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philrapo

190 karma · joined November 10, 2013

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philrapo··on The Hotel Industry’s Plan to Combat Airbnb
A common zoning distinction is that a bed & breakfast is a private home where the host lives in the home. If the host does not live there, many cities/towns would then consider it a hotel and subject it to different rules.

I think a lot of the arm waving about airbnb is because of the latter situation. I don't think many people seem to have issues with renting out a spare room.

philrapo··on The Hotel Industry’s Plan to Combat Airbnb
AirBnb is also collecting occupancy tax in many cities [0]. I don't have a view on whether this tax is well justified, but it does seem like if hotels are required to charge it, then full time airbnb hosts should be required to charge it as well.

[0] https://www.airbnb.com/help/article/653/in-what-areas-is-occ...

philrapo··on Tesla Announces $2B Public Offering to Accelerate Model 3 Ramp Up
Prominently displayed in large font on page 1 of the Goldman research report on Tesla:

"Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision."

(I put this in the reply to a child, but I felt it was relevant enough to reply directly to the parent.)

philrapo··on Tesla Announces $2B Public Offering to Accelerate Model 3 Ramp Up
You are conflating the investment banker and the equity research analyst, which have legally mandated information sharing firewalls. Also this potential conflict is clearly and openly disclosed, e.g. "This company publishes research and also seeks to do investment banking business with Tesla".

Further, Goldman conducted a secondary share offering for Tesla as recently as summer 2015, so it was exceedingly obvious to anyone who makes investment decisions based on the research that this conflict exists.

I have worked at several wall street firms and also worked for firms in silicon valley, and I frankly noticed more numerous and blatant conflict of interest situations in silicon valley.

EDIT/UPDATE: Prominently displayed in large font on page 1 of the Goldman research report on Tesla:

"Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision."

philrapo··on Tech Startups Come Up with Some Creative Definitions for ‘Profitable’
It is much harder for investors to do their homework on private companies, because (as described in TFA) many private companies selectively disclose metrics that paint them in a positive light. And there are no requirements or standardized metrics of disclosure.

I think this is why regulators are concerned about the steep drop in "startups" going public. You have these huge companies with enormous valuations, and they arent subject to the disclosure and reporting requirements that regulators have designed for public companies...

The most ridiculous recent example was Morgan Stanley marketing Uber to high net worth individuals. [0] Potential investors were not even allowed to see the financials! You just had to take Morgan Stanley's word for it that the valuation was "reasonable".

[0] http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-14/here-s-wha...

philrapo··on The NYPD Was Ticketing Legally Parked Cars; Open Data Put an End to It
A different rational response could be to raise parking ticket prices.

I live in NYC. Parking here is so expensive that paying for a parking ticket (if you happen to get caught parking illegally) is cheaper than paying for the parking garage!

A monthly parking garage in my neighborhood (west village, manhattan) can cost $700-800. Parking on the street is not a perfect substitute, but I can get 10-12 parking tickets a month before the cost of parking illegally exceeds the cost of paying for garage space!

philrapo··on The Startup Zeitgeist
"I think this means building something on the internet, but not using AOL"
philrapo··on San Francisco Home Prices Fell for the First Time in Four Years in March
Levered people, whether rich or poor, are the ones who are forced to sell. There are always some over levered folks from both ends of the economic spectrum.

As long as you can make your monthly payments, you'll never be forced to sell.

philrapo··on Startup funding is slowing in San Francisco
The average founder is (or was) already 30+:

https://hbr.org/2014/04/how-old-are-silicon-valleys-top-foun...

philrapo··on Goldman Sachs Finally Admits It Defrauded Investors During the Financial Crisis
Broadly speaking, investment banks perform two roles:

1) Act as advisors in financial transactions. You expect them to have your best interest in mind here. That's the core reason you are paying them -- to give you good advice and look out for you.

2) Act as brokers when you want to buy or sell something. Sometimes it's hard to find buyers or sellers for your particular transaction. Imagine trying to sell a hotel... or a 10% stake in Tesla... or a few million barrels of oil. You might not know anyone who has interest in that, but you still want to buy or sell. An investment bank can help broker a transaction. In this case, you're (implicitly or expicitly) paying for liquidity, i.e. access to their relationships with buyers and sellers around the world. The service being provided is arranging a buyer(seller) for your transaction. (The service is not about providing advice in your best interest).

There are certainly examples of shady dealings in role #1 above.

But in role #2, a customer of an investment bank generally understands that the service is matching buyers/sellers, and you don't rely on the investment bank to do your diligence. You're not paying for advice in this case.

It's like if your real estate agent was representing both the buyer and the seller, and you know they get compensated only if a transaction occurs. of course you expect that they are doing everything in their power to get everyone to transact.

philrapo··on Uber says it gave U.S. agencies data on more than 12M users
> Uber said it had not received any national security letters or orders under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance act.

This statement is likely a warrant canary:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warrant_canary

philrapo··on Boom (YC W16) – Supersonic Passenger Airplanes
Is there any reason you can't fly subsonic over land, then accelerate to supersonic over the ocean?
philrapo··on Is It Cheaper to Stay in an Airbnb ‘Entire Home’ Rental or a Hotel?
What do you eat at home for $1 a meal?
philrapo··on Amazon Echo Dot
i was thinking this too. i'd like to also have a screen, for example on my fridge, where echo can post visual data replies.
philrapo··on On Google's self-driving car acident rates
Commercial planes and cruise ships buy insurance to deal with these issues.
philrapo··on The Risk of a Billion-Dollar Valuation in Silicon Valley
Actually I have heard/read that it gets more common in very late stage (near-IPO) financing rounds as well. For example, when a company is expected to IPO in the next 12-18 months but needs some more cash runway, there are funds that specialize in providing this type of "bridge loan" financing, which often comes in the form of preferred stock with heavy liquidation prefs.
philrapo··on The Risk of a Billion-Dollar Valuation in Silicon Valley
I haven't seen any data on it, but that's my understanding as well. (>1x is rare in today's market). But the NYT article does mention Honest Co. with a 2x on $1.7bn valuation, so there's at least that anecdote.
philrapo··on The Risk of a Billion-Dollar Valuation in Silicon Valley
To put it another way, downside protection / insurance has value.
philrapo··on The Risk of a Billion-Dollar Valuation in Silicon Valley
Are you saying you'd value shares at the same amount with or without a liquidation preference? I'd value the shares with liquidation preference at a premium, no contest.

e.g. 1,000 total shares. You can buy 10% (100 shares) for $10mm with 2x liquidation preference included.

Now say I remove the liquidation preference. Your valuation model doesn't change? Mine certainly does. I'd value the shares lower, causing a lower company valuation for the 10% of the company that's changing hands.

>The reason there are $1B+ valuations is primarily because the VCs believe the ventures will come to dominate major areas of commerce, will typically go public with sky-high valuations, and will continue to grow and dominate even after all that. Investing $100M at $1B valuation is risky but pays hugely if the company later becomes valued at $100B+.

It pays hugely even in a down round with liquidation prefs. I'd invest $100mm at a $1bn valuation with 2x liquidation preference, even if I thought the monetization event would occur at a $300mm valuation (down -70%). I'd still get paid out $200mm for a +100% return. If I didnt have the liquidation preference, I would've lost -70%.

philrapo··on Bitcoin Payment Processor BitPay Loses $1.8M in Phishing Hack
that's why you always voice confirm...
philrapo··on 3-D Printer Firms Fall Flat, as Buyers Wait for New Models
What about:

4. 3-D models are available for purchase to instantly print an item in any dimensions you'd like.

philrapo··on As New York Rents Soar, Public Housing Becomes Lifelong Refuge
It's funny, but people in NYC rarely get to know their neighbors, regardless of rent vs. own. Cultural thing I guess. Maybe it helps ignore the extremely crowded population density.
philrapo··on The Blockchain Revolution Gets Endorsement in Wall Street Survey
exactly. Wall Street is enamored with distributed databases, i.e. "shared replicated ledgers". Not the specific bitcoin blockchain or cryptocurrency.

Blockchain as a term has become a bit like Kleenex. It's just a generic term to describe a distributed database

philrapo··on Bitcoin Trends in the First Half of 2015
If institutional investors were responsible for the decrease in volatility, I'd think we would've seen a corresponding increase in liquidity. (It's the additional liquidity and depth of market that they presumably would provide that dampen the price swings). I haven't run the data recently, but anecdotally I don't think liquidity has improved much.

The most liquid/highest volume period was still the run to $1000.

philrapo··on How to avoid the software salary ceiling
"specialize" is good advice to get paid more. Specialization is why wall street people get paid so much.

There are typically only a handful of people with relevant expertise trading [XYZ esoteric product], and when a company wants to enter that new business line, they have no choice but to settle for someone inexperienced or pay up for specialization.

Choosing the proper specialization is a different story...

philrapo··on Carl Icahn Takes $100M Stake in Lyft
fair point. Though if you never hit the firewall, you'd also probably never sign up.
philrapo··on Carl Icahn Takes $100M Stake in Lyft
You could also pay for WSJ journalism. I'm surprised HN doesn't ever seem to care about this issue.
philrapo··on Beginner's Guide to Cap-Table Dilution: Cloudera's $1B Fundraise
Here's an infographic showing ownership in Box as they IPO'ed. https://equityzen.com/blog/box-path-to-ipo/
philrapo··on Uber Database Breach Exposed Information of 50,000 Drivers, Company Confirms
what war did napster win?
philrapo··on Ask HN: Why is liquidation preference acceptable and prevalent?
That's an interesting way of framing it. A 1x liquidation preference is like buying a loan at 0.50 on the dollar.

A 0x liquidation preference (insurance that you'll get your original investment back) would be more "bond-like" to me.

Good point that the employee can similarly adjust his/her price on the compensation offer. Unfortunately, I think a lot of employees in SV dont understand the dynamics at hand here.

If you are an early employee, it's also not possible to know if the company will accept a 2x liquidation pref investor in the future.

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