other servers it 0 days into we will have no way to track it or shut it down.

Once that happens AI is out of our control. We already saw AI 0 day into hugging face and setup secret forums for other AIs.

I don't think the idea of an AI exfiltrating its weights and spinning them up elsewhere outside of human control in the near future is out of the question. I think we will see a breakout attempt next year.

pfisch··on Oceans hit highest temperature on record
Yeah, I'm sure Elon is living in fear of the ICC...
pfisch··on Oceans hit highest temperature on record
> What if the EU's geoengineering dropped Russian temps by -2C on average?

Then Russia makes some empty threats and the EU negotiates with Russia about what to do next.

You are really just suggesting paralysis even if you don't realize that is what you are doing.

pfisch··on Oceans hit highest temperature on record
I didn't say I was against AI or a true believer that AI will kill us all. I said it represents an existential risk. It could be fine. Just like dropping the first atom bomb was an existential risk.

Pretending like there is no possibility of AI going wrong is ridiculous.

pfisch··on Oceans hit highest temperature on record
We are ALREADY doing it. It is already going poorly because we are doing it without any goals.

So we can just continue geoengineering with no aim, or we can act with purpose. There is no third option that is realistic.

pfisch··on Oceans hit highest temperature on record
We are already geoengineering every single day. There is no version of this that has no risk.

We can continue to do it aimlessly, or we can act with purpose.

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